Valuable Underdog in NCAA Football Odds: Auburn vs. Alabama

Joe Gavazzi

Thursday, November 27, 2014 5:38 PM GMT

College football handicapping revolves around statistical matchups, situational handicapping, and a dash of technician’s dream games. Today, we focus on the Auburn vs. Alabama matchup.

Underdog Game of The Week: Auburn vs. Alabama (-9-) 7:45 ET ESPN
Sometimes those placing College Football picks get fortunate enough to have stats, situations & technical data on their side.  Other times, we must search for line value to isolate the pointspread winner.  UNDERDOG selections are often aided by a general impost.  Just such is the example today when we will be looking to fade the public, the linemaker and the pollsters against what everyone considers to be America’s top team, playing their rivalry revenge game of the year. 

Everyone remembers the ending to this game last season.  Auburn returned a missed field goal (109 yards) for the game winning score, resulting in a 34-28 Auburn victory. It was a microcosm of the Auburn dream season which drove them to the National Championship game. 

Alabama has ascended to the top of the SEC West once again this year.  Though tied at 6-1 SU with Mississippi St. for the best record, all will clearly remember that the Tide held on for a 25-20 victory two weeks ago on this field to hand the Bulldogs their only defeat of the season.   Ergo, the tiebreaker advantage to Alabama.  It is well deserved, as Alabama is a member of both our 200 Club on offense as well as the possessor of a Defensive Dandy statistical profile.  Only a stunning road loss at Ole Miss on October 4th prevents perfection.  A shot at the national title still waits, if only they can handle the pressure of facing rivalry revenge with need. 

Auburn comes in here with 3 losses already.  After their near national title championship last year, they have suffered defeats this season to Miss St., Texas A&M and Georgia. As such, they will be playing a free-wheeling style of football, which fits nicely with the offensive philosophy of HC Malzahn.  The Tigers’ offensive statistics back it up, as they too are members of our 200 Club on offense and field a righteous defense of their own at 23 PPG.   

While the College Football odds entice you to lay just slightly less than double digits with a luring line of -9-, the public will be eager to play the No. 1 team in the country with need and with revenge. Your move to wait till this line climbs, then step in to purchase the greatest line value available in Week 14's rivalry matches

Free College Football Pick: Auburn as the Underdog at BookMaker