Week 13 Top 5 ATS Cats and Rats: New King ATS Rat After Rainbow Warriors Blanked by Utah State

Kevin Stott

Tuesday, November 21, 2017 3:22 PM UTC

Tuesday, Nov. 21, 2017 3:22 PM UTC

Our latest Top 5 Cats and Rats rankings finds Hawai’i supplanting Florida State as the new King Rat while it was too hard to choose must one Top Cat this week.

1 (Tie)—Wake Forest 9-2-0 ATS (Last week: #2)

Wake Forest improved to a profitable 15-4 ATS their L19 games (78.9%) after beating NC State, 30-24, covering as modest 2½-point Favorites at Home at BB&T Field in Winston-Salem in Week 12 ACC play (61½), earning co-top spot in our weekly rankings as talented QB John Wolford and the Demon Deacons got the money for the 6th time in the L7 weeks and since 2014, Wake Forest has gone 22-13 -1 ATS (62.9%). Next up on the schedule for 4th-year Head Coach Dave Clawson (27-17-1 ATS) and Wake Forest, the Regular Season finale against Duke on Saturday in a game which currently sees the Demon Deacons as big 11½- to 12-point Favorites Offshore after opening at -11 on Sunday afternoon at BetOnline. Wendell Dunn (below) and Wake Forest are 4-1 SU at Home in ACC play while Duke is 1-3 on the Road.

The Trends show that Duke is a profitable 10-3 ATS the L13 meetings in this series (WAKE 7-6 SU) and after knocking former Top ATS Cat Georgia Tech from the top spot in an upset win at Georgia Tech, getting in front of the enigmatic Blue Devils (2-5 ACC, 5-8 Overall) at this point in time and giving double-digits seems too risky and this might be a game best watched with conflicting Trends (Wake Forest so good this season vs. Duke so good in series), even with Duke a measly 1-5-1 ATS its L7.


1 (Tie)—Iowa State 9-2-0 ATS (Last week: #3)

Second-year Head Coach Matt Campbell (16-6 ATS) and Iowa State (7-4 SU, 9-2 ATS) definitely deserve co-Top Cat status after the Cyclones rolled into Waco, Texas and beat Baylor as 7-point Road chalks, 23-13, in Big 12 action on Saturday (49½), like Wake, winning their 6th in the L7 against the betting number as redshirt Senior QB Joel Lanning and Iowa State (+11.1 vs. ATS) consistently remain one of the best teams in FBS on which to bet (7-4 ATS in 2016) with Campbell now in town and building the program. ISU is 16-7-1 ATS since 2016.

Next up for Lanning and the the Cyclones in Week 13, a Big 12 date against Kansas State on Saturday in a showdown (and last game of the Regular Season for both) which currently sees the host Wildcats as 2½- to 3-point Home Favorites (49½). The series Trends show Kansas State (6-5 SU, 5-6 ATS) has dominated this series, going 21-4 SU since 1992, but LB Marcel Spears and the Cyclones (+1.0 TO Margin, Tied #9) have gone 12-11 ATS the L23 meetings and are 5-6 ATS the L11 meetings at The Little Apple, Manhattan (KSU 11-1 SU L12).

 3—Georgia Tech 7-2-1 ATS (Last Week: #1)

QB TaQuon Marshall and Georgia Tech (5-5 SU, 7-2-1 ATS) fall from the Top Cat spot on our weekly ATS Rankings after the Ramblin’ Wreck ran into a game Duke team in ACC play in Week 12, losing outright to the Blue Devils as 6½-point Home Favorites, 43-20 last Saturday in Atlanta. And 10th-year Head Coach Paul Johnson and the Yellow Jackets didn’t slide too far by virtue of the Yellow Jackets enviable 11-2-1 ATS record their L14 games, covering their last 4 games in 2016 (16-7-1 since 2016).

Next up for WR Ricky Jeune and Georgia Tech, a regional rivalry game against #7 Georgia on Saturday (ABC, 12 pm EST/9 am PST) in the so-called Clean, Old-Fashioned Hate rivalry, and a series which has seen the Bulldogs completely dominate of late, going 11-1 both SU and ATS. So, SEC-member Georgia has ACC-member Georgia Tech’s (+2.7 against ATS) number. Offshore sportsbooks currently have Georgia lined between 10½- and 11½-point Favorites, with most posting an 11 (Monday). Since 2016, the Yellow Jackets—who have only covered ATS once in L4 weeks (1-2-1 ATS) have gone 14-6-2 (70%) and still deserve respect.


