Week 6 Opening Lines, Week 5 Postmortem

troy lsu

Kevin Stott

Monday, October 2, 2017 1:18 PM GMT

Monday, Oct. 2, 2017 1:18 PM GMT

Let’s look at the opening spreads for NCAAF Week 6 and do our weekly postmortem on the past weekend’s numbers, which saw significant movement and where betting the chalks ATS proved to be a more profitable thing than backing the underdogs.

NCAAF Week 5 Good For Some Trojans, Not For Some Other Trojans

The ATS Favorites finally had a good week in College Football Week 5, going a profitable 31-23 ATS (Favorites 199-49 SU L4 weeks) after Underdogs had gone on a nice little winning run overall including a 33-25 record last weekend in Week 4. Home teams went 30-28 SU but lost money at the betting windows (26-28 ATS) in Week 5 while in the Totals marketplace, it was almost dead even with Unders going 27-26-1.

The biggest outright upset came on Saturday when Troy State knocked off #25 LSUat Death Valley in Baton Rouge, 24-21, ending a 49-game Home winning streak against nonconference foes as the little Sun Belt’s Trojans held the big SEC’s Tigers scoreless in the 1st Half (LSU -20½ -115, 49, BetOnline). Troy was as high as +1,150 on the Moneyline (Sports Interaction). Two teams who had their CFP hopes dashed were now #14 (were #5) USC, which lost outright to now #11 Washington State Friday night in Pullman, 30-27, (USC -5) and #16 (were #12) Virginia Tech, which to defending national champions and #2 Clemson at Home in Blacksburg, 31-17 (CLEM -7).

Here are all of your opening Point Spreads for College Football Week 6 from sportsbook BetOnline along with numbers minutes after the first moves late Sunday afternoon. You can find all of your lines here at SBR.odds.com around 5 pm ET late Sunday afternoons during Football season.

 

NCAA Football Odds Week 6

Thursday

Louisville -3 NC STATE (Open -3½)

Friday

Memphis -14½ UCONN (Open -16)

Boise State -7 -105 BYU (Open -7½ -105)

Saturday

AUBURN -21 Ole Miss (Open -20)

Texas Tech -14½ -105 KANSAS (Open -16)

OKLAHOMA -26 -105 Iowa State (Open -27)

Toledo -12 EASTERN MICHIGAN (Open -9 -105)

Georgia -15½ -115 VANDERBILT (Open -12)

CLEMSON -21 -125 Wake Forest (Open -23 -105)

Penn State -14 -105 NORTHWESTERN (Open -13½)

Temple -4½ -105 EAST CAROLINA (Open -6 -105)

IOWA -20 -115 Illinois (Open -19 -110)

Duke -2 VIRGINIA (Open -3)

SYRACUSE -5 -115 Pitt (Open -4 -115)

OHIO -11 -115 Central Michigan (Open -10 -115)

MIAMI OHIO -16 Bowling Green (Open -13)

MTSU No Line Florida International

UL-Monroe -7½ +100 TEXAS STATE (Open -9)

NORTHERN ILLINOIS -23½ -105 Kent State (Open -23½)

TCU -12½ West Virginia (Open -13 -115)

FLORIDA -6 -120 Lsu (Open -3 +100)

Western Michigan -10 BUFFALO (Open -10)

Miami (Florida) No Line FLORIDA STATE

INDIANA No Line Charleston Southern

AKRON -7½ -115 Ball State (Open -6½)

NAVY -12 -115 Air Force (Open -11 -115)

PURDUE -3 -145 Minnesota (Open PK)

Notre Dame -17 NORTH CAROLINA (Open -14½ -120)

APPALACHIAN STATE -10½ -115 New Mexico State (Open -10)

SOUTH CAROLINA -1½ -105 Arkansas (Open -1½ -105)

TULANE -3 -115 Tulsa (Open -3 -115)

Louisiana Tech -12 -115 UAB (Open -13½)

USC -32 -115 Oregon State (Open -31 -115)

OHIO STATE -31 Maryland (Open -31)

Colorado State -7 -115 UTAH STATE (Open -7 -115)

IDAHO -5½ UL Lafayette (Open ULL -3 +100)

