Week 14 College Football Breakdown with Joe Lisi: Georgia vs Auburn

Auburn Tigers player in action

Joe Lisi

Friday, December 1, 2017 4:16 PM GMT

Friday, Dec. 1, 2017 4:16 PM GMT

This is the companion article to Joe's picks on the Georgia Bulldogs vs Auburn Tigers game on Saturday at 4:00 pm ET.

Georgia Bulldogs vs Auburn Tigers

Line: Auburn -2.5

A rematch of the November match-up that Auburn won at home by a score of 40-17.

Auburn has won the last three SEC Championships that they have played in (3-0) and have won those games by 22.0 ppg. The last loss for the Tigers in an SEC Championship game came in 2000 to the Florida Gators by a score of 28-6.

Georgia enters this game rushing for 264 yards per game and is passing for 169 yards per game.

In back to back wins over Kentucky and Georgia Tech, the offense ripped off 381 yards and 247 yards with 8 rushing touchdowns.

The Bulldogs have converted 49% of their third downs this season and have been very successful when running the football and working off of play action with quarterback Jake Fromm.

In the loss to the Tigers, the Bulldogs managed 46 rushing yards and were not able to establish the line of scrimmage.

Georgia must be aggressive on first and second downs to loosen up the Tigers front seven from stacking the box against Fromm. This approach can open up huge running lanes later in the contest for running backs, Sony Michel and Nick Chubb.

On the year, Fromm has completed 62% of his passes for 1,990 yards with 19 touchdowns and 5 interceptions.

Defensively, the Bulldogs are allowing 113 rushing yards per game and only 159 passing yards to opposing offenses. The Bulldogs have done an excellent job on third downs this year and are holding opposing offenses to 33% on their attempts this year.

Georgia enters this game with only 23 sacks and must force Jarret Stidham into deep throws into coverage. Georgia cannot allow Stidham to get into a rhythm early which could allow the Tigers to dictate the tempo and force Georgia to play from behind.

Kirby Smart is an excellent game planner and has succeeded this year in rematch situations off of a loss. In 2016, the Bulldogs lost to Tennessee, Vanderbilt, Florida and Georgia Tech. Georgia was 4-0 in those games in 2017 and won those by a margin of 166-28 or 34.5 ppg.

Auburn enters this game rushing for 237 yards per game and passing for 232 yards per game.

The Tigers have rushed for 234 against Georgia, 317 against UL-Monroe and 168 against Alabama. Running back Kerryon Johnson is leading the team with 1,276 yards with 17 rushing touchdowns.

Auburn is converting 46% of their third downs and has allowed 27 sacks as an offensive unit.

The Tigers are allowing 125 rushing yards per game and are giving up 177 passing yards to opposing quarterbacks.

Auburn has recorded 34 total sacks and is holding opposing offenses to 33% on their third downs this season.

The Tigers allowed 211 rushing yards to Alabama and could be worn on physically after a huge rivalry game against a top-ranked opponent in Alabama.

Auburn has thrown out the “kitchen sink” to win in critical games against Georgia and Alabama from an offensive and defensive game plan. That favors Georgia in this contest with one of the best defensive minds in college football in a rematch situation.

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