2017 MLB Home Run Derby Betting Predictions and Odds

Home run derby picks and predictions for 2017 MLB allstar game

Kevin Stott

Monday, July 10, 2017 12:29 PM GMT

Monday, Jul. 10, 2017 12:29 PM GMT

Eight of the best young sluggers in baseball—including two from the New York Yankees (Rookie sensation Aaron Judge and Gary Sánchez) and two from the Miami Marlins (Giancarlo Stanton and Justin Bour)—will be participating in the 2017 MLB Home Run Derby.

Eight Young Sluggers in the Sunshine State For Best MLB Home Run Derby Field in Several Years

The 2017 MLB Home Run Derby is set to take place on Monday night at Marlins Park in Miami (ESPN, 8 p.m. ET) with eight of the best young sluggers in the league set to participate in the single-elimination style timed event from the home of the Miami Marlins, in this, the Year of the Home Run. Marlins’ right-handed hitting slugger and top-seeded Giancarlo Stanton (26 HRs at All-Star Break) is one of four NL representatives this year along with left-handed hitting teammate Justin Bour (20 HR), left-handed hitting Dodgers sensation Cody Bellinger (25 HRS) and Rockies’ lefty Charlie Blackmon (20 HRs). From the AL, the four contestants are Yankees’ giant (6-7, 282) Rookie Aaron Judge (MLB-leading 30 HRs) and Bronx Bombers teammate and No. 8 seed in this competition, Gary Sánchez (13 HRs), the Royals Mike Moustakas (25 HRs) and the Twins Miguel Sanó (21 HRs).

Each of the eight participants will have 4 minutes to hit as many Home Runs as possible getting 30 additional seconds forever dinger they have over 440 feet, also having one 45-second Timeout they can (and will) use in the first two Rounds and two in the Finals. The eight have been seeded (below) and will meet first in a head-to-head Quarterfinals Round which will pare the 2017 MLB Home Run down to four with the higher seed batting second and a 1-minute “Swing Off” if necessary. And if there’s still a tie after that point, a 3-swing Playoff would be used, and, after that, if needed, a Sudden Death Homer Off. Grab some cheese dip. Here are odds for all of the various markets up at progressive offshore sportsbook 5Dimes and some MLB picks. Also, here are the dimensions and various outfield wall heights at Marlins Park (below). The Weather Channel forecast for Miami on Monday night calls for Partly to Mostly Cloudy Skies, Scattered Thunderstorms possible with a High of 80°, ESW Winds 10 to 15 mph with a 40% chance of Rain and 78% Humidity. So, maybe wet and very Miami-ish and it might make the ball seem "heavy."

2017 Home Run Derby Betting Odds—(July 9, 2017, 5Dimes)

Giancarlo Stanton Wins HR Derby +220, Field -260

Aaron Judge Wins HR Derby +205, Field -245

Cody Bellinger Wins HR Derby +850, Field -1,300

Mike Moustakas Wins HR Derby +1,400, Field -2,500

Miguel Sanó Wins HR Derby +950, Field -1,450

Charlie Blackmon Reaches Final +1,250, Field -2,000

Justin Bour Reaches Final +1,275, Field -2,075

Gary Sánchez Reaches Final +1,110, Field -1,700

 

2017 Home Run Derby Props Odds

Miami Marlins or New York Yankees Player Wins HR Derby -290, Field +245

Giancarlo Stanton or Aaron Judge Win HR Derby -163, Field +143

#1-#3 Seed Win HR Derby -240, #4-#8 Seed Wins HR Derby +200

#1-#4 Seed Win HR Derby -310, #5-#8 Seed Wins HR Derby +255

#1-#5 Seed Win HR Derby -490, #6-#8 Seed Wins HR Derby +390

#1-#6 Seed Win HR Derby -840, #7-#8 Seed Wins HR Derby +570

Odd Number Wins HR Derby -115, Even Number Wins HR Derby -105

AL Player Wins HR Derby -110, NL Player Wins HR Derby -110

Longest HR Over 528½ Feet +360, Longest HR Under 528½ Feet -540

Longest HR Over 499½ Feet -230, Longest HR Under 499½ Feet +170

Any Player Hits Over 46½ HRs +155, No Player Hits Over 46½ HRs -195

30-Second Bonus Earned All 14 ABs +4,000, Any AB Doesn’t Earn 30-Second Bonus -16,000