4—Northwestern 8-3-0 ATS (Last Week: Not ranked)

With Wake Forest, Iowa State and Georgia Tech having only brought Pain to their betting backers’ houses twice this Regular Season, there is a small chasm between the 2 ATS Loss and 3 ATS Loss teams here with the difference between 9-2 (81.2%) and 8-3 (72.7%) too large to ignore. Not losing is twice as important as winning and making me cry three times seems twice as worse as making me cry twice. Are you following? Anyway, there are 11 teams with an 8-3 ATS Record (by some measures) at this point in Time, so the No. 4 Cat is simply a Cat that has current stats or a better long-term reputation than another team at 8-3 ATS. So as you have seen, Big Ten Purple People Eaters Northwestern (+4.5 vs. ATS) get the nod with its current 8-3 ATS mark this year and profitable and consistent 16-8 ATS record over the L24 overall.

In Week 12, Chicagoan extraordinaire and 12th-year Head Coach Pat Fitzgerald (72-67 ATS) and now #23 Northwestern shut out Minnesota, 39-0 at Ryan Field in Evanston, covering ATS as modest 6½-point Home Favorites and winning its 8th of the L9 against the betting number. In NCAAF Week 13, the Wildcats play their last Regular Season game at Illinois (4-1 ATS L5 overall) at Memorial Stadium (FieldTurf) in Champaign on Saturday (FS1, 4 pm EST/1 pm PST) in a game which now sees Northwestern as big 16½-point Road Favorites (46½) in The Land of Lincoln and Constant Overthinking. The series Trends show the Wildcats are 2-0 SU/ATS the L2 times they fought for the The Land of Lincoln Trophy (ILLINI 55-50-5 SU) and Northwestern is a noticeable 16-9 ATS the L25 against the Fighting Illini (NU 15-10 SU). Think purple?


5—Eastern Michigan 8-3-0 ATS (Last Week: Not ranked)

Eastern Michigan (4-7 SU, 8-3 ATS) gets the No. 5 spot because the Eagles (+2.7 ppg vs ATS) have gone 18-6 ATS their L24—better than any other team in the land (75%) in that span since 2016 (FRESNO ST. is #2 at 15-6-1 ATS, 71.4%). So, so sorry to fellow MAC-siders Ohio, Akron and Buffalo (all 8-3 ATS), UAB (8-3 ATS), Rutgers (8-3 ATS), Boise State (8-3 ATS), FAU (8-3 ATS), Texas (8-3 ATS), Marshall (8-3 ATS) and my favorite child, Utah (7-3-1 ATS), but EMU’s recent track record ATS is better than y’all’s. Step back. The Eagles and 4th-year Head Coach Chris Creighton (25-18-1 ATS) went 9-3 ATS in the 2016 Regular Season and a Bowl game against Old Dominion and covered its last game of the 2015 Regular Season (CMU) and have now gone 8-3 this Regular season, for a nice little 17-6 ATS run after EMU (+5.1 vs. ATS) after beating Miami Ohio outright as small 1½-point Road Underdogs in The Cradle of Coaches, Oxford, Ohio in Week 12, 27-24 (51½).

This fine crisp Fall evening (Tuesday), Eastern Michigan welcomes Bowling Green to Ypsilanti and Rynearson Stadium (Gray FieldTurf) for some early Week 13 MAC Conference action in a game which finds the Eagles as big 13-point Home Favorites although there are still a couple of 12½’s to be found for potential EMU bettors (BookMaker, JustBet). The line opened at (EMU minus) 14 on Sunday afternoon.


 1—Hawaii 2-8-1 ATS (Last Week: #2)

Mele Kalikimaka you fricking Ma’afalas, you’ve made it top as my King Rat after scoring as many points in Week 12 as we all did watch from our funky couches, Hawai’i (3-7 SU, 2-8-1 ATS). Congratulations. We hope you didn’t hurt yourself. The sagging Rainbow Warriors won their backers money in Weeks 1 and 2 this season (UMASS, FCS WEST CAR), but fading Hawai’i (-11.3 ppg vs ATS) has now gone a see-you-at-the-window-only-with-my-Push-ticket 0-8-1 ATS the L9 weeks, after that aforementioned 38-0 soul cleansing in Logan against the Aggies last weekend. Next up for the Golden Rainbows in Week 13? BYU heads to Honolulu and Aloha Stadium on Saturday night (CBSS, 9 pm EST/6 pm PST) brah for a Senior Night game which has seen the opening number move from (BYU minus) 4½ down to 2½ and 3 at Offshore sportsbooks on Hawai’i action (61.4% Consensus, Monday).

The series Trends show that the Rainbow Warriors are 6-5 ATS the L11 meetings (BYU 9-2 SU), but those numbers were carved from better Hawai’i Rosters and from years when both played in the MWC conference (BYU is now an Independent). BYU is a paltry 3-9 ATS this Regular Season, and really ratty in its own, non-scoring-ass ways, but the Cougars should win by at least a TD here and there seems to be value in backing the visitors at 2½ (-114, BetOnline) if you can find it. The Golden Rainbows are 4-14-1 ATS in their L19 games and Hawai’i has been the worst team ATS the L3 seasons going a costly 10-26-1 ATS (27.8%) for its pineapple-loving betting backers and the Rainbow Warriors haven’t beaten an FBS team ATS in Honolulu since Week 5 of last Regular Season.


