Here’s a look at the opening lines for the AP Top 10 teams for Week 10 of the college football season. Any adjustments noted in the comments occurred around 6 p.m. ET on Sunday.
In one of only two ranked-vs-ranked contests, the Crimson Tide open as a touchdown favorite in the always-crucial SEC West showdown with LSU. This is the ninth time in a row Alabama has kicked off chalk between the two. Early money pushed the line to -7.5 points, but bettors beware flirting with the key number. The last four meetings at Tiger Stadium have been settled by a touchdown or less.
The 8-0 Michigan Wolverines have gone off as double-digit favorites in every game this season, and are laying their most ever against Maryland with the line quickly jumping to -29.5 points in early trading. Michigan is just 4-12 ATS in their last 16 against Big Ten opponents when spotting 30 points or more.
Clemson, one of 5 ACC teams in the AP Top 25, kick off as a 20-point plus favorite against a conference foe for the second time this season (N.C. State). Early adjustments see the line going in favor of Syracuse, dropping to -26 after an initial offering of 28 points. The Orange have covered the spread by a combined 46 points in their last two games, and have beaten the number in each of the last two matchups against the Tigers in 10-point losses (16-6, 37-27).
The Huskies remain unbeaten after narrowly beating Utah 31-24 on Saturday. Head coach Chris Petersen’s squad loss this matchup last season 34-20 in Seattle as a field-goal underdog. Washington, in fact, is chalk for only the second time in the last 13 meetings. It is 18-1 straight up and 9-10 ATS with a -13.1 average line in their last 19 kicking off as favorites in the series.
Louisville needed a last-second touchdown to beat Virginia 32-25 as 31.5-point favorites last weekend. The market sees them off as 25-point chalk at Boston College next Saturday. The Cavaliers held the high-flying Cardinals below their projected team total by 18 points, the second time in the last three games head coach Bobby Petrino’s team failed to hit the mark. Boston College was just a 7.5-point dog last season in this matchup at Louisville last year.
The Buckeyes offense, which averages 42.6 points per game in 2016, is sputtering. It was held to under 25 points in consecutive games despite beating Northwestern 24-20 last Saturday. Ohio State has dropped its last four in a row against the spread after beginning the season with a perfect 4-0 record. Nebraska’s defense, meanwhile, continues to be the unsung hero in Lincoln. It’s held all but one team below their projected team total this season.
Early money pushed the line to -13.5 in favor of the Aggies within hours on the market. Texas A&M has put up 31 points or more in each of the last five meetings, while the Bulldogs have allowed 40-plus points in consecutive games for the first time in a decade.
The Badgers have not won outright at Northwestern since 1999, and are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 at Ryan Field. The Wildcats are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games versus conference opponents.
The Razorbacks suffered their worst SEC loss in at least three decades last Saturday, losing 56-3 at Auburn. Oddsmakers are spotting them 4 points in a rebound game against the 10th-ranked Gators. Florida is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
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