Villanova & Motivated Maryland Pull Off Biggest Upsets in Week 1

Sunday, September 2, 2018 4:24 AM UTC

Sunday, Sep. 2, 2018 4:24 AM UTC

The opening weekend of college football provided near-misses, scares and funky betting beats. Let's see how things unfolded in some games played Thursday, Friday and Saturday.

<p dir="ltr" style="text-align:right"><strong><em>NCAAF Capper Week 1 Picks Record: 2-2-0<br />Week 1 Picks: UCF, Washington, USC, Alabama<br />NCAAF Year-To-Date Picks Record: 2-2-0</em></strong></p><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center"><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/college-football-betting/" title="NCAAF Betting Forum">NCAAF: Bettor’s Odds and Ends, Week 1</a></h2><p dir="ltr">Four early games on Saturday saw double-digit favorites staring at a potential Opening Day nightmare in the 4th quarters with FCS power Villanova (+460 moneyline, <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4406&amp;book=Heritage" rel="nofollow" title="Top Rated Sportsbook">Heritage</a>) knocking off <a href="https://classic.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/college-football/villanova-wildcats-vs-temple-owls-3448992/">host Temple,19-17</a> in a game from the Added Games betting board in which the Owls led 14-13 heading in the final 15 minutes. (Temple beat Villanova 16-13 last year.)</p><p dir="ltr">ACC side N.C. State <a href="https://classic.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/college-football/james-madison-dukes-vs-north-carolina-state-wolfpack-3449134/">held off FCS James Madison</a> 24-13. The Dukes pulled within 17-13 with 7:11 left before the Wolfpack (NC ST -14) went 84 yards for a TD to put any ideas of an upset in Raleigh on ice. In an American-Conference USA conference showdown, <a href="https://classic.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/college-football/houston-cougars-vs-rice-owls-3449141/">Houston boiled Rice</a> 31-27 (HOU -26½) as the Cougars needed a 28-3 2nd half to erase a 24-17 Owls lead after the first 30 minutes in a collegiate Houston Derby and the 42nd Bayou Bucket Classic (HOU W5).</p><p dir="ltr">And, No. 23 Texas <a href="https://classic.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/college-football/texas-longhorns-vs-maryland-terrapins-3448256/">battled visiting Maryland</a> in Austin (TEX -12; MARY +420 M/L, <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4395&amp;book=5dimes" rel="nofollow" title="Top Rated Sportsbook">5Dimes</a>) in Austin in a delayed game which eventually saw the Longhorns upset 34-29 to the inspired Terrapins thanks to a 10-0 4th quarter by Maryland. On the first play from scrimmage, Maryland honored <a href="http://www.espn.com/college-football/story/_/id/24545968/maryland-terrapins-use-10-players-first-offensive-play-honor-jordan-mcnair">former teammate Jordan McNair</a> by lining up in a formation with only 10 men on the field in a touching tribute to the Terps OL who died from heatstroke on June 13.</p><p dir="ltr">And FCS Howard — the school with the <a href="https://www.reviewjournal.com/sports/betting/howards-shocking-upset-of-unlv-makes-point-spread-history/">biggest point spread upset</a> ever (UNLV -45, 600/1 moneyline, 5Dimes) in 2017 — <em>almost </em>knocked off FCS side <a href="https://classic.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/college-football/howard-bison-vs-ohio-bobcats-3449425/">and host Ohio</a>, eventually succumbing, 38-32 in a game which saw the upstart Bison leading 22-17 at the half (OHIO -31 -15,000 M/L, HOW +6000). So? So, esteemed Bobcats head coach Frank Solich will still be able to sleep this quickly coming fall.</p><p dir="ltr">So, it was not an especially good <a href="https://classic.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/college-football/">Week 1</a> for Owls (Temple, Rice), known better for doing their hunting at night anyway. Those two FBS Owls are 0-2 ATS to start this campaign after going a combined 12-13 ATS last season (Temple 7-5, Rice 4-8). Rice is at improved Hawaii in Week 3 play while Temple will host Buffalo.</p><p dir="ltr">[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;For Him. For You.&lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/hashtag/JM79?src=hash&amp;amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#JM79&lt;/a&gt; | &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/hashtag/TerpNation?src=hash&amp;amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#TerpNation&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href=\"https://t.co/Ta1JGTLfGB\"&gt;pic.twitter.com/Ta1JGTLfGB&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— Maryland Football (@TerpsFootball) &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/TerpsFootball/status/1036005398837428224?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;September 1, 2018&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;\n"}[/]</p><h2 dir="ltr">Bets You Wish You Had and Bets You’re Glad You Didn’t</h2><p dir="ltr">The morning and afternoon games on Saturday provided both some quick and easy and value-laden winners before dinnertime on the NCAA Football betting board:</p><ul> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">Villanova moneyline over Temple (+460, Heritage)</p> </li> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">Boston College-UMass over 62 (55 points at half)</p> </li> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">Ohio State-Oregon State over 62 (56 points at half)</p> </li> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">Maryland moneyline over Texas (+420, 5Dimes)</p> </li></ul><p dir="ltr">The Added Games board provided a perceived bad beat — and many more — on Saturday with some heavy chalks facing non-conference foes racing out to a combined 192-7 lead only to see scoreless and merciful 4th quarters which resulted in all four big mega-underdogs (barely) covering ATS (and realistically to be classified as “bad beats” in their own teasingly bad, never-covering-because-the-mountain-was-too-high way). Really close, but no cigar and enough angst to last until some other game or play or perhaps gnat really pisses us off.