Week 12 College Football Breakdown with Joe Lisi: Trio of Valuable 3:30 pm ET Kickoffs

Navy Midshipmen players

Joe Lisi

Friday, November 17, 2017 3:29 PM UTC

Friday, Nov. 17, 2017 3:29 PM UTC

This is the companion article to Joe's picks on the Navy vs. Notre Dame, Kansas State vs. Oklahoma State and Purdue vs. Iowa games on Saturday at 3:30 pm ET.

Navy vs. Notre Dame

Line: Notre Dame -17.5

Since 2012, Notre Dame is 4-1 over the Midshipmen and have won those games by 17.7 ppg. However, the last three contests have been decided by 9.3 ppg with Navy winning last year in Jacksonville (neutral site) 28-27.

Navy is coming off an impressive home win over SMU 43-40 last weekend to become bowl eligible. The team could be facing an angry Notre Dame team that was embarrassed 41-8 by the 7th ranked Miami Hurricanes on national television.

This is the last home game for the Irish seniors this Saturday and expects the team to assert their will on the offensive and defensive lines against an undersized team.

Navy’s defense is allowing 165 rushing yards per game and is giving up 244 passing yards per game to opposing offenses. The unit has only recorded 12 total sacks and is allowing opposing offenses to convert 43% of their third-down attempts heading into this contest. Navy has allowed 8 passing touchdowns over the past two games against Temple and SMU.

More importantly, is the fact that Navy is -7 in turnover margin, which ranks in the bottom third of FBS and is untypical of a Midshipmen team.

Notre Dame enters this game rushing for 303 yards per game and has a mobile quarterback in Brandon Wimbush that will put pressure on the Navy defense on the perimeter.

This game plan will open up the play-action passing game and look for Wimbush to attack the Midshipmen over the top of their secondary.

If Navy cannot generate a pass rush, Wimbush and the offense can have huge plays in the passing game this weekend.

Wimbush has completed 51% of his passes for 1,402 yards with 12 touchdowns and 4 interceptions.

Notre Dame has been able to force turnovers this season and enters this contest with +8 in turnover margin.

The Irish are allowing 140 rushing yards per game and are giving up 234 passing yards to opposing offenses this year.

Navy is rushing for 369 yards per game and is passing for 98 yards per game in 2017.

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Kansas State vs. Oklahoma State

Line: Oklahoma State -20.5

Since 2012, Oklahoma State is 3-2 over the Wildcats and have won those games by 4.0 ppg. Last year in Manhattan, the Cowboys picked up a gutty 43-37 road win scoring with under one minute left on the clock.

Oklahoma State is coming off a 49-42 road win over Iowa State in Ames and forced an interception in the end zone with under one minute remaining to seal the win over the Cyclones.

Kansas State allowed 372 passing yards and four passing to West Virginia quarterback Will Grier in the 28-23 home loss to the Mountaineers.

Kansas State is averaging 192 rushing yards per game and is passing for 183 yards per game entering this contest.

Kansas State has a methodical ball control attack that cannot afford to fall behind on the road in Stillwater this weekend. As an offensive unit, the Wildcats have completed only 55% of their passes with 10 touchdowns.

The Wildcats are converting only 31% of their third-down attempts and must be able to sustain drives on the road.

Defensively, the Wildcats are allowing 126 rushing yards per game and 303 passing yards per game. That is the highest passing yard total since prior to the 2008 season and will be the match-up to watch this weekend against the Oklahoma State offense.

Over the past four games, the Wildcats have allowed 401 passing yards per game and have allowed 11 passing touchdowns during that span.

Oklahoma State is averaging 194 rushing yards per game and is passing for 378 yards per game heading into this contest. The offense is converting 47% of their third-down attempts and will challenge a vulnerable Wildcats defense all afternoon.

Quarterback Mason Rudolph has completed 64% of his passes for 3,690 yards with 30 touchdowns and 7 interceptions.

Defensively, the Cowboys are allowing 129 rushing yards per game and are giving up 284 passing yards to opposing offenses.

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Purdue vs. Iowa

Line: Iowa -8.5

Since 2013, Iowa is 4-0 over the Boilermakers and have won those games by an average margin of victory of 18.0 ppg.

Last year in West Lafayette, the Hawkeyes won by 14 points after jumping out to a big first-half lead.

Purdue is sitting at 4-6 and will need to pull off the upset in order to go bowling this season.

Purdue is rushing for 147 yards per game and is passing for 246 yards per game.

Quarterback Elijah Sindelar has completed 55% of his passes for 1,315 yards with 9 touchdowns and 6 interceptions.

Purdue has converted 31% of their third-down attempts and must be able to get into an early rhythm this weekend early on to force Iowa out of their game plan of running the football.

Defensively, the Boilermakers are allowing 139 rushing yards per game and are giving up 239 passing yards to opposing offenses.

Over the past three games against Illinois, Nebraska, and Northwestern the defense is allowing 71.8 rushing yards per game only allowing one rushing touchdown during that span.

Iowa is rushing for 131 yards per game and is passing for 200 yards per game entering this Big 10 battle. The Hawkeyes have rushed for 2 touchdowns over the past four games and have relied on the arm of quarterback Nathan Stanley to challenge opposing defenses

On the year, Stanley has completed 56% of his passes for 1,970 yards with 22 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. Iowa has converted 34% of their third downs this season and must be able to run the football consistently to stay out of long third down situations.

The Hawkeyes enter this contest allowing 157 rushing yards per game and have given up 213 passing yards per game. Iowa has recorded 22 total sacks and is holding opposing offenses to 31% of their third-down attempts.

Purdue’s up-tempo offense could have an effect on the Hawkeyes defense as it has not faced the type of quick snaps the Boilermaker run at any point during the season.

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