Week-4 Early Kick-off Value Plays: Will Buckeyes Go Full 60-Minutes vs. UNLV?

Willie Bee

Friday, September 22, 2017 2:12 PM UTC

Friday, Sep. 22, 2017 2:12 PM UTC

It’s another Bloody Mary Saturday morning with several interesting early kickoffs, and we have found value on the NCAA football odds for three of those matchups.

If there was ever a game made for sippin’ a Bloody Mary at kickoff, it’s this week’s battle between UNLV and Ohio State. A noon (ET) boot in Columbus, Running Rebels fans barely have enough time for a cup of joe before pouring a cocktail and tuning into the Big Ten Network at 9 AM back in Sin City. BetOnline has the Buckeyes laying 40, that spread up a point from the opener. Likewise, the total has risen two points to 65.

Urban Meyer and the Buckeyes are still smarting from that whipping they took at the hands of Oklahoma. The good news is that loss won’t mean much if they can win out and take the Big Ten title. The Buckeyes are relatively healthy, though a little banged up in the LB corps where Jerome Baker is probable with a shoulder injury and Chris Worley is questionable with a foot injury. If losing to the Sooners still pains Ohio State, one has to wonder how long it will take UNLV to live down its loss to Howard, the Rebels laying 44½ in that one. They looked much better two weeks ago at Idaho, but that’s little consolation.

This is the first meeting between the two football squads, so there’s nothing to go on. How long Meyer keeps his foot on the gas will determine if OSU covers the giant spread. I believe there’s value on the ‘under’ in the end.

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Can Cougars Stop Tech’s Top-Rated Offense?

Former rivals from the now defunct Southwest Conference collide Saturday in Houston where the Cougars host the Texas Tech Red Raiders. This could be one of the most entertaining noon (ET) kickoffs, most of the country able to tune it in on either ABC or ESPN2 and current NCAA football odds listing Houston -6 to -7 with 71½ for the scoreboard hurdle, one of the highest Week 4 totals.

We know what kind of offense Kliff Kingsbury and Red Raiders bring into the game, Texas Tech exceeding 50 points in its first two contests and leading the nation with over 620 yards on average. Former Texas A&M QB Kyle Allen is directing Major Applewhite’s offense, and very few of his 65 attempts have hit the ground, 56 winding up in hands of his receivers and another two picked off. Each side has taken down a Pac-12 opponent, Houston nipping Arizona in a defensive struggle and the Red Raiders besting Arizona State in a 52-45 shootout. This is another ‘under’ I’m adding to my free college football picks.

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Hogs Aim For 1st SEC Win Over Aggies

If we're judging just by point spreads, none of the early Saturday games is expected to be closer than Texas A&M and Arkansas. The Aggies and Razorbacks are convening in Arlington for a fourth consecutive year, and the line favors A&M by 2½ with 54½ or 55 available for the total.

The Aggies messed around with being upset the last two weeks, pushing a -24 point in the end last Saturday against Louisiana Lafayette while Arkansas was dropping a 28-7 decision at home to TCU. Texas A&M has won the last five meetings since joining the SEC, but I like the value on the Hogs with an outright upset this time, albeit a mild one.

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Free NCAAF Pick: UNLV-Ohio St. Under 65 at 5Dimes; Texas Tech-Houston Under 71½ at BetOnline; Arkansas +120 at 5Dimes
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