Week 10 College Football Breakdown with Joe Lisi: LSU vs. Alabama

Alabama Crimson Tide player in action

Joe Lisi

Friday, November 3, 2017 2:34 PM GMT

Friday, Nov. 3, 2017 2:34 PM GMT

This is the companion article to Joe's picks on the LSU vs. Alabama game on Saturday at 8:00 pm ET.

LSU Tigers vs Alabama Crimson Tide  

Line: Alabama -21.5
LSU 24 Alabama 21

Since 2011, Alabama is 6-0 over LSU and has won those games by 12.8 ppg. Last year, the Crimson Tide won a hard fought 10-0 victory over the Tigers in Death Valley.

In 2017, Alabama is 5-0 in SEC play and has won those games by an average margin of victory of 39.2 ppg.

LSU enters this game averaging 216 rushing yards per game and passing for 201 yards per game through the air this season.

Quarterback Danny Etling has completed 60% of his passes for 1,452 yards with 9 touchdowns and 1 interception.

LSU has averaged 255 rushing yards per game in three straight SEC wins over Florida, Auburn and Ole Miss. The Tigers pounded the rock for 393 rushing yards in the win over Ole Miss two weeks ago in Oxford.

Alabama enters this game allowing 68 rushing yards per game and only 169 passing yards to opposing offenses. The Crimson Tide enter this game +10 in turnover margin and are holding opposing offenses to 25% on third down conversions.

LSU has played much better defense over the last four games against SEC competition and enters this game allowing 145 rushing yards per game and giving up 173 passing yards per game to opposing offenses.

Over the past three games, LSU has recorded 11 total sacks (3.6 sacks per game) and has recorded 26 total sacks as a defensive unit. During that span, the Tigers have allowed 8 of 35 third-down conversions or 22%.

On the year, LSU has allowed 5 total passing touchdowns. Over the last four games against Troy, Florida, Auburn and Ole Miss the Tigers have given up one passing touchdown and will force Alabama quarterback Jalen Hurts (62%, 1,223 yds. 9 TD’s) to beat them over the top.

Alabama is averaging 298 rushing yards per game and is passing for 201 yards per game through the air this season.

Alabama is converting 43% of their third-down attempts and will look to force LSU to match their high potent offense score for score.

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