Week 6 College Football Picks: Bet LSU as Double-Digit Favorite at South Carolina

Willie Bee

Tuesday, October 6, 2015 4:05 PM GMT

Leonard Fournette and the LSU Tigers hit the road as double-digit favorites on the NCAA football odds this Saturday when they travel to take on the South Carolina Gamecocks.

Can anyone stop Leonard Fournette, and in the process stop the 5th-ranked LSU Tigers?

South Carolina is the next team ready to give it the old college try when the Gamecocks welcome the Tigers to Columbia this Saturday. One of several noon (ET) kickoffs featuring ranked teams that are double-digit favorites on the College Football Odds, ESPN will televise the SEC battle from Williams-Brice Stadium.

Officially opening as 11½ point chalk, LSU has been quickly bet up to -13½ at shops such as 5Dimes, the total dancing in the 49-50 range in the early going.

This is not one your long-running, premier Southeastern Conference rivalries with only 20 meetings before Saturday, half of the matchups coming before USC joined the league, and the first since the schools got together in Baton Rouge three seasons ago. As conference opponents, LSU has an 8-1-1 advantage after winning the most recent eight get-togethers.

South Carolina's only conference win came in 1994 when the 'Cocks bested the Tigers in Death Valley, 18-17, in their first clash as SEC foes. The Tigers beat then-No. 3 USC at home in 2012, 23-21, to just miss the cover as 3 point favorites, scoring 13 unanswered points to begin the fourth quarter to help send the final past a 37½ point total.

 Must Read: Numbers that Stand Out in Week 6 College Football Betting Board

LSU Passing Game Still Untested
Louisiana State (4-0 straight up, 1-3 against the spread) sits No. 5 in the latest coaches poll, receiving one 1st-place vote in the process while the AP has the Tigers No. 7. It's no surprise to see them ranked higher by the coaches since every Division I field boss would love to have Fournette on his team.

Despite playing one fewer game than most running backs at this point, Fournette leads the nation in rushing with 864 yards, 11 of his 99 carries crossing goal lines. He'd likely already be over the 1,000 yard plateau if LSU had seen its season opener against McNeese State canceled due to lightning. The sophomore from New Orleans recorded his third consecutive 200-yard game last Saturday against Eastern Michigan after running for 228 vs. Auburn and 244 at Syracuse.

Fournette's presence plus a defense that is 16th in the country allowing less than 294 yards per game has kept Les Miles from needing Brandon Harris and the passing game. Another reason for not needing to pass much -- just 62 attempts in four games -- is the Tigers have also never trailed in their four games up to now. South Carolina is 76th vs. the run after opening the year giving up 200+ yards on the ground to North Carolina, Kentucky and Georgia.

 

Gamecocks' Bowl Chances Already Slipping Away
An 0-3 start on the conference slate has Steve Spurrier and South Carolina (2-3 SU & ATS) already in a big hole and in need of four more wins in their final six matchups vs. Div-I teams just to become bowl eligible. The Tigers are one of four ranked teams still left on the slate, a trip to No. 9 Texas A&M and home tilts vs. No. 11 Florida and No. 6 Clemson still to come.

The Gamecocks were in the other Columbia last Saturday when they locked into a defensive struggle against Missouri. Part of that might have been due to each team starting a true freshman under center, though Missouri's Drew Lock didn't look so bad with a 21-for-28 afternoon and two scoring strikes. South Carolina's Lorenzo Nunez, meanwhile, saw three of his nine incompletes wind up in the hands of the Tigers, and constantly was harassed by a good Mizzou rush that took away South Carolina's ground game in the first half.

As always, bettors need to check the weather before going to the window, but right now, everything looks okay. Neither team has been able to beat the spread so far, but I'm going to bite the bullet and lay the points on the Bayou Bengals for my free College Football Pick.

My College Football Pick: LSU -13½ at 5Dimes.
Season: 3-2 (+0.8)

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