Virginia vs. Miami: Saturday College Football Picks

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, November 20, 2013 4:07 PM GMT

Wednesday, Nov. 20, 2013 4:07 PM GMT

The Miami Hurricanes have really struggled to stop the run in recent weeks, but that may change when hosting the Virginia Cavaliers Saturday. Which college football team should we be backing with our free picks in this affair?

Let’s take a closer look at the college football betting odds for this ACC matchup at Sun Life Stadium, with the opening kickoff scheduled for Noon ET on ESPNU.

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Going in the wrong direction

Virginia is mired in a seven-game losing streak, which will likely cost head coach Mike London his job at the end of the month, but the program has gone 3-1 SU/ATS following a bye week since 2011.

The Cavaliers suffered a 45-14 setback to the North Carolina Tar Heels as 11.5-point road underdogs last time out on Nov. 9, with the OVER cashing for the sixth consecutive contest.

Stop the bleeding

Miami opened up with a 7-0 record during the 2013 campaign, but it has dropped its last three games, including a 48-30 defeat to the Duke Blue Devils as 3.5-point road favorites last Saturday.

The Hurricanes have allowed an average of 244 rushing yards over their current losing streak, but they’ve covered the number in eight of their last 11 home games.

Zero experience under center

College football handicappers need to realize that the Cavaliers were one of just four FBS teams with zero experience at the quarterback position entering the season, which is a major reason why the program has struggled this year.

Virginia is averaging just 20.5 points per game, but it has done a great job of holding onto the football, entering with a 33:41 mark in time of possession.

Senior Day

The Hurricanes have 27 players that will play their final games at this venue, including quarterback Stephen Morris, who is one of only four 7,000-yard passers in program history.

Miami will also try to gain the upper hand in this competitive rivalry, as both teams have come away with five wins apiece heading into the 11th series meeting.

Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers play the total for their college football picks, as the UNDER is 5-1 in the Hurricanes’ last six games after allowing 200-plus rushing yards in their previous contest.

In watching a press conference this week, Miami head coach Al Golden made it clear that his team must play better in that facet of the game in order to finish off the 2013 campaign in strong fashion.

College Football Pick:  Under 58

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