 

2017 Home Run Derby Finalists Odds

Giancarlo Stanton Reaches Final -145, Giancarlo Stanton Not in Final +105

Aaron Judge Reaches Final +135, Aaron Judge Not in Final -105

Cody Bellinger Reaches Final +280, Cody Bellinger Not in Final -400

Mike Moustakas Reaches Final +457, Mike Moustakas Not in Final -770

Miguel Sanó Reaches Final +317, Miguel Sanó Not in Final -450

Charlie Blackmon Reaches Final +423, Charlie Blackmon Not in Final -665

Justin Bour Reaches Final +569, Justin Bour Not in Final -1,105

Gary Sánchez Reaches Final +519, Gary Sánchez Not in Final -955

2017 Quarterfinal Matchup Odds

#1 Giancarlo Stanton -265, #8 Gary Sánchez +205

Giancarlo Stanton Wins Before 0:59 on Clock +170, Any Other Result -230

#2 Aaron Judge -300, #7 Justin Bour +240

Aaron Judge Wins Before 0:59 on Clock +160, Any Other Result -210

#3 Cody Bellinger -165, #6 Charlie Blackmon +130

Cody Bellinger Wins Before 0:59 on Clock +300, Any Other Result -420

#4 Mike Moustakas +125, #5 Miguel Sanó -145

Mike Moustakas Wins Before 0:59 on Clock +335, Any Other Result -505

 

