Week 6: Top 11 ATS Cats and Rats in College Football

Northern Illinois Huskies players

Kevin Stott

Tuesday, October 3, 2017 5:59 PM GMT

Tuesday, Oct. 3, 2017 5:59 PM GMT

Let’s take a look at at our latest 11 ATS Cats and Rats list which has seen Utah and UConn retain their ATS rankings as Top Cat and Top Rat respectively and offer up a pair of hopefully winning college football picks.

Top 11 College Football ATS Cats List (October 3, 2017)

 

1. Utah 4-0 ATS (Last Week: #1)

It’s almost impossible to be dethroned as the Top Cat, when you’re unbeaten both SU (4-0) and ATS (4-0), and that's what happens to Utah which enjoyed a Bye Week this past weekend. 13th-year Head Coach Kyle Whittingham (80-67-3 ATS) and senior Troy Williams (2,575 yards, 15 TDs in 2016) are ready to go against Stanford at Home in Salt Lake City on Saturday night in Week 6 action, with starting QB Tyler Huntley still recovering. WR Darren Carrington II (30 Receptions, 485 yards, 4 TDs, 16.2 ypc) and Utah (+3.5 ppg than Point Spread) have a +1.5 ppg TO Margin in games versus FBS North Dakota, rivals BYU, San José State and Arizona and the consistent Utes (9-4 SU, 7-5 ATS in 2016) have W5 straight ATS overall dating back to last season but will truly be tested by the Cardinal who are 7-point favorites despite the game being at Utah and the Utes now being a ranked team.

 

2. Central Florida 3-0 ATS (Last Week: Not ranked)

No. 25 Central Florida (3-0 SU/ATS) is an amazing +26.5 ppg better than ATS and in Week 5, the Golden Knights pounded host Memphis, 40-13 (UCF -5½) in American Athletic Conference play last weekend and QB McKenzie Milton and UCF are at Cincinnati on Saturday in Week 6 in a game which has seen the spread go from (Central Florida minus) 13 all the way up to 17 in a little more than 24 hours at offshore sportsbooks with early Sharp money backing the Road chalks. So if you want to lay 17 or less with UCF, best think of doing so now. RB Adrian Killins Jr. (21 Rushes, 192 yards, 2 TDs), WR Tre’Quan Smith (10 receptions, 172 yards, 4 TDs, 17.2 ypc) and UCF (539.3 ypg Total Offense, #7) have scored 61 (FIU), 38 (Maryland) and 40 points (Memphis) while allowing just 17, 10 and 13, thus the ATS ppg margin and vault from nowhere to the #2 spot on our list. But are UCF worth backing at -17 at Cincinnati? The Golden Knights battered the Bearcats, in Orlando last year, 24-3, covering ATS as 10½-point favorites but were smashed the last time they played at Cincinnati, 52-7 (in 2015), failing to cover ATS as huge 26-point underdogs.

 

3. Buffalo 5-0 ATS (Last Week: #4)

Buffalo (3-2 SU, 5-0 ATS) continues to impress and rewarded the Wiseguys in Week 5, covering ATS at ratty Kent State, 27-13 (BUF -7) and the Sharps are on the Bulls (+6.5 ppg vs ATS) again on Saturday in Week 6 at Western Michigan driving the line down from its opening (Western Michigan minus) 10 points to as low as 6½ on Monday night. In Week 3, host Buffalo beat FCS side Colgate, 33-10, covering ATS for those laying 22 but no for those laying 23½. The Bulls three Road games have gone Under—the Kent State game by ½—while Buffalo’s two Home dates have gone Over the Total.

