Get Ready For Week 2 - Breakdown Of What We Learned During Opening Games

Hawaii vs. California in week 1

Doug Upstone

Sunday, September 4, 2016 6:25 PM UTC

Sunday, Sep. 4, 2016 6:25 PM UTC

For the first time in 44 years, two Top 5 programs lost their opening games in the same week. Expert capper will make sure we won't forget some key factors for our upcoming NCAAF picks.

All three service academies won (2-1 ATS), which is only the second time that has happened since 2000. And you might not have heard, but Navy had to pull their fourth string quarterback Malcolm Perry out of the stands (he missed three days of practice and was technically not eligible to dress) because the starting QB was injured early and the 3rd-stringer was suspended, thus, he was called to locker room, his uniform had to be found and he played in the Middies 52-17 win over Fordham as 17-point favorites.

There were several more stories, but let's cover the bigger ones in looking at the college football odds.


SEC Looks Very Overrated
Aside from Alabama taking what started out looking like a good football game and turning it into what seemed like a full scrimmage against the local junior college in ousting USC 52-6, it was not SEC's finest moment. Overall the conference suffered six losses, the most in Game 1 scenarios since 1995 and Ole Miss still has to face Florida State on Labor Day.

If you discount Thursday's sleep inducer between South Carolina and Vanderbilt, the SEC stands at 4-7 against the spread. Even some of the covers were lucky. Auburn's defense will give them a chance to win games, but they covered thanks to a late score. Texas A&M had a 15-point lead and lost it final five minutes, but  won and beat the number at BetDSI in OT. Georgia defeated North Carolina with running game, but received every break from officials on 50/50 calls, many which to this observer viewed could have gone the other way.

Ninth-rated Tennessee was fortunate to escape Appalachian State in OT in Knoxville. Les Miles is right back on the hot seat after a loss to Wisconsin and he needs another quarterback as Brandon Harris is a "coach killer". Mississippi State lost to South Alabama after blowing 17-point and Kentucky held 25-point lead over Southern Miss, only to permit the Golden Eagles the next 34 points, falling from -7 to -3 point favorites by kickoff in 44-35 stunner in Lexington.

Florida and Arkansas were dull winners and Missouri did not score a touchdown until 1:49 left in the game against West Virginia defense which had nine new starters and they held 3-1 turnovers edge.

The SEC is not dead, but talk radio in the South will be lively this week.


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Houston Is The Real Deal
If the Big 12 powers wanted a great audition for a potential new member in Houston, they got it, but they probably lost one vote, Oklahoma's. The perception was the Cougars had the speed to compete with the Sooners, but not the size. Well, Houston was more than big enough and held Oklahoma to just 2.7 yards a carry and kept the ball for over 35 minutes against a gassed Sooner defense.

Coach Tom Herman's club will be favored in the rest of their regular season games, but have two tough Thursday night games on short weeks, Sept. 15th in Cincinnati and Nov. 17 hosting Louisville.


No Accident About Ohio State
With Michigan and Jim Harbaugh grabbing most of the headlines, Urban Meyer has been mostly quiet about Ohio State reloading. But make no mistake, Meyer knew the Wolverines were huge favorites over Hawai'i (-38 was closing number) and would run up the score. His Buckeyes were not going to be outdone and they battered Bowling Green 77-10 as 27.5-point favorites. Meyer has done this in the past and picks his moments to make statements without saying a word.

In all, the Big Ten was 12-2 and 7-7 ATS, but other than Wisconsin looking better than presumed, not much learned.

Lastly, in eight game articles, my college football picks showed a strong 7-2 ATS. Time to look ahead to next week.

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