Uncertainties Bring Betting Value in Arkansas vs. Auburn Game

David Lawrence

Friday, July 18, 2014 4:36 PM GMT

Friday, Jul. 18, 2014 4:36 PM GMT

The betting situation attached to this Southeastern Conference opener between the Auburn Tigers and the Arkansas Razorbacks is something that a lot of people are going to have to wait to react to. It’s just not known right now how this game is going to look in the final week of August, just before the actual kickoff. People can guess, but bets shouldn’t be based on pure guesses.

Arkansas Razorbacks at Auburn Tigers
Saturday, August 30th – 4:05 PM ET
NCAA Football Odds: Auburn -20

The Razorbacks can win because...
They might be playing Auburn without the Tigers’ best offensive player. It’s the drama that now precedes this game, with the result being very important in terms of who wins and loses this SEC West opener.

The story everyone in college football is talking about right now is the citation of Auburn quarterback Nick Marshall for the use of marijuana. Marshall has been in trouble before at his previous school before he came to Auburn. Now he’s in trouble again, but it’s only the first time he’s gotten in trouble at Auburn. It’s unclear as to whether the school and coach Gus Malzahn will suspend him for all or part of this game against Arkansas. Malzahn told the media on Monday that he had not arrived at a decision and that facts were still being gathered in the case. If Malzahn winds up suspending Marshall, Auburn loses its best offensive player. Tre Mason, the team’s star running back, is now in the NFL. Auburn didn’t have much of a passing game with Marshall, either. The quarterback was mostly a running quarterback within Malzahn’s tempo-based system. If Marshall doesn’t play in this game, Auburn’s offense could really struggle, enough for Arkansas to play a close game and maybe steal it in the fourth quarter with a score of 20-17 or 17-16.

 

The Tigers can win because...
They have enough talent and coaching to win this game even if Marshall doesn’t play. If Marshall plays, Auburn should blow out Arkansas, but even if he doesn’t, the Tigers can survive this game. They’re playing at home, which always helps, and they have the better coach in this game. Malzahn is a superior coach when compared to Arkansas’ Bret Bielema, because of his ability to take a team to the national championship game in his first season on the job. Bielema has made multiple Rose Bowls but has never been able to win one. Bielema did well at Wisconsin in the Big Ten, but he didn’t face the kind of challenges Malzahn quickly overcame in the SEC. If Malzahn and Bielema match wits and that proves to be a big key in the outcome of the game, you can expect Auburn to come out on top.

Another point to keep in mind when making your betting pick is that Auburn likes to use tempo to its advantage on offense. Even if the Tigers don’t have a great passing quarterback, they can simply use their stamina and fitness, which held up exceptionally well last season, to wear down Arkansas in the final quarter and do just enough to win.

 

Outlook & NCAA Football Betting Prediction
If Marshall plays, Auburn covers the spread. Since that’s not known, one should really wait to make a betting play. That’s the smartest thing to do. Right now, with Marshall’s status up in the air, we consider taking Auburn on the money line but Arkansas against the spread seems to be the best approach.
NCAA Football Picks: We advise you add Arkansas +20 at 5Dimes to your College Football betting picks.

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