Whether the Weather Will Affect This Week’s College Football Picks

Friday, September 29, 2017 2:01 PM UTC

Friday, Sep. 29, 2017 2:01 PM UTC

The professional handicapper spends hours poring over injury reports, historical trends and a mountain of statistics to arrive at their college football picks. But all that hard work can be for naught if nasty weather comes into play. Let’s see whether or not the weather will make a difference in this weekend’s games.

Weather Warnings

The season is relatively young and there is no talk of snow on the horizon. However, there are several matchups this weekend that could see rain in the forecast. As any seasoned sports handicapper knows, even a little rain can change the course of a game and the way we view not only the sides but the totals in our college football picks. Let’s take a look at the contests where the weather may have an effect and note where the college football odds makers are moving their lines because of it.

12:00 PM ET Florida vs. Vanderbilt
The forecast calls for a 30 percent chance of light thunderstorms with temperatures in the low to mid-80's. Not surprisingly the total has moved down two full points in some of the world’s top online sportsbooks. What started out as a low college football total at 43 is now down to 41 in some shops, although most are holding fast to 41 ½, and the under could be a significant lean if the chance of rain grows stronger as we move forward. Currently, the Gators are nine-point road favorites down from 9 ½ at the onset.

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1:00 PM ET Central Michigan vs. Boston College
The 1-3 BC Eagles were initially installed as eight-point home chalk but that number has fallen to seven across the board. However, that line drop has more to do with the uncertain status of Eagles’ QB Anthony Brown than the 60 percent chance of light showers that may fall on Chestnut Hill this Saturday. Ironically, the total has soared from 50 to 53 as of this Friday morning writing and that may be a nice number to take advantage of by going low in this game if the field gets slick. Keep an eye out on this one and don’t wait too late to get a good number by shopping around at the top sportsbooks located at SBRodds.com.

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7:00 PM ET Middle Tennessee State vs. Florida Atlantic
Here we have a game that projects an 80 percent chance of thunderstorms yet the total has jumped from 57 to 60 in most online sportsbooks. Was the opening number that bad or do the oddsmakers have such little faith in the meteorologists that they just don’t care that the game may be complicated by a downpour? The Blue Raiders opened as 2 ½ point road favorites but that number has bumped up to a field goal over their hosts from Florida Atlantic. Once again, those that follow the weather can oftentimes get numbers that others can’t by betting early. This could be a prime spot for an under play. 

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