 

4. SMU 5-0 ATS (Last Week: #7)

SMU (4-1 SU, 5-0 ATS) joins Buffalo as the first FBS teams to 5 ATS Wins after the Mustangs defeated King Rat—Connecticut—by a 49-28 score at Gerald J. Ford Stadium (FieldTurf) in Dallas last Saturday in Week 5 in an American Athletic Conference affair (SMU -19). But with SU Wins over FCS school SF Austin, North Texas, Arkansas State and Connecticut, the jury is still out on 3rd-year HC Chad Morris (17-10 ATS) and SMU (+9.9 ppg vs. ATS) who will be at Houston on Saturday in Week 6 in American Athletic Conference play and the early money has been on SMU, driving a 9½-point Opening line (BetOnline) to as low as 6 (Bovada) in a little over one day of Offshore trading. SMU is 1-3 ATS the L4 at Houston.

 

5. Georgia Tech (4-0 ATS) (Last Week: #6)

The Rambling Wreck of Georgia Tech (3-1 SU, 4-0 ATS) always seems like a good team to back at the betting windows and after reeling off 4 straight ATS Wins to end last season (VT, VA, GA, KY in Bowl), the Yellow Jackets (479.3 ypg Total Offense, #24) and 10th-year HC Paul Johnson (58-49-5 ATS) have reeled off 4 straight ATS Wins to start this season and are currently playing 10.9 points above the spread. QB TaQuon Marshall and Georgia Tech walloped North Carolina last Saturday in Week 5, 33-7 at Home at Bobby Dodd Stadium in Atlanta (GT -10, 57½ 5Dimes) and the Yellow Jackets will enjoy a Bye Week this weekend in Week 6 before heading to #13 Miami (Florida) next Thursday to kick off Week 7 (Oct. 12), a series where the Yellow Jackets are a dismal 1-7 ATS L8 against the Hurricanes with GT 0-4 ATS the L4 at Miami.

 

6. Northern Illinois 4-0 ATS (Last Week: #8)

Northern Illinois (2-2 SU, 4-0 ATS) are +8.0 ppg better than the Point Spread after the MAC Conference reps lost in a very tough Week 5 Non-Conference game at #22 San Diego State, 34-28, but covering ATS as 9½-point Road Underdogs. In Week 6, it looks like a great spot to back RB Jordan Huff and Northern Illinois at the betting windows against rats Kent State in DeKalb on Saturday (NIU -23, 44½, Heritage) in what oddsmakers anticipate to be a low-scoring game in the Land of Lincoln (and Cindy Crawford). The Huskies (6-1-1 ATS in MAC in 2016) beat the Golden Flashes, 31-21 in the last week of the 2016 Regular Season at Kent, covering as 7-point Favorites and NIU is 7-1-1 ATs the L9 vs. Kent State. Count me in Bubba.

 

7. Texas Tech 3-0-1 ATS (Last Week: Not ranked)

In Week 5, another team from the powerful Big 12 Conference, Texas Tech (3-1 SU, 3-0-1 ATS) were at #15 Oklahoma State, and the host Cowboys won, 41-34, but one in which the Red Raiders (+12.0 ppg vs ATS) got the money, getting 11 points as the Road Dogs in a game which went Under the high Total of 85½. Coming up this Saturday in Week 6 Big 12 play, 5th-year Head Coach Kliff Kingsbury (28-21-1 ATS) and Texas Tech face Kansas in Lawrence on Saturday (TT -17½, 80½, 5Dimes) in a series which has seen QB Nick Shimonek—backup to 4 NFL QBs, including Chiefs 2017 Draft choice Patrick Mahomes—and the Red Raiders go 13-1 SU the L14 vs. Kansas and 3-1 ATS the L4 on the Road in this still fairly new series. Last year, TT rolled 55-19 at Home in Lubbock as big 27½-point favorites and the pass-happy Red Raiders should win by 20 here and rock as big chalks against the Jayhawks.

