Week 4 College Football Syracuse vs Connecticut - Betting Trend Working Against Diaco & UConn

Joe Gavazzi

Friday, September 23, 2016 9:57 PM UTC

Friday, Sep. 23, 2016 9:57 PM UTC

The Syracuse Orangemen take the road for the first time this season, under 1st year HC Dino Babers. It follows a pair of embarrassing home losses to two of the hottest teams on the CFB landscape. Two weeks ago, the Orange lost 62-28 to high-powered Louisville, who ran and passed for over 400 yards against the Syracuse defense.

Last week, Syracuse Orangemen lost 45-20 to S. Florida, but the game played out oh so differently!  After bolting to an early lead vs. the red-hot Bulls, Syracuse melted down with a (-3) net TO margin in the 25 point loss.  BUT, THEY ACTUALLY OUTGAINED S. FLORIDA 549-454.  Under senior QB Dungey who is completing nearly 2 of every 3 passes, the Orange are transitioning smoothly from their impotent offense of last year (only 320 YPG) to the high-powered attack of Babers, who last year led Bowling Green to a 10-4 SU ATS mark.  Love the fact they are now playing down in class, while needing the victory to even their mark.  Once they get the offense in gear, it is unlikely UConn will have the offense to play catch up.  


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Must give the Huskies credit for their 13-10 victory against Virginia (the team they trailed 10-0). Remember, this was a Virginia team, who 2 weeks earlier, had lost 37-20 on their home field to Richmond.  In typical fashion under 3rd year HC Diaco (former Notre Dame Asst.), the Huskies are playing games close to the vest.  The 3 point win vs. Virginia was preceded by a 4 point loss at Navy and 3 point home win vs. Maine (as 27 point favorite).  Today, however, they must face (by far) the highest powered passing game they have seen all season!  With the Orange coming off a pair of embarrassing home losses, do not expect them to take their foot off the gas pedal if they get the lead, but I do recommend to take it in consideration when choosing the sportsbooks for your betting choices.


History is clearly working against Diaco and UConn today, as the Huskies have now failed 14 consecutive times in the role of favorite, including 8 straight under Diaco.  Wrong team favored as our Puppy Of The Week wins outright!  I invite you to put the college football odds in your favor and join me in my college football betting on Syracuse this afternoon.


NCAAF Free Picks: Syracuse +4½ -105 
Best Line Offered: at BetOnline which offers a 50% Free Play

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