What Kind of Impact The 4 Team Playoff System Has on Bettors

Doug Upstone

Sunday, December 6, 2015 4:06 PM GMT

Sunday, Dec. 6, 2015 4:06 PM GMT

The first season of the college football Final Four playoff format ended up with as much late regular season controversy as the BCS before it for football handicappers and everyone else.

TCU was ranked third going into the final poll and looked like a lock after destroying Iowa State 55-3 as five-touchdown favorites. But that night, Ohio State made a statement, walloping Wisconsin 59-0 in the Big Ten championship game with an unknown quarterback named Cardale Jones as four-point underdogs according to sportsbooks and the Buckeyes was elevated from fifth to four to reach the tournament, while the Horned Frogs mysteriously fell all the way to No.6.

There is no point rehashing the why's about the outcome, because in the end be it computers or humans, in today's world, everyone has an opinion and chances are about half the world will disagree with you.

For the sake of looking at the college football odds for sports picks, what kind of impact did last year's new playoff system have on bettors, let's talk about it.

 

Conference Championship Games Matter
As evidenced by Ohio State, taking care of business still matters and Urban Meyer understands this as much as anyone, selectively picking spots to run up scores when necessary.

Last season, Alabama might not have too excited for Florida Atlantic or Western Carolina, but they came ready to play Missouri in the SEC title game and mauled the Tigers early on to 42-13 victory as 14-point favorites.

Oregon's lone defeat was at home to Arizona, but in the Pac-12 title rematch, the Ducks were all quacked up and ambushed Arizona 51-13 with -14.5 point football odds.

If Florida State had lost to Georgia Tech in the ACC title game, which they almost did (37-35), though they would also have had one loss, no question the Seminoles would have been out.

The Big 12's needs to add BYU and possibly another team to make 12 again, because it cost them last year not having a championship contest. The same goes for Notre Dame, who despite having a loose football affiliation with the ACC, has little chance to reach Final 4 unless they are unbeaten.

 

Playoffs and Related Bowls, the Story Remains the Same
While we are just past Year 1 in the playoff system, the tried and true basics of betting football still apply. Ohio State became national champions because they were better on both sides of the line of scrimmage than Alabama and Oregon and made all the right plays at the right time.

Florida State was unimpressive defensively at the end of the season and the Ducks tore them up in the Rose Bowl.

We also has the other three bowls that are part of the rotation and the results fit what we knew. Boise State had more to play for and were still peaking, while Arizona should have been excited playing in the Fiesta Bowl just up the road but was not and lost 38-30.

Baylor's defense was exposed late in the season and Michigan State's offense got hot in second half of Peach Bowl and squeaked out a 42-41 win.

TCU wanted to show the world they belonged in the Final 4 and Ole Miss had already played its best football and was sinking and the Horned Frogs roughed up the Rebels 42-3.

In conclusion, football bettors should know for futures wagering, better to lose early than late for picking champion, find the right teams and chances for them to run up the score and the clearest path to Final 4 is impressive conference title game win.

Once the Super Six bowls are set, it's is fundamental football betting 101.

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