Virginia Tech, Kansas State M/L, Clemson 3-Team Parlay to Win in Week 3 on Saturday?

Kevin Stott

Thursday, September 14, 2017 7:16 PM UTC

Thursday, Sep. 14, 2017 7:16 PM UTC

College Football Week 3 is usually the last big week to try to take advantage of perceived Non-Conference matchups and this weekend’s slate offers up just that opportunity with three pretty good (and ranked) teams heading on the Road.

#16 Virginia Tech -22 -120 (bought ½) over East Carolina, 3:30 pm ET (CBSSN)

The third-highest Road Favorite on the Week 3 College Football betting board (AZ, APP ST), #16 Virginia Tech (Betting #151), travels to Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium (Grass) in Greenville, NC to face American Athletic East school East Carolina (3-9 SU, 2-9 ATS in 2016) in an NCAAF Week 3 Non-Conference matchup. This afternoon affair has seen the favorite Hokies be wagered down from and opening 27 to now as low as -21at Offshore sportsbooks. Getting the team you want and getting them 6 points lower than the Opening number is always a nice way to start a 3-team parlay. The Total in this game currently (Wednesday) ranges from 59 to 60, up slightly from an Opening 58.

Despite the recent Trends revealing East Carolina to be 4-1 ATS the L5 against the ACC’s Hokies (104 SU, 8-5 ATS in 2016), last year’s blowout and Final Score (VT 54 EC 17; VT -14½) seem to be more indicative of where these two programs are at now, with the Pirates having L6 straight ATS and 11 of their L12 ATS. The Pirates are nowhere near the team they were from (before) 2013 to 2014 (18-8 SU) than they have been in 2015 to 2016 (8-16 SU) and have recent changes in their Defensive Coaching Staff. In Week 1, East Carolina (0-2 SU/ATS) lost at Home to FCS side James Madison, 34-14 (JMU -1, 68), and then went on the Road to face West Virginia last weekend in Week 2 and were trampled under foot by the Mountaineers, 56-20 (VT -25, 68). So the Pirates have lost by 20 and 36 with Halftime scores of 7-0 and 49-3, so this is a team which hasn’t scored a TD in the First Half and whose TD leader after 2 games has 1 (Trevon Brown).

Virginia Tech (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS) should win the TO battle here and might even block a punt while the Hokies Offense should be able to put up between 20-27 points on the scoreboard in the first 30 minutes of play. This also seems like a good game in which to back the Hokies with a solid straight bet in the First Half marketplace (VT -14 -105, BookMaker) with the hosts having been outscored by a combined 56-3 in the 1H heading in here. Scoring isn’t coming easy for ECU. VT is an impressive 34-16 ATS in Non-Conference games over the L10 seasons (4-1 ATS in 2016) and the Hokies are 36-15 ATS on the Road the L10 years (70.6%) and 4-1 ATS last season. ECU has gone 19-28 ATS in the L10 years in its Non-Conference games but the Pirates are 11-5-1 ATS L17 as a Home underdog.

PREDICTED FINAL SCORE: Virginia Tech 44 East Carolina 13

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#18 Kansas State Money Line -225 over Vanderbilt, 7 :30 pm ET (ESPNU)

Kansas State continues to be good to its backers at the betting windows, and after rolling to a 55-14 victory at Home in Manhattan against Charlotte in Week 2, covering ATS as big 34-point favorites (54) and improving to a profitable 30-13 ATS L10 years in Non-Conference dates (69.8%). The #18 Wildcats (Betting #191) and timeless 26th-year and 77-year-old Head Coach Bill Snyder (161-109-2 ATS) have gotten out to 38-16 and 38-7 leads at Half and Kansas State are 2-0 ATS in the First Half market in 2017.

Against SEC school Vanderbilt at Vanderbilt Stadium in Nashville on Saturday night against the Commodores in a big Non-Conference showdown, KSU will have to play a near-perfect game to get out of Tennessee with a win, but the Wildcats are playing like a team that can really surprise. The Big 12 heads into Week 3 with #2 Oklahoma (+14.2 ppg ATS), #9 Oklahoma State (+12.2 ppg ATS), #18 Kansas State (+13.0 ppg ATS) and #20 TCU (+8.5 ppg ATS) a combined 8-0 SU and a money-making, chocolate cake-baking, bookie-raking 7-1 ATS. Soon they’ll be playing each other, so now seems the logical time to back these heavyweights.

This contest could be closer than many think and employing the Money Line here seems the safest route. We’ll soon enough see. Vaya con púrpura.

PREDICTED FINAL SCORE: Kansas State 30 Vanderbilt 27

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 #3 Clemson -3 -115 over #14 Louisville, 8 pm ET (ABC)

Defending national champions Clemson have been extremely profitable SU and ATS in Months of August and September, and after beating #16 Auburn, 14-6 at Death Valley in Week 2, Tigers Head Coach Dabo Swinney (59-48-1 ATS) and No. 3-ranked Clemson (Betting #147) improved to a remarkable 18-0 SU in its L18 games before November since 2015—going a profitable 12-6 ATS (66.7%) along the way. We bet, therefore we are.

These cats are really good, no matter who graduates and heads to the NFL. Clemson QB Kelly Bryant has only made two Collegiate starts with Deshaun Watson the signal caller Between the Hedges the previous two seasons. The Tigers have outscored opponents 70-13 this season heading in here Saturday in this big ACC collision from Papa John’s Cardinal Stadium in Louisville in a showdown in which the lines opened up #14 Louisville as 1-point favorite in its renowned 2017 Games of the Year Futures Book market.

Louisville (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS) has looked pretty average so far, struggling with Big Ten side Purdue in Week 1, winning 35-28 but failing to cover ATS as large 25½-point chalks (66). Then going to North Carolina and defeating the Tar Heels in Week 2, 47-35 (LOU -11½, 65½) where the Cardinals (2-1 ATS L3 vs. CLEM) barely covered the Point Spread by the hair on their chinny chin chins. Cardinals have chins, right? As we said here earlier this week, Clemson are the pick until the calendar pages flip. This team doesn’t lose and we will possibly risk trashing the parlay with a Louisville outright win or a Clemson 1- or 2-point victory. The Tigers are 3-0 SU L3 meetings. A must-watch game for sure.

PREDICTED FINAL SCORE: Clemson 34 Louisville 24

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NCAAF WEEK 3-TEAM PARLAY FOR PROFIT:Clemson -3 -115/Virginia Tech -22 -120/Kansas State M/L -175
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