Vegas Releases Odds for their ‘College Football Games of the Year’: We Help You Find the Value!

Kevin Stott

Thursday, July 2, 2015 7:39 PM GMT

The Golden Nugget Las Vegas released odds for 166 College Football games for the coming 2015/16 season on Friday, and, as expected, there was some significant movement on some of the games. Let’s look at some numbers and make a couple of picks from this buffet of College Football lines for the coming season.

Introduction
For a ninth straight year, the Golden Nugget Hotel & Casino in Las Vegas released its College Football Games of the Year odds, this season's numbers on a total of 166 NCAA contests, as usual, steadfastly put together by Sportsbook Director Tony Miller, his Assistant Aaron Kessler and Gold Sheet Executive Editor Bruce Marshall. Bettors into this fairly unique and niche lid-lifting College Football betting marketplace—which officially opened at 1:30 p.m. PT on Friday (June 26)—were able to bet a maximum of $1,100 (to win $1,000) per game on up to 5 games before then having to move to the back of one of three lines at the historic downtown Sin City casino. And, as expected, there was some significant movement on some of the games. Whether an actual market that Early Birds and Wiseguys make $1,100 max wagers on (over and over if they wish), or just a tool for the common College Football bettor to get an early gauge on the coming College Football season, the Golden Nugget’s NCAA College Football opening odds—like the Westgate Las Vegas Hilton’s NFL Games of the Year already released in the spring—have now become perennial traditions anticipated both by professional and recreational gamblers in Sin City as well as the sports gambling media. Let’s look at the opening numbers released from the Golden Nugget week by week and make some picks from this buffet of College Football Division I FBS lines for the coming season which gets into swing only 65 days from today on Thursday, September 3rd. Note, all HOME TEAMS below listed in CAPS.

 

Week 1—Thursday, September 3
UTAH -4 Michigan

TCU -18 MINNESOTA

 

Week 1—Friday, September 4
BOISE ST. -13 Washington

 

Week 1—Saturday, September 5
Alabama -10 Wisconsin (Arlington, Texas)

Auburn -11½ Louisville (Atlanta)

Texas A&M -3 Arizona State (Houston)

UCLA -17 Virginia

NEBRASKA -6 BYU

NOTRE DAME -7½ Texas

 

Week 1—Monday, September 7
Ohio State -16 VIRGINIA TECH

 

Week 2—Saturday, September 12
LSU -3 MISSISSIPPI STATE

UCLA -32 UNLV

TENNESSEE -3 Oklahoma

Notre Dame -9 VIRGINIA

MICHIGAN -14 Oregon State

Iowa -4½ IOWA STATE

Marshall -3½ OHIO

Boise State -6 BYU

MICHIGAN ST. -1 Oregon

 

Week 3—Thursday, September 17
Clemson -3 LOUISVILLE

 

Week 3—Saturday, September 19
LSU -4 Auburn

MICHIGAN -33 Unlv

ALABAMA -9½ Mississippi

GEORGIA -11 South Carolina

NOTRE DAME -2 Georgia Tech

MIAMI-FLA PK Nebraska

USC -4 Stanford

UCLA -14 Byu

Colorado -1½ Colorado State (Denver)

 

Week 4—Thursday, September 24
MEMPHIS -2 Cincinnati

 

Week 4—Friday, September 25
Boise State -9 VIRGINIA

 

Week 4—Saturday, September 26
LSU -20 SYRACUSE

ARIZONA PK UCLA

USC -1 ARIZONA STATE

OREGON -14 Utah

TEXAS -2½ Oklahoma State

MICHIGAN -7 Byu

Arkansas -6½ Texas A&M (Arlington)

AUBURN -8 Mississippi State

Tennessee -2½ FLORIDA

 

Week 5—Thursday, October 1
CINCINNATI -2½ Miami-Fla

 

Week 5—Saturday, October 3
NEVADA -14 UNLV

Mississippi -6 FLORIDA

GEORGIA PK Alabama

MISSOURI -11 South Carolina

TENNESSEE -1 Arkansas

TEXAS A&M -6½ Mississippi State

VIRGINIA TECH -9 Pitt

STANFORD -7½ Arizona

UCLA -6 Stanford

Oregon -16 Colorado

PENN STATE -28 Army

OKLAHOMA -10 West Virginia

OKLAHOMA STATE -4 Kansas State

TCU -21 Texas

CLEMSON -3½ Notre Dame

 

Week 6—Thursday, October 8
USC -19 Washington

 

Week 6—Saturday, October 10
LSU -8 SOUTH CAROLINA

CLEMSON -3 Georgia Tech

ALABAMA -7½ Arkansas

MISSOURI -10 Florida

TENNESSEE PK Georgia

FLORIDA STATE -14½ Miami-Fla

PITT -6 Virginia

Boise State -12 COLORADO STATE

TCU -11 KANSAS STATE

OKLAHOMA -6½ Texas (Dallas)

WEST VIRGINIA -5 Oklahoma State

Wisconsin -1 NEBRASKA

NOTRE DAME -14 Navy

 

Week 7—Thursday, October 15
STANFORD -4½ UCLA

Auburn -9 KENTUCKY

 

Week 7—Friday, October 16
FRESNO STATE -12 UNLV

Boise State -9½ UTAH STATE

 

Week 7—Saturday, October 17
LSU -14 Florida

UTAH -2 Arizona State

NOTRE DAME PK USC

Oregon -15 WASHINGTON

FLORIDA STATE -12 Louisville

GEORGIA TECH -14 Pitt

MIAMI-FLA -6 Virginia Tech

GEORGIA -8½ Missouri

Alabama -7 TEXAS A&M

BAYLOR -17 West Virginia

TCU -29 Iowa State

Oklahoma -3 KANSAS STATE

Michigan State -4½ MICHIGAN

OHIO STATE -19 Penn State

 