 

8. Fresno State 4-0 ATS (Last Week: #10)

The Sharps love Fresno State (2-2 SU, 4-0 ATS) against San Jose State on Saturday like Blue Horseshoe loved Anacott Steel in Wall Street, driving the opening line from (Fresno State minus) 11½ (BetOnline) all the way up to as high as 16½ in one Offshore sportsbook (BetMania) in the first 30 hours of wagering. And with the Bulldogs +14.5 ppg better than the Point Spread and San José State (1-5 SU, 2-4 ATS) down this year, backing the Bulldogs is the probably the best bet but buyer beware as the Spartans are 2-0 ATS the L3 against Fresno State and won outright last year at Home, 16-14 (SJS -3), although the Bulldogs covered ATS by 1 point.

 

9. New Mexico State 4-0-1 ATS (Last Week: #2)

QB Tyler Rogers and New Mexico State (2-3 SU, 4-0-1 ATS) might not have won in Fayetteville last Saturday against SEC side Arkansas in a Week 5 Non-Conference game, falling 42-24 (ARKANSAS -18½, JustBet), but the Aggies covered in sportsbooks which closed at 18½ and 19 and pushed at those where 18 was the closing line (BetDSI). New Mexico State (3-9 SU, 7-5 ATS in 2016) are now unbeaten their last 6 ATS dating back to last season and are +9.3 ppg better than the closing Point Spread and in Week 6 Sun belt play, 5th-year HC Doug Martin (25-26-1 ATS) and the Aggies are at Appalachian State on Saturday in a spot where the visitors from The City of Crosses and The Land of Enchantment find themselves as large 11-point underdogs (BetDSI). Last year, the Mountaineers pounded NMS, 37-7 in Las Cruces as 17-point favorites. This one seems best left alone as the Aggies—5 of first 7 games on Road—may be getting a little tired of the Travel.

 

10. Marshall 4-0 ATS (Last Week: #9)

QB Chase Litton and Marshall (3-1 SU, 4-0 ATS) stayed perfect against the Point Spread with a 38-21 outright win at Cincinnati on Saturday in Week 5 as the visitors passed a big C-USA test under 8th-year HC John Holliday (44-40-4 ATS). Litton and the Thundering Herd (+9.9 ppg vs ATS) have a troika of solid WRs in Tyre Brady, Marcel Williams, and Willie Johnson and on Saturday night (6 pm ET) in Week 6 play, Marshall faces ratty Charlotte at Jerry Richardson Stadium in beautiful Charlotte, North Carolina (MARS -15 -106, Pinnacle) in a game in which Marshall could possibly win by 40 as Cats eat Rats.

 

11. Clemson 4-1 ATS (Last Week: Honorable Mention)

Kelly Bryant and defending national champions and #2 Clemson (5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS) definitely deserve this spot, despite the one ATS Loss (BC) as HC Dabo Swinney (63-49-1 ATS) and the Tigers haven’t lost a game SU before November since 2015 and Clemson is an incredible 35-2 their L37 games, losing only to Pitt in the 2016 Regular Season and perennial powerhouse Alabama in the 2015 CFP Playoffs. This Saturday in Week 6 between the hedges, Clemson hosts upstart Wake Forest (CLEM -21, 47, BetOnline) in a game on the October calendar which the Demon Deacons (4-1 ATS) can win (+1,125 Moneyline, Heritage), despite the huge number. You heard it here first! Last year, the Tigers beat host Wake, 35-13, but failed to cover (by 1½) as 23½-point chalks.

 

Honorable Catty Mentions: Duke (4-1 ATS), Georgia (4-1 ATS), Notre Dame (4-1 ATS), Wake Forest (4-1 ATS), Ohio (3-1 ATS), Iowa State (3-1 ATS), Southern Miss (3-1 ATS), Oklahoma (3-1 ATS), Purdue (3-1 ATS), UAB (3-1 ATS), Tulane (3-1 ATS), Eastern Michigan (3-1 ATS), ULM (3-1 ATS), Navy (3-1 ATS), Texas (3-1 ATS), Michigan St. (3-1 ATS), UNLV (3-1 ATS).

