Week 12 Games to Circle: Battle for Los Angeles

David Schwab

Monday, November 13, 2017 2:35 PM UTC

Monday, Nov. 13, 2017 2:35 PM UTC

Following a wild weekend of college football in which two of the top four teams went down, the College Football Playoff rankings will take on a whole new look heading into this week’s games. As the regular season continues to wind down, the betting action continues to heat up in Week 12. 

Turning to a number of great matchups on the betting board at SBR Odds in Week 12 of the college football season, here is one from each of the five power conferences that should be circled when it comes to betting.

ACC: Virginia at Miami (-18)

The Cavaliers failed to cover as 11.5-point road underdogs in Saturday’s 38-21 loss to Louisville to fall to 6-4 straight-up and 5-5 against the spread. The total stayed UNDER 66 points in that loss and it has stayed UNDER in four of their last six games. Virginia is an even 2-2 ATS on the road this season.

Miami remained undefeated with its biggest victory of the year on Saturday by hammering Notre Dame 41-8 as a 3-point home underdog. The Hurricanes are now 9-0 SU with a 5-4 record ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in their last seven games. They have a 4-2 SU edge in their last six home games against Virginia, but the Cavaliers have covered ATS in five of their last seven trips to Miami.

Big Ten: Michigan at Wisconsin (-7.5)

The Wolverines have strung together a trio of SU victories in their last three games to improve to 8-2 on the year. When it comes to betting on this team, it has been a much tougher road to hoe at 4-5-1 ATS. The total stayed UNDER in Saturday’s 35-10 victory against Maryland as 15-point road favorites after it had gone OVER in their previous four games.

Wisconsin has won the Big Ten’s West Division at 7-0 SU in conference play as part of its perfect 10-0 mark on the year. The Badgers rolled over Iowa 38-14 on Saturday as 12-point home favorites to improve to 6-4 ATS. Wisconsin has covered ATS in eight of its last 10 games against Michigan and it boasts a 5-1 record ATS in the last six games played in Madison.

Big 12: TCU (-7) at Texas Tech

TCU (8-2 SU, 6-4 ATS) will be looking to bounce back from Saturday’s crushing 38-20 loss to Oklahoma as a 6-point road underdog. It was the Horned Frogs’ second loss in their last three games (SU and ATS) to effectively end their bid for a spot in the College Football Playoff. The total stayed UNDER 63.5 points in the loss to the Sooners and it has stayed UNDER in their last six games.

Texas Tech is an even 5-5 SU (5-4-1 ATS) on the year following Saturday’s 38-24 victory against Baylor as a 9-point road favorite. The total has now stayed UNDER in three of the Red Raiders’ last four games. However, it has gone OVER in 15 of their last 22 games at home. Texas Tech has a 4-1 edge ATS in its last five games against TCU.

Pac-12: UCLA at USC (15.5)

The Bruins come into this classic Southern California rivalry at 5-5 SU with a 3-7 record ATS. They have failed to cover in their first five road games this season and they are 0-3 ATS when closing as underdogs. The total has gone OVER or ended as a PUSH in eight of their first 10 games.

USC is 9-2 SU on the year and it has improved to 4-7 ATS after covering in its last three contests. The total stayed UNDER in Saturday’s 38-24 victory against Colorado as a 13.5-point road favorite after it had gone OVER in its previous four games. The Trojans have won eight of their last nine home games against UCLA SU and they have an 8-2 edge ATS in the last 10 meetings on their home field.

SEC: LSU (15.5) at Tennessee

LSU has won four of its last five games SU and, after hammering Arkansas 33-10 on Saturday as an 18-point home favorite, it has covered in its last four games. The Tigers are 7-3 SU overall with a 5-5 record ATS. The total stayed UNDER the closing 53.5-point line in that game and it has stayed UNDER in four of the Tigers’ last six contests.

Tennessee (4-6 SU, 3-7 ATS) will close out a very disappointing season without its head coach. Butch Jones was fired in the wake of the Volunteers’ 50-17 loss to Missouri as 12-point road underdogs. This was the fifth time in their last seven games they failed to cover ATS. Tennessee has lost five of its last six games against the Tigers SU.

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