</p><ul> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">Georgia Tech (-42) led Alcorn State, 41-0 with 3:17 left in the 3rd quarter and then called off the dogs, scoring 0 points in the last 18:17 to lose ATS by 1 point.</p> </li> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">No. 2 Clemson (-51) led Furman 48-0 with 13:42 to play but poor field position (FUR on CLEM 41) and a 15-yard penalty put the ball on the Tigers 26, leading to Furman’s only TD and burying any chance of a Clemson ATS cover (48-7 F).</p> </li> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">No. 16 TCU (-50) ran out to a 55-7 lead with 2:17 left in the 3rd quarter but didn’t score another point vs. visiting FCS Southern in Fort Worth and failed to cover ATS by 2. The Horned Frogs outgained the Jaguars 499-185 (30-9 1st downs).</p> </li> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">No. 3 Georgia (GEO -48) jumped to a 45-0 lead with 1:28 to play in the 3rd quarter vs. Austin Peay, then decided to lay off the FCS Governors, winning 45-0 but failing to get the money for Bulldogs backers by 3 stinking points.</p> </li></ul><p dir="ltr">And, is it considered a “bad beat” if you backed FCS side Appalachian State (+1700 M/L, 5Dimes) <a href="https://classic.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/college-football/appalachian-state-mountaineers-vs-penn-state-nittany-lions-3448299/">vs. #10 Penn State on Saturday?</a> The Nittany Lions (PSU -24½) looked like they could be meeting the same cruel fate as did their heated rivals and fellow Big Ten side Michigan in 2007, losing to the then D1 Mountaineers. But a PSU TD in OT made it 45-38 and an Interception helped avoid any major embarrassment in State College.</p><p dir="ltr">Or what if you took a chance and backed FCS side <a href="https://classic.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/college-football/south-dakota-coyotes-vs-kansas-state-wildcats-3448785/">South Dakota over Kansas State </a>(KSU -23½) on the moneyline? The upset-minded Coyotes held a 24-12 lead after 2 and 3 quarters in The Little Apple (Manhattan, Kansas), but 15 straight Wildcats points to start the 4th quarter led to a 27-24 KSU lead (and eventual win by that score) with 7:21 to go and dreams of a big South Dakota (+1400 M/L, 5Dimes) upset vanished like <a href="https://www.cbsnews.com/news/30-years-ago-today-coca-cola-new-coke-failure/">the new Coca-Cola</a> did from shelves in 1985.</p><p dir="ltr"> </p><h2 dir="ltr">Some Looking-Better and Looking-Worse NCAAF Teams</h2><p dir="ltr">After two games, it seems Colorado State (0-2 SU/ATS) and New Mexico State (0-2 SU/ATS) have dropped off from last year while 2017 ATS King Rat Hawaii (1-10 ATS) and Ole Miss (6-6 SU, 4-6-1 ATS) have improved with Rebels QB Jordan Ta’amu (22/32, 336 passing yards, 2) possessing four wonderful weapons in WRs DaMarkus Lodge (6 receptions,96 yards) A.J. Brown (7, 93, TD), D.K. Metcalf (4, 81, TD) and Braylon Sanders (4, 60).</p><p dir="ltr">In losses to Hawaii (34-43) and Colorado (13-45), <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/college-football/" title="Live NCAAF Odds">the Rams' opponents have covered the number by 26 and 25 points</a> while in their losses to Wyoming (7-29) and Minnesota (10-48), the Aggies were off the number to the bad side by 16½ both times.</p><ul> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">CSU has allowed 31 points in both its 1st and 3rd quarters</p> </li> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">CSU has L9 straight ATS dating to last season</p> </li> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">CSU last ATS win was at UTAH ST in Week 6 last year</p> </li></ul><p dir="ltr">The Rainbow Warriors looked like they have improved with QB Cole McDonald (26/37, 418, 3) and WR John Usua (100 receptions, 1,319 yards, 8 TDs) spearheading the quick-pace offense with McDonald being able to pull the ball up and run when needed, as he demonstrated with his 96 yards rushing and TDs vs. CSU (31.2 ppg allowed in 2017, No. 74) in Week 0. So, brah, <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/college-football/" title="Free NCAAF Picks">is it time to say “aloha” to the days of automatically being able to fade Hawaii</a>?</p><p dir="ltr">Well, <a href="https://classic.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/college-football/navy-midshipmen-vs-hawaii-warriors-3453460/">late Saturday</a> night, McDonald and the Rainbow Warriors welcomed Navy to Honolulu (NAVY -12½), and Hawaii (+465 M/L, 5Dimes) got off to a fast start in their home opener vs. the Midshipmen at Aloha Stadium, scoring (a TD) on their first drive and then holding the Midshipmen on downs then scoring another TD (and then another and then another to take a 28-0 2nd quarter lead) to set a positive tone for a second straight game — a rare if non-existent occurrence for head coach Nick Rolovich (8-17 ATS into Navy) and his team last sad season (3-9 SU, 1-11 ATS). Expect oddsmakers to adjust their Hawaii numbers fast.</p><ul> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">HAWAII 0-11 on opening drives in 2017 season (0%)</p> </li> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">HAWAII 2-2 (TD, TD) on opening drives in 2018 (100%)</p> </li></ul><p dir="ltr">NCAAF Week 2 action will see CSU hosting Arkansas, Utah State playing host to NMS, Hawaii welcoming Rice to The Islands of Aloha, and Ole Miss hosting FCS school Southern Illinois University (SIU) in Oxford.</p><p dir="ltr"><img height="544" src="https://lh6.googleusercontent.com/L3BTqN4dHw4l4x2C7O1gHV_9ybuRCWMhWu3d-9jWRt3IfxI5uvIJBJwtIgyi5djWpvgj_3PmbIv6wptgzAptr7Ejr8UVmKHI1YTGbWrAwWok2YCXJ-bC_9xiKuqGiW5sDp8MmInN" width="603" /></p>
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