MARSHALL -14½ Charlotte (Open -14½)

OLD DOMINION PK Florida Atlantic (Open PK)

Army -12 -115 RICE (Open -12 -115)

Georgia State -2½-115 COASTAL CAROLINA (Open PK)

TEXAS -7 -115 Kansas State (Open -5)

UTSA -8½ -115 Southern Miss (Open -4)

HOUSTON -7½ +105 Smu (Open -9½)

Alabama -25 -120 TEXAS A&M (Open -22 -115)

Virginia Tech -16½ -115 BOSTON COLLEGE (Open -16½ -115)

KENTUCKY -14½ -120 Missouri (Open -13)

Fresno State -14½ -115 SAN JOSE STATE (Open -11½)

MICHIGAN -13½ Michigan State (Open -13)

CENTRAL FLORIDA -15 -115 Cincinnati (Open -13 -115)

WISCONSIN -13 Nebraska (Open -10½ -115)

COLORADO -7 Arizona (Open -7 -105)

Washington State PK -115 OREGON (Open PK, -110 both sides)

Western Kentucky -17½ -105 UTEP (Open -19 -105)

Stanford -3 UTAH (Open -3)

Hawaii -4½ -120 NEVADA (Open -2½)

WASHINGTON -26 California (Open -27)

SAN DIEGO STATE -10 -105 Unlv (Open -12 -120)

 

Week 6 Big Movers at Open, Postmortem on Week 5

The biggest line mover in the first hour of trading on Sunday afternoon was Idaho, which went from a 3-point opening Underdog at Home for its game on Saturday against Louisiana Lafayette all the way up to a 5½-point Favorite as Wiseguys backed the Vandals heavily in what now seems like a weekly FBS College Football Favorite-flip. Early bettors also backed host UTSA, moving them from a 4-point opening chalk all the way up to 8½ over Southern Miss.

Houston was also popular, going from -7½ +105 to -9 against SMU in Houston on Saturday while Purdue was made the Favorites by first-look bettors Offshore, making the Boilermakers 3-point chalks (-115, BetOnline) from an opening PK against Big Ten Opponents Minnesota. And, #22 Notre Dame is up to 17½ after bettors at BetOnline bet them up from an opening 14½ against North Carolina at Chapel Hill on Saturday.

Some College Football Week 5 games which saw significant point spread movement and the results: Host Minnesota opened up as 9½-point Favorites and were bet all the way up to 14 in some sportsbooks (Bovada) and all that action was losing money and good for the sportsbooks as Maryland won outright, 31-24 (MARY +300 M/L, 5Dimes). ... Navy opened up at 2½ and the Midshipmen were bet all the way up to 8½ and that was all smart and winning money as Navy won at Tulsa, 31-21. ... Buffalo (66%) was bet up from an opening 4½ (-115, BetOnline) to as high as 7½ (Bovada) at Kent State and all of that proved to be smart money with the Bulls winning by 14 points, 27-13. ... Bettors backed Massachusetts over Ohio, driving and Ohio -8 opening line down to 4 (BetOnline) and the Bobcats backers got the vast majority of the winning in a 58-50 final scoreline at Massachusetts.

Southern Miss opened at 10½ and were bet down to as low as 7½ vs. North Texas and all of that Underdog money turned out to be very smart money with Texas State pulling off the outright upset, 43-28 at Southern Miss (TEXAS ST M/L +255, 5Dimes). ... Texas A&M opened up as 11-point Favorites over South Carolina in SEC play at College Station on Saturday and the Aggies were bet down to as low as 8 (BetDSI) but none of the chalk money covered in a 24-17 A&M win. ... Northern Illinois got a lot of love at the betting windows, going from 12-point Underdogs all the way down to +8½ (BetDSI) by kickoff in San Diego on Saturday night, and all that Huskies money won as NIU fell to SDS, 34-28, but covered ATS. ... And, host Central Florida (56.4%) went from -3 to -6 vs. Memphis and rewarded their backers with a 40-13 blowout.

WEEK 6 OPENING LINE PICKS: Vanderbilt +15½, NIU -23½, Buffalo +10, UTSA -8½, Fresno State -14½ (BetOnline)

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