Week 9 College Football Breakdown with Joe Lisi: TCU vs. Iowa State

Friday, October 27, 2017 3:38 PM UTC

Friday, Oct. 27, 2017 3:38 PM UTC

Week 9 College Football breakdown with Joe Lisi: This is the companion article to Joe's picks on the TCU vs. Iowa State game on Saturday at 3:30 pm ET.

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TCU Horned Frogs vs Iowa State Cyclones  

Line: TCU -6.5

Since 2013, TCU is 4-0 over Iowa State and has won those games by 25.2 ppg. TCU won 41-20 last year in Fort Worth.

Iowa State is ranked for the first time since 2005 and lost 4 games in 2016 to Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Baylor and Kansas State by a total of 25 points. This year the Cyclones lost two games to Iowa (44-41) and Texas (17-7) by a total of 13 points or 6.5 ppg.

TCU is averaging 56% of their third downs this season (1st in FBS) and is holding opposing offenses to 26% of their third-down opportunities this year.

Quarterback Kenny Hill has completed 70% of his passes for 1,728 yards with 15 touchdowns and 3 interceptions this year.

TCU is averaging 198 rushing yards per game and is passing for 268 yards per game through the air this season.

The Horned Frogs are allowing 80 rushing yards per game and are giving up 210 passing yards to opposing offenses this season.

Iowa State is coming off of a solid road win over Texas Tech 31-13 in which they rushed for 208 yards and passed for 192 yards in Lubbock last Saturday.

Cyclones quarterback Kyle Kempt is completing 69% of his passes for 657 yards with 7 touchdowns and 1 interception. Iowa State’s offensive line is playing very well this year and is allowing 9 sacks through the first seven games this year.

Wide receivers Hakeem Butler and Allan Lazard have combined for 56 receptions for 8 touchdowns and match-up very well against the TCU defenders in bump and run overage.

Iowa State is converting 38% of their third downs this season and did convert 8 of 16 attempts last weekend against the Red Raiders.

Defensively, the Cyclones are holding the opposing offense to 120 rushing yards per game have been a very opportunistic team that enters this +8 in turnover margin.

TCU does have a game with Texas the following week and playing in Ames is never an easy place to play. Expect a crazy atmosphere for Kenny Hill and company and Iowa State seems to be building momentum at just the right time in the season.

Matt Campbell is an aggressive coach and the fact that Iowa State defeated Oklahoma on the road in Norman should give this team confidence heading into this contest.

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