2—Florida State 1-8-1 ATS (Last Week: #1)

Florida State (4-6 SU, 1-8-1 ATS) better send both Hawai’i and FCS side Delaware State Christmas cards this year after the Seminoles finally won their backers some money in Week 12, even if it was against FCS side Deleware State and even if laying a monstrous 51½ points, in a 77-6 Home victory over the Hornets last Saturday in Tallahassee. A win’s a win, right Siggy? This weekend in Week 13 action, FSU will be playing rivals Florida in The Sunshine Showdown from Ben Hill Griffin Stadium (Grass) in Gainesville early on Saturday afternoon (ESPN, 12 pm EST/9 am PST).

Both the Gators and Seminoles have gone 6-6 SU and ATS the L12 meetings in this regional rivalry and SEC-ACC conference showdown, but both were better in past years with 2017 probably marking a low-point for FSU and Florida while #4 Miami Florida is the best they have been in quite some time and still actively in the hunt for the CFP national championship after humbling Notre Dame and then beating Virginia in Week 12. The Seminoles (-0.80 TO Margin, #116 FBS) season went south for the Winter at the end of the Summer after the Injury to starting QB Deondre Francois against #1 Alabama in the FBS 2017 Regular Season opener.


3—UTEP 2-9-0 ATS (Last Week: #3)

Conference USA West Division member UTEP (0-11 SU, 2-9 ATS) stays in the #3 ATS Rats’ spot this week after the Miners lost 42-21 at Louisiana Tech in Week 12, failing to cover ATS as big 16-point Home Underdogs (47½) in the team’s Home finale. The Miners (L5 ATS) are the only FBS teams without a SU Win and being 20-point Road Underdogs at UAB in Week 13 probably means a winless season in El Paso (UAB 3-1 SU/ATS vs UTEP). The Miners (13-21-1 ATS since 2015) have lost by 24, 17, 35, 24, 17, 27, 35 and 21 their L8 games and UTEP (-5.2 ppg vs ATS) has the 119th ranked Scoring Defense (37.5 ppg) in FBS. After going a combined 12-13 SU from 2014 to 2015, 5th-year Head Coach Sean Kugler (22-34-2 ATS) have now gone a combined 4-18 SU the L2 seasons heading into Saturday afternoon’s finale against the Blazers (CUSA, 1 pm ET/10 am PT). Next...


4—Bowling Green 2-9-0 ATS (Last Week: Not ranked)

MAC side Bowling Green (2-9 SU/ATS) returns to the list again after leaving after returning again to our rankings after the Falcons lost SU and ATS in Week 12 to Toledo, 66-37, getting wiped out as 16½-point Home Underdogs last Wednesday night as Bowling Green played its 6th straight Over. This week,it's a date with Eastern Michigan tonight (Tuesday), in a MAC game (ESPN3, 7 pm ET/4 pm PST) where you can both fade an ATS Rat and back an ATS Cat at the same time, although the recent Trends support backing the Falcons (5-2 ATS L7 vs. EMU). So does that mean double the betting amount? Best slow your roll there, Junior. Proportion is nine-tenths of The Stupid Law, brother. The line is 12½ to 13, and EMU could be up by that at the end of the 1st Half and maybe the 1st Quarter if things go well up in the Ypsi.

The rat-tastic Falcons rank #123 (of 129 teams) in Scoring Defense (38.4 ppg), 126th in Total Defense (517.2 ypg), #115 in Scoring Margin (-14.1 ppg) and Bowling Green (-3.7 ppg vs ATS) is now a money-burning 6-17 ATS their L21 lined games. Eastern Michigan will get my support at the betting window.

 5—Miami Ohio 2-9-0 ATS (Last Week: Not ranked)

Miami Ohio (2-9 SU/ATS) is back on the ATS Rats list after losing their 3rd straight ATS and 6th in the L7 to the betting number in a 27-24 Loss against catty Eastern Michigan in Week 12 at Home in Oxford, Ohio as small 1½-point Home Favorites. The RedHawks are in action on Tuesday night and, luckily for Miami Ohio, the game is at Home in Oxford, Ohio at Yager Stadium (FieldTurf) at The Cradle of Coaches against a pretty ratty opponent in Ball State (2-9 SU, 3-7-1 ATS) in a game which sees host Miami Ohio now as large 17½- to 18-point Road chalks at Scheumann Stadium (FieldTurf) in Muncie, Indiana. The series Trends show the RedHawks (-3.8 ppg Scoring Margin) are a profitable 3-1 ATS the L4 trips to Letterman U against the Cardinals and both are 8-8 SU the L16 meetings. With the number so high and the way Ball State played against Buffalo, big lean to the Underdog here getting all those points and the wiseguys thought the same thing, driving this number down 3 points in heavy early Ball State action Sunday-Monday.

Free College Football Pick: Northwestern -16½Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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