What did we learn in the FBS east of Old Man River in Week 12? Rivalry Week left many lessons to be learned for the avid bettor, and the key to success in NCAAF Betting is to use that information for the future.
NCAAF PICKS ATS RECORD: 23-14-0
#1 Alabama, #2 Ohio State, #4 Clemson Win, Keep CFP Hopes Alive in Week 12
The Iron Bowl saw #1 Alabama (12.2 ppg, #2 Scoring Defense) win its 24th straight, but the Crimson Tide (8-4 ATS) failed to cover the closing number ATS (ALA -20½, BetOnline) in Week 13 in a 30-12 win over intrastate rival #13 Auburn in Tuscaloosa which saw Alabama—which will play Florida in the SEC Championship Game on Saturday (CBS, 4 p.m. EST)—extend its run of not allowing a TD since Oct. 22nd.
And #2 Ohio State survived another Michigan school, this time the #3 Wolverines, needing double OT to win 30-27 in Columbus in an ancient Big Ten rivalry in the biggest game of the season in the CFP so far (FiveThirtyEight gives the Buckeyes an 88% chance of making the CFP). The result was an extremely tough Loss for Under bettors—it was 0-0 after 1Q—who saw the game go to the first OT, tied 17-17 (OSU -4, 45, BetDSI) and a good win for sportsbooks who opened Michigan at -7 and saw very heavy Wolverines action.
Deshaun Watson (20/1 to win Heisman Trophy, Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook) and #4 Clemson (8/1 to win CFP National Championship, SuperBook) defeated South Carolina, 56-7 (CLEM -20, Bovada), meaning the Tigers—who led 35-0 at Halftime and who will now play Virginia Tech in Orlando on Saturday in the ACC Championship Game (ABC, 8 p.m. EST)—will likely move up to Michigan’s #3 slot when the CFP Top 25 Rankings are revealed Tuesday (ESPN, 7 p.m. EST). The final four teams will be unveiled this coming weekend on Selection Sunday (ESPN, 12 p.m. EST).
#6 Wisconsin, #7 Penn State Win, Will Meet in Big Ten Title Tilt
Will the winner of the Big Ten Championship Game have an outside chance to make the CFP? With Wisconsin getting by Minnesota and Penn State beating Michigan State, it will be the Badgers and Nittany Lions meeting at Lucas Oil Field in Indianapolis on next Saturday, Dec. 3 (FOX, 8 p.m. EST). And if Penn State should win and either (or both) Clemson or Washington lose in their conference championship games, then maybe?
Department of Trends: Pittsburgh Overs 10-1, UConn Finally Scores a TD, Temple Covers...Again
The Over has W10 straight in Pittsburgh games after Saturday’s 76-61 win by the Panthers over Syracuse (67, Intertops) which saw the hosts go Over the Total themselves in the highest-scoring game ever in FBS. while Connecticut finally scored a TD—the Huskies had gone since Oct. 22nd without hitting paydirt—but lost at Home to Tulane (TUL -1½), 38-13.
Temple improved to an FBS-best 9-1 ATS with its 37-10 spanking of East Carolina (TEMP -23, Bovada), outscoring the Pirates 37-3 after trailing 7-0 in the 1Q (and seeing a 155-minute scoreless streak ended). The Owls covered ATS on a a TD after a 70-yard drive with 3:33 to go in the 4Q. And #21 Western Michigan (11-0 SU) defeated Toledo, 55-25, covering ATS (WM -7, BookMaker) and improving its overall Point Spread Record since 2014 to 27-11 ATS (71.1%)—best in FBS. The Broncos will now play Ohio in the MAC Championship Game this Friday at Ford Field in Detroit (ESPN2, 7 p.m. EST).