 

Top 11 College Football ATS Rats List (October 3, 2017)

 

1. Connecticut 0-4 ATS (Last Week: #1)

Our new No. 1 last week did not disappoint (us, maybe themselves) in Week 5 as Connecticut got spanked in Big D against our # 4 Cat, SMU, 49-28, failing to cover ATS as 16½-point closing Favorites and in Week 6, Memphis is in town. This weekend, the Tigers are 14-point Road favorites over the Huskies (-9.2 ppg vs ATS), bet down from an opening (Memphis minus) 16. In 2015, Memphis (9-5-1 as Road Favorite L3 years) pounded UConn in American Athletic Conference play in Tennessee, 41-10, covering ATS as 23-point Favorites.

 

2. East Carolina 1-4 ATS (Last Week: #2)

The Pirates are 1-8 ATS L9 and 2-13 ATS L15 ATS with East Carolina opponents averaging well over 50 ppg in those L9 games (64, 56, 34, 37, 66, 55, 45, 41, 61) after #18 South Florida had a big 2nd Half to swashbuckle the Pirates, 61-31 on Saturday in Week 5 at Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium in Greenville, NC (S-FLA -23, BetDSI). This weekend in Week 6, ECU hosts Temple (TEM -3 -105, BookMaker) in a game where the early, perceived smart money has been on ECU with the Owls opening up at -6 and being bet down to as low as -2½ on Monday (-105, Heritage). Temple is 4-0 ATS L4 vs. ECU, winning 37-10 last year in Philadelphia (TEM -22).

 

3. Brigham Young 0-5 ATS (Last Week: #5)

After reeling off 9 ATS winners in 11 games dating back to last season, BYU (9-4 SU, 9-3 ATS in 2016) L6 straight ATS after the Cougars (-22.3 ppg) lost outright as 3-point Road Favorites this past weekend against rivals Utah State in Logan and despite the tough reality 2nd-year HC Kalani Sitake (9-8 ATS) and BYU have played LSU, Utah, Wisconsin and underrated Utah State, the Independent Cougars (-14.3 ppg vs. Point Spread) check in at # 3 by virtue of their 5 ATS Losses—matching #5 Rat Oregon State. In  Week 6 on Friday night in the Beehive State, BYU host Boise State in a game in which oddsmakers have made the Broncos 8-point favorites (BookMaker) but as bad as it may seem BYU (2.5 TO’s a game) has played, anyone watching free fallin' Boise games know it’s a shell of its former gridiron selves.

 

4. Kent State 1-4 ATS (Last Week #4)

The Golden Flashes (5-9 SU, 5-5 ATS in 2016) rank #125 in Total Offense (274.4 ypg) and are averaging just 3.8 ypp—while allowing 7.8 ypp—and nobody has a lower Scoring Average than the Golden Flashes who have scored just 4.8 ppg. This weekend, 5fth-year HC Paul Hayes (17-30-1 ATS) and Kent State (L6-7 ATS) are in DeKalb to face NIU on Saturday (NIU -23, 44½, Heritage) in a game which we’ve already raved about (NIU is 7-1-1 ATS the L9).

 

5. Oregon State 0-5 ATS (Last Week: #6)

The Beavers (4-8 SU, 9-2 ATS in 2016) and 3rd-year HC Gary Andersen (12-15 ATS) are now off to a nasty 0-5 ATS after #9 Washington crushed Oregon State in Pac-12 meeting play in Corvallis in Week 5, 42-7, losing ATS as big 28-point favorites. The Beavers had covered 7 of 8 games to end the 2015 Regular Season but are one on two 0-5 ATS starters (BYU) and have been an abhorrent -21.6 ppg vs. ATS—the worst average in FBS thanks to allowing a porous 6.4 ypp and 484.0 ypg (#109). In Week 6, Oregon State runs into #14 Southern California in Los Angeles on Saturday (USC -24 -106, Pinnacle) in a game in which the hosts should be in a foul mood after losing to Washington State last weekend.

