Week 2 - Live Dog Worthy Of Moneyline Hail Mary & Virginia vs. Oregon ATS Pick

Oregon Ducks Cheerleaders With Pompoms

Mark Lathrop

Saturday, September 10, 2016 6:44 PM GMT

Saturday, Sep. 10, 2016 6:44 PM GMT

Our college football handicapper spots a very live dog on Saturday night's card, and a dog that likely needs to be put to sleep like Ol' Yeller.

2016 College Football Record: 3-2, +0.70 Units

I’m going to stay on the West Coast for my late Saturday night sides plays this week, as again, let’s stick with what you know. It can’t be stated enough that wagering markets are nationwide – worldwide – and local knowledge will trump a market trying for 50/50 action across all players. Especially on these games that will start at near midnight for most of the population of the country, digging past public perception will yield favorable results.

 

Washington State vs. Boise State 
The Washington State Cougars travel to the blue field in Boise as they seek redemption after losing to FCS opponent, Eastern Washington University. The Cougars lost to their second FCS team in a row in their opening game last week, but just like last year, they hope to bounce back strong for the rest of the season. They have the player to do it with in quarterback, Luke Falk. Although they lost the game, Falk won on the stat sheet, as he put up 418 yards with an 80% completion percentage. This will be a decidedly different offense for the Broncos to face after allowing a 63.6% completion rate to Louisiana-Lafayette, and almost certainly the most passing attempts they will face from an opponent all year. The Broncos allowed LA-Lafayette to accrue 5.6 yards per pass in that game, and that will not be a winning performance if repeated in this game.

These teams used to meet all the time in the late 90’s and early 2000’s, and Boise State lost every game to the Cougars during that time, both SU and ATS. With the extra motivation that Washington State will have coming into this game to compensate for their Week 1 loss, the Broncos have a tough task in covering the double digit spread that has been put on them in this week. In fact, I think that the Cougars have more than a coin flip chance of winning this game outright, so I am taking them straight up at +345 at Heritage to lock in this value as one of my Saturday night College Football Picks.

College Football Pick: Washington State +345
Best Line Offered: at Heritage

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Not Convinced? Check Out This Washington State vs Boise State Free ATS Pick 

Virginia vs. Oregon 
It’s odd to have an ACC team this big of an underdog, well at least I think it is. But the Virginia Cavaliers under first year coach Bronco Mendenhall are a different type of ACC team. Definitely, in program rebuilding mode, the Cavaliers were embarrassed at home by the FCS Richmond Spiders. This wasn’t like my alma mater EWU in the Washington State game, this was a beat down. The Cavaliers lost the time of possession battle against Richmond by an amazing 39:46 to 20:14 margin. They were simply outclassed… again, by an FCS team.

Enter Oregon, who is probably a little pissed at themselves from “only” beating UC Davis by a score of 53-28 in Week 1. Oregon was favored by 48.5 points in that game and failed to cover the spread by a huge margin. With another star FCS transfer quarterback at the helm, the Ducks look to just get stronger as the year goes on and Dakota Prukop learns the offense.

The Virginia Cavaliers haven’t won a game on the West Coast in nearly 20 years, and they won’t start here. The Ducks win this game going away as another Saturday Night College Football Pick.

College Football Pick: Oregon -23.5 
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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