2018 Home-Run Leader Futures Book Odds

Kevin Stott

Friday, February 23, 2018 4:17 PM UTC

Friday, Feb. 23, 2018 4:17 PM UTC

The rich got even richer when the Yankees added 2017 NL MVP and MLB Home Run leader Giancarlo Stanton to a roster that already had AL Rookie of the Year and Junior Circuit HR leader Aaron Judge. So can anyone other than Stanton or Judge win the MLB Home Run title in 2018?

Two members of the New York Yankees (+275 to win AL Pennant, 5Dimes), new kid in The Big Apple Giancarlo Stanton (+375 to be MLB HR Leader, 5Dimes) and Aaron Judge (+700) are the top odds favorites in the 2018 MLB Home Run Leader Futures Book marketplace with young sluggers -- the Washington Nationals' 25-year-old left-handed hitting Bryce Harper (+1500), the Texas Rangers' 24-year-old left-handed hitting Joey Gallo (+2500) and the Chicago Cubs' 26-year-old right-handed hitting Kris Bryant (+3000) -- making up three of the next eight candidates on the betting board at 5Dimes.

And with the 6-6, 245-pound Stanton averaging a HR every 10.1 At Bats in 2017 -- the best mark in MLB since Ryan Howard averaged a longball every 10.0 AB for the Phillies back in 2006 -- and the 6-7, 282-pound Judge averaging a dinger every 10.4 ABs last season (#1 in AL), and the two giants now playing together as part of a modern day Murderer’s Row along with C Gary Sánchez at the small Yankee Stadium (LF: 318 Feet, LCF: 399, CF: 408, RCF: 385, RF: 318), home runs will definitely be expected in the Bronx. Last year, Judge hit an AL-leading 52 Homers and the 6-2, 235-pound, 25-year-old Sánchez finished with 33 for the Yankees, while Stanton had an MLB-high 59 for The Fish, or a total of 144 Home Runs between them. Stanton and unanimous 2017 AL Rookie of the Year Judge were the only two players in MLB with 50 or more HRs in 2017.

Giancarlo Stanton +375

Aaron Judge +700

Bryce Harper +1500

Mike Trout +1800

Cody Bellinger +2000

JD Martinez +2000

Nolan Arenado +2150

Joey Gallo +2500

Manny Machado +2500

Kris Bryant +3000

Josh Donaldson +3000

Freddie Freeman +3000

Paul Goldschmidt +3000

Rhys Hoskins +3000

Nelson Cruz +4000

Khris Davis +4000

Edwin Encarnación +4000

Miguel Sano +4000

Carlos Correa +5000

Anthony Rizzo +5000

Kyle Schwarber +5000

George Springer +5000

Mark Trumbo +5000

Joey Votto +6000

Matt Olson +6500

Gary Sánchez +7500

Yoenis Céspedes +8000

Rafael Devers +8000

Adam Duvall +8000

Logan Morrison +8000

Marcell Ozuna +8000

Francisco Lindor +8500

José Abreu +10000

Charlie Blackmon +10000

Mookie Betts +10000

Ryan Braun +10000

Jay Bruce +10000

Miguel Cabrera +10000

Brian Dozier +10000

Jake Lamb +10000

Mike Moustakas +10000

Domingo Santana +10000

Scott Schebler +10000

Jonathan Schoop +10000

Justin Smoak +10000

Eric Thames +10000

Maikel Franco +17500

Yonder Alonso +20000

José Bautista +20000

Josh Bell +20000

Andrew Benintendi +20000

Greg Bird +20000

Justin Bour +20000

Robinson Cano +20000

Matt Chapman +20000

Michael Conforto +20000

Paul DeJong +20000

Corey Dickerson +2000

Lucas Duda +20000

Carlos González +20000

Adam Jones +20000

Trey Mancini +20000

Nomar Mazara +20000

Kendrys Morales +20000

Brandon Moss +20000

Wil Myers +20000

Rougned Odor +20000

Shohei Ohtani +20000

José Ramírez +20000

Carlos Santana +20000

Corey Seager +20000

Kyle Seager +20000

Travis Shaw +20000

Trevor Story +20000

Yasmany Tomás +20000

Justin Upton +20000

Ryan Zimmerman +20000

José Altuve +30000

Javier Báez +30000

Adrián Beltré +300000

Alex Bregman +30000

Nick Castellanos +30000

Matt Davidson +30000

Ian Desmond +30000

Ian Happ +30000

Eric Hosmer +30000

Evan Longoria +30000

Andrew McCutchen +30000

Gregory Polanco +30000

Buster Posey +30000

Yasiel Puig +30000

Hanley Ramírez +30000

Hunter Renfroe +30000

Steven Souza +30000

Eugenio Suárez +30000

Justin Turner +30000

Evan Gattis +50000

Joc Pederson +50000

Anthony Rendon +50000

Five Players Finished With 40 or More Homers in 2017

Some players who seem to have some perceived value in their odds include the soon-to-be Red Sox JD Martinez, who hit 45 HRs for the Arizona Diamondbacks last season -- the third-highest mark in The Bigs -- and should benefit from playing at Fenway Park in Boston (+650 to win AL Pennant, 5Dimes) with its short RF porch (302 feet) and being in a league now where he can be employed as a Designated Hitter. Khris Davis of the Oakland A’shit 43 HRs last season after having 42 in a breakout 2016 season, while the aforementioned big -swinger Gallo (41 HRs in 2017) was the only other Major Leaguer with 40 or more.

Players who finished in the high-30s HRs include the Mariners’ Nelson Cruz (39 HRs in 2017), Dodgers’ NL Rookie of the Year Cody Bellinger (39 HRs), the Blue Jays’ Justin Smoak (38 HRs), the Rays’ Logan Morrison (38 HRs), the Indians’ Edwin Encarnación (38 HRs), the Royals’ Mike Moustakas (38 HRs), the Rockies’ Charlie Blackmon (37 HRs) and Nolan Arenado (37 HRs, +2150) -- who both benefit from the thin air at Coors Field in Denver -- and the now-Cardinals’ Marcell Ozuna (37 HRs with Florida). Long shot Evan Longoria, trade for by the San Francisco Giants (15/1 to win NL Pennant, 5Dimes) this Offseason after spending his career playing the hot corner in Tampa, may be worth Futures Book consideration although the 32-year-old only had 20 HRs last year. With his smooth Ted Williams-like swing and youth and confidence on his side, backing the Dodgers' Bellinger seems like one of few available logical approaches against Stanton and Judge, who seemingly go for a Home Run with every swing.

MLB HR Leader Free Pick: Bellinger, Dodgers (+2000)Best Line Offered: 5Dimes
comment here