'King' Felix With Betting Edge in Today's Pitching Report

Ross Benjamin

Friday, August 29, 2014 12:16 PM UTC

Friday, Aug. 29, 2014 12:16 PM UTC

Find out which starting pitchers Ross Benjamin has given the MLB betting edge to in the Nationals/Mariners and Brewers/Giants games tonight to apply to your MLB picks.

Nationals vs. Mariners 10:10 PM ET
The Nationals starter Jordan Zimmerman has gone an outstanding 17-9 against the money this season with a stellar 2.93 ERA. The Washington hurler has gone a perfect 5-0 in his last 5 against the money while displaying excellent form in doing so. During those 5-outings, Zimmerman has posted a sparkling 2.08 ERA, a 0.89 WHIP, and compiled a 9:1 strikeout to walk ratio. He’s also receiving terrific run support from his teammates over his last 7-starts. During those 7-games the Nationals have averaged 6.1 runs per contest. Zimmerman has had pinpoint control over his last 16-starts. He’s walked 1 or less in 14 of those 16-outings.

What can you say about the type of 2014 season that Felix Hernandez has had for the Mariners? The Mariners ace has gone 18-9 against the money with a 2.07 ERA, a 0.89 WHIP, and has amassed a 6:1 strikeout to walk ratio. “King Felix” has gone 6-0 against the money in his last 6 at home with a 2.23 ERA, and oddly enough 5 of those 6 have gone over the total, due in part to Seattle averaging 6.0 runs per game during that stretch.

Advantage: All due respect to Jordan Zimmerman, who I applaud for the type of great season he’s putting together. However, there’s no way I’m going to fade Felix Hernandez at home right now.

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Brewers vs. Giants 10:15 PM ET
The Brewers will send Wily Peralta to the hill this evening. Peralta has quietly had a solid season thus far, going 16-10 against the money with a respectable 3.61 ERA. Peralta is coming off a terrible start last Saturday in a home 10-2 loss to the Pirates. The Brewers right-hander was roughed up for 7 earned runs, on 7-hits including 3 home runs, and walked 3 in 5.0 innings of work. Prior to that outing he’d allowed 2 earned runs or less in 6 of his previous 7-starts. The Milwaukee hurler has gone a perfect 3-0 in his career against the money versus the Giants with a 3.71 ERA.

The Giants will counter with veteran Ryan Vogelsong on the mound. The Giants right-hander has had a very strange performance line at home. He’s gone a dismal 4-9 against the money at AT&T Park, despite a very good 3.00 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in those outings. The Giants have gone under the total in 10 of their 13 home games on the season when Vogelsong is their starting pitcher. He’s been pretty solid over his last 5-starts, with a 2.58 ERA, and a superb 0.93 WHIP. Since the start of the 2012 season, Vogelsong has faced the Brewers on 2-occasions, and he’s posted a 2.77 ERA in those starts.

Advantage: This was a very difficult choice to make. I’ve decided on not giving either of these pitchers the betting edge in this one with a moneyline MLB pick. Since both teams bats are beginning to heat up, and with such a low total, I’m calling for a higher scoring game to take place. My small lean here favors making a wager on going over the total and I recommend doing so at a Sportsbook like Island Casino.

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