Winning College Football Pick in Top Ranked Oklahoma & Baylor Match

David Lawrence

Wednesday, November 11, 2015 6:30 PM GMT

Wednesday, Nov. 11, 2015 6:30 PM GMT

The Oklahoma Sooners haven’t faced that many tough tests this season, but now comes their big gauntlet to end the 2015 calendar. Can they upset Baylor and climb to the top of the Big 12?

Momentum
Oklahoma rolled through Iowa State last week, setting up the big finish to the season. The Sooners have been playing extremely well ever since that embarrassing and hard-to-grasp loss to Texas, a team whose lack of talent on offense has become evident over the past several weeks. While Oklahoma still tries to figure out how that game got away, it has at least regrouped the way head coach Bob Stoops would have wanted. The Sooners have been functioning well on both sides of the line of scrimmage. Baker Mayfield has been extremely good at quarterback, and the defense is being relatively disruptive. The offensive and defensive lines occasionally step off the gas pedal, but OU’s lapses in recent weeks have been relatively few and far between. Now, though, any slight lapses will be punished severely. Baylor is too good to allow opponents to make mistakes and not suffer the consequences.

Baylor is a really tough team to read right now – not in terms of understanding what makes this team successful, but whether or not one can expect the Bears to play at a certain level. The Bears love to run the ball, even though they are gifted at passing the ball. Baylor wants to be two-pronged on offense, so that each part sets up the other in equal measure. With Seth Russell – a mobile quarterback – out of the lineup, Jarrett Stidham is the new guy, and his running instincts aren’t up to Russell’s standards. This could cause problems for Baylor.

The other problem for Baylor: rushing defense. Kansas State could not throw the ball, but it still ran the ball reasonably well against the Bears. Oklahoma running back Semaje Perine could have a monster day and put the Bears in trouble.

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Line Moves
The college football odds started with Baylor as a 3.5-point favorite, and that has moved down to a three-point line for the Bears. There are questions about Stidham and Baylor’s run defense. Don’t expect this line to reach four points for Baylor. The Bears will probably remain a three-point choice by kickoff, give or take half a point.

 

Notable Injuries
Oklahoma has running back Rodney Anderson out for the season with a leg injury. Wide receiver Austin Bennett left the team. Offensive lineman Jonathan Alvarez is questionable with an undisclosed condition. Defensive back Zack Sanchez is questionable with an undisclosed condition.

Baylor has number one quarterback Seth Russell listed as out for the season with a neck injury. Defensive back J.W. Ketchum has been suspended. Tight end Tre’Von Armstead has been dismissed from the team.

 

Handicapping The Game
Oklahoma will play TCU in two weeks and Oklahoma State in three weeks, but first comes Baylor in a primetime contest. Oklahoma and Baylor are both about to venture into the teeth of the Big 12 schedule. The Bears, after this game, will face Oklahoma State and TCU as well. So much has not yet happened in this conference, so while we’re deep into the season, we’re only just beginning to find out various things about the various teams at the top of the Big 12. This creates excitement for fans, but it’s a nervous place for bettors, who might not want to make premature predictions on these games; they’ll have to do a little more homework before making a selection.

The game is likely to be a shootout, so expect a lot of points from both sides. Can Oklahoma play its best game on offense? It’s possible, but the Sooners’ loss to Texas is hard to shake here. OU will not be as consistent as it needs to be. Take Baylor with your college football picks.

College Football Pick: Baylor -2.5 at BetOnline

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