Week 8—Saturday, October 24
USC -7 Utah

TEXAS -2 Kansas State

ALABAMA -10 Tennessee

ARKANSAS -6½ Auburn

MISSISSIPPI -4 Texas A&M

Clemson -4½ MIAMI-FLA

GEORGIA TECH PK Florida State

 

Week 9—Thursday, October 29
Oregon -5 ARIZONA STATE

TCU -20 West Virginia

 

Week 9—Saturday, October 31
Boise State -28½ UNLV

CINCINNATI -6 Central Florida

Georgia Tech -10 VIRGINIA

AUBURN -4 Mississippi

GEORGIA -12 Florida (Jacksonville)

TEXAS A&M -10 South Carolina

UTAH -16 Oregon State

 

Week 10—Tuesday, November 3
TOLEDO -3 Northern Illinois

 

Week 10—Thursday, November 5
MISSOURI -6 Mississippi State

Baylor -12 KANSAS STATE

 

Week 10—Saturday, November 7
ALABAMA -9 LSU

MISSISSIPPI -1 Arkansas

Auburn -1½ TEXAS A&M

TCU -11 OKLAHOMA STATE

Michigan State -6 NEBRASKA

CLEMSON -2 Florida State

MIAMI-FLA -6½ Virginia

USC -7½ Arizona

 

Week 11—Thursday, November 12
GEORGIA TECH -9½ Virginia Tech

 

Week 11—Friday, November 13
USC -12 COLORADO

 

Week 11—Saturday, November 14
LSU -1½ Arkansas

ARIZONA -3 Utah

STANFORD PK Oregon

AUBURN PK Georgia

ALABAMA -9 Mississippi State

SOUTH CAROLINA -2½ Florida

BAYLOR -13 Oklahoma

MISSOURI -12 Byu (Kansas City)

 

Week 12—Saturday, November 21
San Diego State -16 UNLV

MISSISSIPPI PK LSU

BYU -18 Fresno State

TCU -5 OKLAHOMA

Baylor -10 OKLAHOMA STATE

OHIO STATE -14 Michigan State

PENN STATE -3½ Michigan

ARKANSAS -10 Mississippi State

MISSOURI -2½ Tennessee

Georgia Tech -6 MIAMI-FLA

ARIZONA STATE -3 Arizona

OREGON -6½ USC

UCLA -1 UTAH

STANFORD -13 California

 

Week 13—Friday, November 27
TCU -6 Baylor

OREGON -22½ Oregon State

WASHINGTON -4½ Washington State

NEBRASKA -7 Iowa

 

Week 13—Saturday, November 28
LSU -7½ Texas A&M

Kansas State -24 KANSAS

Oklahoma -3 OKLAHOMA STATE

UTAH STATE PK BYU

Ohio State -16 MICHIGAN

MICHIGAN STATE -12 Penn State

USC -3 UCLA

UTAH -13½ Colorado

STANFORD -3 Notre Dame

NC STATE -6 North Carolina

Virginia Tech -4 VIRGINIA

ARKANSAS -7 Missouri

Alabama -3½ AUBURN

Florida State -4 FLORIDA

Georgia -1 GEORGIA TECH

Louisville -2½ KENTUCKY

MISSISSIPPI -2 Mississippi State

Clemson -3 SOUTH CAROLINA

TENNESSEE -17 Vanderbilt

 

Week 14—Saturday, December 5
BAYLOR -18 Texas

KANSAS STATE -5 West Virginia

 

Week 15—Saturday, December 12
Navy -13 Army (Philadelphia)

 

Conclusions and BYU, Auburn Movement
According to various reports last week, BYU and Auburn received their fair share of early betting handle in the 2015/16 College Football Games of the Year at the Golden Nugget. After opening as 6-point underdogs against Boise State, BYU received enough early action at the Golden Nugget in the game in Provo in Week 2 against the highly regarded Broncos to move the line a remarkable 5 points all the way down to Boise State -1. There was also college football odds movement away from BYU from money bet on the Cougars for games against Nebraska (BYU +6 to +4); UCLA (BYU +7 to +6); Missouri (BYU +12 to +7½); and, Utah State (Pick to BYU -4). Auburn saw the 6½ points it was getting as a Road Underdog against Arkansas in Fayetteville in Week 8 when the lines were posted on Friday afternoon plummet 5 points down to just +1½. The Auburn Tigers also saw significant line movements away from them (money bet on Auburn) in the Mississippi game (Auburn -4 to -6); the Georgia game (Auburn PK to -2½); and, in the Iron Bowl on Nov. 28 against intrastate rival Alabama (Auburn +3½ to +2½). On the opening Friday (September 4) of the NCAA College Football season on the famous blue turf of Boise State, the host and MWC-representing Broncos went from 13-point favorites over Pac-12 reps Washington all the way down to Boise State -8½, one of the biggest moves of the day. Two seasons ago in 2013 in the season opener, Washington thumped Boise State, 38-6 at Husky Stadium in Seattle as 4-point Underdogs.

Golden Nugget College Football Game of the Year Picks: Florida +2 over Tennessee (Week 4), Alabama Pick over Georgia (Week 5), Penn State -28 over Army (Week 5), Auburn -9 over Kentucky (Week 7), Arkansas +1 over Mississippi (Week 9) (Golden Nugget Las Vegas).