2017 Home Run Derby—Longest Home Run Round 1 Markets

Aaron Judge +165, Field -205

Aaron Judge -120, Giancarlo Stanton -110

Giancarlo Stanton -125, Miguel Sanó -105

Cody Bellinger -115, Miguel Sanó -115

Gary Sánchez -155, Cody Bellinger +125

Charlie Blackmon -110, Mike Moustakas -120

Justin Bour -115, Mike Moustakas -115

2017 Home Run Derby Semifinals Odds

Giancarlo Stanton -350, Mike Moustakas +250

Giancarlo Stanton -300, Miguel Sanó +220

Giancarlo Stanton -350, Charlie Blackmon +250

Giancarlo Stanton -265, Justin Bour +185

Aaron Judge -300, Cody Bellinger +220

Aaron Judge -350, Mike Moustakas +250

Aaron Judge -300, Miguel Sanó +220

Aaron Judge -215, Gary Sánchez +165

Cody Bellinger -145, Mike Moustakas +105

Cody Bellinger -140, Miguel Sanó +120
Gary Sánchez -135, Cody Bellinger -105

Charlie Blackmon -145, Mike Moustakas +105

Justin Bour -170, Mike Moustakas +130

Gary Sánchez -165, Mike Moustakas +120

Charlie Blackmon -135, Miguel Sanó -105

Justin Bour -170, Miguel Sanó +130

Gary Sánchez -165, Miguel Sanó +125

Justin Bour -170, Charlie Blackmon +130

Justin Bour -125, Gary Sánchez -105

Giancarlo Stanton Earns 30-Second Bonus -600, No +400

Aaron Judge 30-Second Bonus -900, No +500

2017 Home Run Derby Exact Result Odds

Giancarlo Stanton beats Aaron Judge +446, Any Other Results -737

Giancarlo Stanton beats Cody Bellinger +9356, Any Other Result -1,915

Giancarlo Stanton beats Mike Moustakas +1,775, Any Other Result -5,325

Giancarlo Stanton beats Miguel Sanó +1,403, Any Other Result -3,625

Giancarlo Stanton beats Charlie Blackmon +2,550, Any Other Result -7,900

Aaron Judge beats Giancarlo Stanton +446, Any Other Result -737

Aaron Judge beats Cody Bellinger +1,475, Any Other Result -4,275

Aaron Judge beats Mike Moustakas +1,443, Any Other Result -4,000

Aaron Judge beats Miguel Sanó +1,208, Any Other Result -2,625

Aaron Judge beats Charlie Blackmon +2,278, Any Other Result -2,900

Cody Bellinger beats Giancarlo Stanton +1,670, Any Other Result -5,000

Cody Bellinger beats Giancarlo Stanton +1,670, Any Other Result -5,000

Cody Bellinger beats Aaron Judge +2,900, Any Other Result -10,300

Cody Bellinger beats Mike Moustakas +6,375, Any Other Result -25,625

Cody Bellinger beats Miguel Sanó +4,625, Any Other Result -17,875

Cody Bellinger beats Justin Bour +2,825, Any Other Result -9,775

Cody Bellinger beats Gary Sánchez +3,625, Any Other Result -13,875

Mike Moustakas beats Giancarlo Stanton +3,450, Any Other Result -13,150

Mike Moustakas beats Aaron Judge +2,850, Any Other Result -9,950

Mike Moustakas beats Cody Bellinger +8,075, Any Other Result -35,225

Mike Moustakas beats Charlie Blackmon +9,600, Any Other Result -46,200

Mike Moustakas beats Justin Bour +6,650, Any Other Result -27,550

Mike Moustakas beats Gary Sánchez +5,125, Any Other Result -20,175

Miguel Sanó beats Giancarlo Stanton +2,440, Any Other Result -7,310

Miguel Sanó beats Aaron Judge +1,865, Any Other Result -5,585

Miguel Sanó beats Cody Bellinger +5,525, Any Other Result -21,575

Miguel Sanó beats Charlie Blackmon +6,950, Any Other Result -29,650

Miguel Sanó beats Justin Bour +4,725, Any Other Result -18,175

Miguel Sanó beats Gary Sánchez +3,775, Any Other Result -14,425

Charlie Blackmon beats Giancarlo Stanton +3,950, Any Other Result -15,560

Charlie Blackmon beats Aaron Judge +1,975, Any Other Result -5,925

Charlie Blackmon beats Mike Moustakas +9,100, Any Other Result -41,700

Charlie Blackmon beats Miguel Sanó +6,725, Any Other Result -28,075

Charlie Blackmon beats Justin Bour +7,050, Any Other Result -18,175

Charlie Blackmon beats Gary Sánchez +3,875, Any Other Result -15,125

Justin Bour beats Cody Bellinger +2,675, Any Other Result -8,725

Justin Bour beats Mike Moustakas +4,925, Any Other Result -19,475

Justin Bour beats Miguel Sanó +3,650, Any Other Result -13,950

Justin Bour beats Charlie Blackmon +5,375, Any Other Result -21,125

Justin Bour beats Gary Sánchez +3,475, Any Other Result -13,325

Gary Sánchez beats Cody Bellinger +3,275, Any Other Result -11,925

Gary Sánchez beats Mike Moustakas +3,950, Any Other Result -15,650

Gary Sánchez beats Miguel Sanó +2,925, Any Other Result -10,475

Gary Sánchez beats Charlie Blackmon +3,025, Any Other Result -11,0725

Gary Sánchez beats Justin Bour +2,860, Any Other Result -10,000

 

2017 HOME RUN DERBY PREDICTED WINNER: Giancarlo Stanton (+220)Best Odds Available at 5Dimes

 

2017 MLB HOME RUN DERBY PROPS PICKS: Cody Bellinger Round 1 -165 over Charlie Blackmon; Longest Home Run Over 499½ Feet (-230); National League Player Wins Home Run Derby (-110) Best Odds Available at 5Dimes

 

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