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Dota 2 Epic Division 1 Preview

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Esports Weekend Bets

I have written a Guide to Dota2 Betting which I recommend to anyone not familiar with this title, genre, and those interested in eventually being able to find value in this game on their own…or just to decipher the gibberish spoken by the analysts on stream!

In tomorrow’s Epic Division 1 we have the lowest implied probability on Team Secret offered through the entirety of the online era. We have seen increasingly improved numbers on them moving through the fall months. I have not got involved on their side everytime, however over the last week have been more than happy to do so.

For those whom have been following the Dota wagers through 2020 you’ll be familiar with how frequently I have gone against the best team in this moba. All too often during the year I heard ‘why’. Ironically I am now hearing the same question, ‘why’, directed towards me backing them.

I took Secret in their prior contest with Virtus Pro where they were summarily dismantled. It was a treatment they have given many teams this season, and perhaps the new CIS kings will run amok once again. However it has taken VP playing their very best Dota of the year and Secret (somewhat) playing their worst to get us here. As I have been doing all tournament long, I will be backing Secret for what is their cheapest price and we might not see again until the DPC. Just to reiterate to the new faces, Virtus Pro has every ability to win tomorrow and, based on price, you wouldn’t really think it was an upset. However pulling back the curtain beyond six or seven matches at this one event and a couple at October’s ESL, you’ll realize what value this 60% price is on Secret.



  • Secret ml v Virtus Pro @ -160
  • Natus Vincere ml v Vikin @ -140


  • Mousesports +1.5 v Astralis @ -170
  • Mousesports ml v Astralis @ +180
  • Furia ml v G2 @ -140
  • OG ml v Big @ -125

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Always risking 1u, never ‘to win’ 1u. If I expose two, that still remains risking 2u, not betting 2.5 to win 1 simply because the price is shorter than what I have. A standard stake here is 1u = 1% of your bankroll. This will keep you in the game instead of busting out every other day because you decided to be stupid and put your entire bankroll down on 8 wagers. If you have worse prices you don’t bet more to compensate. Please do not attach my plays in parlays, you are costing yourself extra money trying to cut corners.