Winning College Football Totals Betting Systems For Labor Day Weekend

Northwestern

Doug Upstone

Friday, August 25, 2017 4:55 PM GMT

Friday, Aug. 25, 2017 4:55 PM GMT

With four college football games completed as of Sunday morning, we can be done with the appetizers and look forward to the main course of a full weekend of football coast to coast.

Over the years there has been many arguments about the value of trends and systems. In truth, nobody is completely wrong, as both offer points to be used in beating the college football odds.

For our purposes, we will discuss a couple of excellent systems you might want to consider for this upcoming weekend and we will give you which games they pertain to and explanation. Sound good?

 

Looking at the Potential For Lower Scoring Games

The first system reads like this - Play UNDER on teams when the total is between 49.5 and 56 points, in a nonconference contest, when both two teams have eight or more defensive starters returning, in the first month of the season.

Let's break this down because we have several elements in play. The most important factor is how many defensive players are back for each squad. This on its own merit suggests we could have a lower score because each team's defense does not have to plug in many new starters and we have a cohesive unit already in place.

Next, the two parts are very relatable and similar. Being the first month of the season and a nonconference clash, except for the SEC and maybe a few other contests, September is mostly dominated by games not played within the league. In many of these matchups, there is unfamiliarity and while that can work both ways in a positive or negative sense, the scenario that has the greatest amount of believability is a defense that has played together longer has better concepts and experience to work with.

Lastly, is the points range. Starting at 49.5 and topping out at out 56, these are fairly common numbers and not as prone to being wrong if they said in the 44 to 49 points range.

In the last four years, when taking both teams records into account for college football picks, this totals system is a sharp 34-8, 81 percent. The two tilts that fit the totals system on Sept. 2nd are as follows:

Wyoming at Iowa

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3187365, "sportsbooksIds":[19,43,123,180,169], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1 }[/]

Nevada at Northwestern

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3187543, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,999996,238,999993,139], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1 }[/]

 One More Football System for Labor Day

While not quite as potent at 40-12 (76.9%), this totals system has mileage on it, dating back to 1997. Here we have the UNDER again, with the total between 56.5 and 63 points, in nonconference action, with one team having eight or more offensive players returning, in a contest played on a neutral field.

What we have learned here is the oddsmakers might be overvaluing one offense (Georgia Tech) based on experience (or feeding into public perception) and that the neutral field tends to work as an equalizer. Before sitting down to watch Tennessee and Yellow Jackets on Labor Day, keep this in mind.

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