Week 7 College Football Breakdown with Joe Lisi: Georgia Tech-Miami & Auburn-LSU

College Football Picks | Two Cashing Picks With Joe Lisi

Joe Lisi

Friday, October 13, 2017 5:30 PM GMT

Friday, Oct. 13, 2017 5:30 PM GMT

Joe Lisi and Drew Martin break down the Georgia Tech vs Miami in this ACC rivalry and also talk LSU vs Auburn. Joe is off a 3-1 week last week. Join these two for an insightful article and video.

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Georgia Tech vs. Miami 
Line: Miami -6.0    

Keys to the Game: 

Miami is 4-1 over Georgia Tech since 2012 and has won those games by 10.5 ppg. The past two wins for Miami have been decided by 15.5 ppg.  

Georgia Tech is coming out of a bye week while the Hurricanes are coming off of a last-second win over archrival Florida State which snapped a seven-game losing streak.  

The Yellow Jackets enter this game averaging 396 rushing yards per game and are passing for 83 yards per game this season. The offense is converting on 53% of their third-down attempts and will look to methodically work down the field to keep the potent Hurricanes offense on the sidelines.  

The Hurricanes allowed 203 rushing yards to Florida State last week and could be a concern heading into this contest with Georgia Tech. Entering that game last week, FSU was rushing for 90 yards per game and struggled with offensive line play heading to that contest.  

Miami must be able to maintain gap integrity going up against the triple option and cannot over pursue running lanes in this match-up.  

The Hurricanes are giving up 41% of opposing offenses third-down attempts and must be able to force three and outs against the Yellow Jackets to get the home win.  

Georgia Tech is very good as a defensive unit allowing 259 total yards per game. The unit is giving up 101 rushing yards per game and 158 passing yards to opposing offenses.  

More importantly, the unit is holding opposing offenses to 23% of their third downs and will look to put the Miami offense into long third down situations which will allow the unit to dial up blitz packages to get pressure.  

Miami is averaging 199 rushing yards per game and is passing for 272 yards through the air. Quarterback Malik Rosier is the key to the Miami win. If the Hurricanes can jump up early and stretch the Yellow Jackets defense vertically early on, it will force the Georgia Tech offense to abandon the running game. Rosier has completed 58% of his passes for 1,074 yards with 11 touchdowns and 3 interceptions.  

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Auburn vs. LSU 
Line: Auburn -7.0 

Keys to the Game: 

LSU has won three of the last five over Auburn by an average margin of victory of 13.3 points per game. Last year, Auburn won 18-13 on the Plains in controversial fashion as LSU scored with no time remaining on the clock for the apparent 19-18 win. However, the clock expired and Auburn held on for the home win.  

Auburn’s last win in Death Valley came in 1999 by a score of 41-7.  

LSU looked very impressive offensively and defensively last week in the Swamp. LSU rushed for 216 yards on the Gators from seven and utilized multiple formations to allow their play makers the opportunity to make plays in “space”.  

LSU converted 6 of 14 on third downs last week (42%) and will need to move the football through the air this coming Saturday. LSU must be able to mix up lay calling on first and second downs by being aggressive against the Auburn secondary that is allowing 176 passing yards per game.  

LSU passed for 125 yards last week, however, it was an effective passing attack that kept the Gators off balance because of various motions and formations by offensive coordinator-Matt Canada. Expect the same type of game plan this coming Saturday in Death Valley.  

LSU is averaging 196 rushing yards per game and is averaging 201 passing yards per game.  

LSU quarterback Danny Etling is completing 60% of his passes for 1,046 yards with 6 touchdowns and 1 interception. He is a veteran signal caller that has played in big games over the past two seasons and should not be fazed by the atmosphere this weekend.  

On the other hand, Auburn’s quarterback Jarrett Stidham has not played in an SEC road environment this year and will face a tough defense in Death Valley. LSU is allowing 137 rushing yards per game and is giving up 171 passing yards to opposing offenses.  

Auburn has defeated Georgia Southern (0-4), Mercer, Missouri (1-4), Miss. State (3-2) and Ole Miss (2-3) who are a combined 6-13 overall this year or .315%. 

Auburn is rushing for 228 yards per game and is passing for 224 yards per game this season. Stidham has completed 71% of his passes for 1,345 yards with 7 touchdowns and 2 interceptions.  

Auburn has allowed 19 total sacks through the first six games (11 vs Clemson) and must be able to give Stidham time to attack the LSU secondary. Auburn is converting 48% of their third downs and must be able to maintain drives on the road to keep the LSU offense on the sidelines.  

Defensively, Auburn is giving up 111 rushing yards per game and is allowing 176 passing yards to opposing offenses. The Tigers have recorded 15 sacks as a unit in 2017

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