Wisconsin vs. Purdue Week 11 Big Ten NCAA Football Picks

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, November 5, 2014 4:45 PM GMT

Wednesday, Nov. 5, 2014 4:45 PM GMT

Wisconsin is a high-priced road favorite over Purdue in the College Football betting Odds, as it’ll continue to dominate the Big Ten Conference series Saturday.

Dominant Performances
Wisconsin has put together a three-game win streak with out-gaining opponents by 808 combined yards, which is important to consider when making your Week 11 College Football Picks, as it comes off a 37-0 victory over the Rutgers Scarlet Knights with 12.5-point road favorites.

The Badgers have moved to the top total defense rankings by holding their last two opponents to 139 and 175 yards respectively, as they look to improve upon their 24-6 SU record in November since 2006.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the program is 8-0 SU and 5-3 ATS as favorites of 10.5 to 21 points, with no clear edge in the betting total (4-4 Over/Under).

 

Improving Each Week
Purdue has fallen in defeat in its last three contests, but it actually won the statistical battle by 43 yards in dropping a 35-14 decision to the Nebraska Cornhuskers as 21-point road underdogs last week.

The Boilermakers have rushed for 1,571 yards this season, which can’t be ignored when looking over the College Football betting Odds, as they gained just 805 yards on the ground in 2013.

It’s important to point out that the squad is 0-9 SU and 5-4 ATS in its last nine games when receiving 10.5 to 21 points, with the "OVER" going 5-3-1 in those opportunities.

 

Flash Gordon
The Badgers have Melvin Gordon as a legitimate Heisman Trophy candidate, who has averaged 9.87 yards per carry in his career against the Boilermakers—rushing for 227 yards on 23 carries in the last two installments of this Big Ten series.

Wisconsin ranks third in the country, gaining 333.4 yards per contest on the ground—rushing for at least 280 yards in each of its last six affairs.

 

Lacking Playmakers
The Boilermakers are definitely much-improved under second year head coach Darrell Hazell, but they still lack perimeter weapons in the passing game, especially with top receiver Danny Anthrop suffering a season-ending injury last week.

Purdue will need a big game out of its backfield to stay within this number, with Akeem Hunt leading the way—rushing for a career-high 706 yards already in 2014.

 

Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Badgers as one of their top Saturday College Football Picks, as the favorite has covered the number in the last seven meetings in this rivalry.

Free College Football Pick:  Wisconsin Badgers -17 at BetOnline

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