The college football season is so close you can taste it. Against the spread picks are one thing, but over-unders are another. These matches provide us with the best chances of making profit.
Washington Huskies vs. Boise State Broncos
It is noticeable that Washington lost its one returning offensive lineman to an injury earlier this month. The Huskies will not have Dexter Charles available for the season, a devastating blow to an offense which does not have a proven quarterback, since Cyler Miles, retired from football due to what he claimed was a chronic hip condition. The Huskies are just not in a position to score very many points against Boise State. It would be surprising if the Huskies scored anything more than 17 points in this game. So, is Boise State going to score 40? That’s going to be a tall order against a Washington defense which went through a lot of changes last year, as it learned a new system under head coach Chris Petersen, who will be coaching his first game back in Boise after leading the Broncos to two BCS bowl victories during his time in the state of Idaho. This game has “under” written all over it and that’s probably why we’ve already seen this game drop a bit from 57 to 56.5 at 5Dimes.
College Football Pick: Under 56.5
Virginia Cavaliers vs. UCLA Bruins
There are a lot of questions about both teams’ offenses. Virginia will not have Greyson Lambert as its quarterback this season. Lambert provided a spark for the Cavaliers a year ago, but he transferred to Georgia in the offseason, leaving coach Mike London with no choice but to seek a new starter this season. UCLA enjoyed the past several seasons with Brett Hundley at quarterback. Hundley was a gifted runner who could make plays out of the pocket when his protective cup broke down and he had to scramble. Not having Hundley’s athleticism or experience will probably leave UCLA’s offense at a deficit, at least in the early part of the season. This game might go over the number, but one team will need to commit turnovers that lead to quick and easy touchdowns. If neither side scores a defensive or special teams touchdown, the offenses won’t score more than 24 points apiece.
College Football Pick: Under 53
Texas Longhorns vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish
The inexperience of Texas’ offense, plus the fact that the Longhorns’ coaches have already committed to playing freshman quarterback Jerrod Heard for a few snaps behind likely starter Tyrone Swoopes, should mean that Texas will not score much in this game. Notre Dame’s defense should be able to control the Longhorns. On the other side, Texas is young on defense, but the Longhorns were a lot better on that side of the ball than they were on offense in 2014. This has the feel of a game that will end in the area of Notre Dame 30, Texas 17 and I'm confidently adding this to my Week 1 College Football Picks.
College Football Pick: Under 54.5
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Virginia Tech Hokies
The Ohio State Buckeyes are angry.
They’re angry that four players have been suspended for this game, but they’re also angry that Virginia Tech beat them a year ago. The Buckeyes are an elite team, the preseason number one in college football, and they know they have a score to settle with the Hokies. Ohio State still has so much talent on offense, with experienced skill position stars, that it should be able to score 42 points against Virginia Tech’s defense. As long as Virginia Tech can score 14 to 17 points (at least) against Ohio State’s defense (which does have a few guys serving one-game suspensions), this game should go over the number.
College Football Pick: Over 53