Our weekly fantasy golf power rankings pinpoint the golfers near the top of the odds lists and highlight who to select in your pools this week for the Butterfield Bermuda Championship.
This will be the fourth edition of the Butterfield Bermuda Championship at Port Royal Golf Course in South Hampton, Bermuda, and it’s far from a loaded field. Seamus Power is the only player inside the top 50 of the Official World Golf Ranking (OWGR) teeing it up this week.
Here are my Butterfield Bermuda Championship fantasy golf power rankings.
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Odds
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Course Info and Stats to Know
Without shotlink data and strokes gained metrics available for this event, it isn’t as easy to hone in on what it takes to be successful at Port Royal. It’s a short track at just 6,828 yards, and the potential for unpredictable weather and windy conditions are arguably the course’s strongest defenses.
While distance off the tee isn’t as paramount, accuracy and ball striking (SG: approach and greens-in-regulation percentage) have proven to be important. Additionally, I’m emphasizing putting more than usual this week.
Butterfield Bermuda Championship Fantasy Golf Power Rankings
10. Austin Smotherman
A bit of an unknown, Smotherman checks an important box after finishing 32nd in both greens-in-regulation percentage and SG: approach last season. He has made the cut in all three events played to start the 2022-23 season. I’d expect him to continue that trend in this underwhelming field, despite missing the cut last year in Bermuda.
9. Patrick Rodgers
The 30-year-old American finished fourth at the 2021 Bermuda Championship, and he’s played the weekend in each of his past three events with a T-16 at the Zozo Championship being his best result. His statistical profile won’t catch your attention, but in a shallow field, Rodgers' recent form and strong play at last year’s event make him a better pick than most this week. I’m also still a believer that Rodgers can break out and win on the PGA Tour after failing to live up to lofty expectations to this point of his career.
8. S.H. Kim
The PGA Tour rookie has been hanging around leaderboards this fall, including a T-4 finish at the Shriners Children's Open earlier this month. Kim ranks 12th in birdie average and 18th in strokes gained: putting to start the season, but his ball-striking numbers don’t instill much confidence: 145th in SG: approach and 97th in greens-in-regulation percentage. While I do view Kim as a potentially high-risk, high-reward target, I anticipate him playing the weekend.
7. Adrian Meronk
It’s a little surprising to see Meronk trading among the betting favorites. His lone win was at the Horizon Irish Open in July, and he hasn’t made notable noise since then. A T-11 result at the Cazoo Open de France is his best finish following the July victory. Still, it probably says more about the field for the Butterfield than Meronk himself. I’ll side with the bookmakers, as Meronk’s 33rd rank in greens-in-regulation percentage and 10th rank in stroke average on the DP World Tour this season stand out. He also finished ninth in stroke average on the DP circuit in 2021.
6. Aaron Rai
This should prove to be a strong course fit for Rai. He’s a an accurate ball-striker who benefits from the shorter track. Rai ranked 16th in driving-accuracy percentage, 23rd in greens-in-regulation percentage and 46th in SG: approach last season, and he’s played the weekend in all three events this fall. I’m also placing additional value in the 27-year-old Englishman’s six international victories.
5. Russell Knox
Knox has teed it up in Bermuda each of the past three years and posted a top-20 finish in each appearance. He ranked fourth in greens-in-regulation percentage and 25th in SG: approach on tour last season, and his putting has shown improvement to start the 2022-23 campaign. Knox has gained .288 strokes on the greens per round through four events this year after losing .417 per round last season.
4. Denny McCarthy
The betting favorite is a flat-stick wizard and will be playing this event for the fourth consecutive year. McCarthy finished fourth in 2020 at the Bermuda Championship, and he ranked second in SG: putting and 22nd in scoring average on tour last season. This is also a favorable track for the 29-year-old American because lack of distance off the tee isn’t as penalizing.
3. Seamus Power
Expect Power to be a popular target for poolies and punters this week. He finished 12th in the Butterfield last season and has been excellent on the greens to start this campaign with an SG: putting rank of 12th. Additionally, I suspect some statistical correction ahead for the Irishman’s ball-striking. He ranked 38th in SG: approach and 28th in SG: total in 2020-21, but then dipped to 117th and 51st, respectively, in those metrics last year.
2. Mark Hubbard
With Port Royal setting up as a second-shot course, Hubbard’s an excellent candidate to have a strong week in Bermuda. He ranks 22nd in SG: approach to start the season after being 20th in that category last year. The 33-year-old American is also a solid putter and has gained strokes on the greens in each of the past four seasons. He’s also played the weekend in each of his two trips to Port Royal, including a 22nd-place finish at the 2021 event.
1. Thomas Detry
Stringing four rounds together has been Detry’s shortcoming to start the season. He made the cuts in each of his first three PGA Tour events this season and posted a top-10 result with a T-9 finish at the Sanderson Farms Championship earlier this month. Detry also carded a T-22 result at this event last year. Nothing jumps off the page statistically for Detry, but he’s a player I picked to have a strong fall entering the season, and I expect him to contend this week at Port Royal.
Where to Bet on the Butterfield Bermuda Championship
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Butterfield Bermuda Championship fantasy golf power rankings made 10/24/2022 at 12:30 p.m. ET.