Diamondbacks & Padres to Close Series Sunday with ‘Under’

Saturday, July 28, 2018 1:19 PM UTC

Saturday, Jul. 28, 2018 1:19 PM UTC

Favored on baseball odds board, the Arizona Diamondbacks looks to finish off its road trip with a win Sunday in San Diego against the Padres in an NL West clash.

2018 MLB Record: 60-49-1 (+17.95 units, 1 pending)

Diamondbacks (57-48 SU, 48-52 O/U) at Padres (42-64 SU, 50-53 O/U)

(Records don't include Saturday night's game)

Sunday, 4:10 p.m. ETFree MLB Pick: Under 8Best Line Offered: BetOnline

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The first series of the season in San Diego between the Padres and Arizona Diamondbacks ends Sunday with an interesting battle on the hill between a veteran and a rookie, as Clay Buchholz (3-1, 2.38) toils for the visitors opposite Joey Lucchesi (5-5, 3.34).

Arizona bunched all of its runs in one inning Friday to take the series opener, 6-2. Zack Greinke, chalked on a -180 line at Heritage, worked seven innings to earn his 12th win and help the D-backs keep pace with the Dodgers atop the NL West. The final just skipped past a 7½-run total, leaving the last 10 in this rivalry at PetcoPark split in the totals column. The "over" winner was the eighth in San Diego’s last 10 home games entering Saturday’s contest.

Will 3rd Time Vs. D-Backs Be The Charm For Lucchesi?

Arizona got into the swing of things on the trade front by acquiring Eduardo Escobar from the Twins for a trio of minor leaguers. Escobar, who leads the big leagues with 37 doubles, is expected to see time at third for the Diamondbacks while Jake Lamb (shoulder) is on the DL. Buchholz will be making just his second start since coming off the DL with an oblique injury. He was solid in his first start back Tuesday, pitching into the seventh in Chicago and allowing the Cubs just one run. It’s his first look at the Padres this season, and just the second of his career, having beaten them on this diamond while a member of the Red Sox in 2016.

One of San Diego’s runs Friday came in the form of Manuel Margot's solo shot, his fourth of the season. The outfielder entered Saturday’s tilt with an 8-game hitting streak. Lucchesi is seeking back-to-back wins for just the second time this year after beating Jacob deGrom and the Mets on Monday as a +150 underdog on the MLB odds board. The southpaw dropped his two previous outings against Arizona, totaling 10.1 innings and allowing six runs in those efforts.

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This is a very simple game. You throw the ball, you catch the ball, you hit the ball. Sometimes you win, sometimes you lose, sometimes it rains. pic.twitter.com/16rImZdv1C

— Arizona Diamondbacks (@Dbacks) July 23, 2018
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Umpire Notes, Mother Nature & A Free Pick

Brian Knight should close out the series behind the plate for the umpire crew, and brings a strong 12-5 "over" tendency for the season into the matchup. He worked a game in San Diego to open the campaign, the final going "over" with room to spare, his first plate assignment at Petco in two years.

There are clouds in the forecast for Sunday in America’s Finest City, but the chance any of them bring rain is slim. The key to this one is whether Lucchesi has learned anything from facing Arizona’s lineup twice, and how Padres hitters attack Buchholz. I believe both will do well enough to keep my free baseball pick "under" the total.

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