 

6. Missouri 0-4 ATS (Last Week: #8)

The Tigers (4-6 SU, 4-7 ATS in 2016) and 2nd-year HC Barry Odom (4-11 ATS) have gotten off to a horrific start—and SEC play is just starting for Mizzou (-21.1 ppg vs. ATS)—with this team -29.0 ppg in Point Differential after facing FCS side Missouri State, South Carolina, Purdue and Auburn in their first four games, The Tigers, last in the nation in Turnovers given up (-3.00 TO Per game), mercifully had a Bye Week in Week 5 and return to play this weekend at Kentucky (KENTUCKY -10, 59½, 5Dimes). Mizzou (-21.1 ppg vs ATS) is 2-10 ATS the L12 games dating back to last year and have slowly become a fade-worthy team.

 

7. Bowling Green 0-5 ATS (Last Week: Not ranked)

Bowling Green (0-5 SU/ATS) will be looking for its first SU and ATS win on Saturday against Miami Ohio in Week 6 in MAC play. Last year, the RedHawks (1-3 ATS L4 vs. BG) won 40-26 at Bowling Green, winning outright over the Falcons as small 1-point Road Underdogs.

 

8. Mississippi 0-4 ATS (Last Week: Not ranked)

Another 0-4 ATS SEC side, Ole Miss jumps onto the Top 11 Rats List this week and the Rebels (-15.8 ppg vs. ATS) are at #12 Auburn on Saturday in Week 6 play (AUB -21). Mississippi, which was smashed by #1 Alabama, 66-3 in Tuscaloosa in Week 5 (ALS -29), have now L6 straight games ATS dating back to last year and will be playing its third straight Road game.

 

9. Western Kentucky 0-4 ATS (Last Week: #10)

Western Kentucky has played -12.0 ppg under the posted Point Spreads after having such a nice 2016 (11-3 SU, 7-6 ATS) and the Hilltoppers were off in Week 5 and now face fellow Rats UTEP in El Paso in a Week 6 C-USA game in which the Hilltoppers should probably bust loose.

 

10. UL Lafayette 0-3-1 ATS (Last Week: #11)

Louisiana Lafayette (1-3 SU, 0-3-1 ATS) are -8.0 ppg vs. ATS and after a needed Bye Week, the Ragin’ Cajuns (6-7 SU, 7-5 ATS in 2016) head to Moscow, Idaho to face the Vandals in Week 6 in a game which has seen huge line movement with ULL opening 3-point Favorites and bettors making Idaho 7½-point chalks in a huge 10½-point line swing in perceptions on who the real Favorite is in this Sun Belt Conference tilt. Last season, the Vandals defeated ULL, 23-13, in Lafayette as 5-point Dogs.

 

11. Charlotte 1-4 ATS (Last Week: #3)

Charlotte (0-5 SU, 1-4 ATS) got its first ATS Win of the season, getting 9½ points in a 30-29 Loss at FIU in Week 5 and Charlotte (-11.1 ppg vs. ATS) is 7-17-3 ATS since joining the FBS and becoming a lined team. Seventh-year HC Brad Lambert (7-17-3 ATS) and the 49ers (L6-7 ATS) face Marshall in Week 6 action (MARSHALL -15, Bovada). The 49ers have scored 7, 7, 31 (FCS NC A&T), 0 and 29 points and currently are averaging 4.7 ypp on Offense, have been outscored by 23.5 ppg and have a -1.5 TO Margin per game (#123). Smart money is, and will be on the Thundering Herd against Charlotte this weekend.

 

Honorable Ratty Mentions: FSU (0-2-1 ATS), Arkansas (0-3-1 ATS), UTEP (1-4 ATS), Temple (1-4 ATS), Tennessee (1-4 ATS), NC State (1-4 ATS), Rice (1-4 ATS), UCLA (1-4 ATS), Troy (1-4 ATS).

 

Free NCAAF Week 6 Cat Pick: Northern Illinois -23.5 at 5DimesFree NCAAF Week 6 Rat Fade: Marshall -15 

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