To illustrate the volatility involved in parlays, that one winning parlay got me back to close to even for the entire year so far.
For Week 12 in college football, I was given some great recommendations by the guest professional college football handicappers in my game preview videos this week.
Joe Duffy from OffshoreInsiders.com gave USC +3.5 this week as a ncaaf pick that he likes, and Brent from BetDSI later identified that side as one that has taken sharp action. It’s also the “sharp” side of a sharp/public split on that game, with the public actually significantly favoring Stanford. I’m sure Joe’s assessment of value is correct, but I decided to leave it out of the parlay this week.
Then Steve from CollegeFootballWinning.com recommended Wisconsin at -22.5 in our video, and that has since proven to be a good recommendation as the line has already gone all the way up to 27. But Brent did tell me that at 27, sharp action came in on Indiana, which I am sure would not surprise Steve at all, as he said he would recommend Wisconsin only up to 24. So I passed on the side in that one, but did wind up using the total as one of the plays in the parlay this week.
One play I did decide to include largely as a result of Brent telling me the sharps had come in on it was a play on a side in the San Diego St/Hawaii game, which agreed with my initial thoughts on the game’s opening line earlier this week.
And rounding out the parlay, I included three other totals, from Purdue/Penn St, California/Colorado, and Michigan/Northwestern, bringing the number of legs in the parlay to 5, which I’ll again do a round-robin of 4-teamers with.
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