UCF Among Teams Hoping to Avoid Trap in Week 3 Action

Monday, September 10, 2018 5:26 PM UTC

Monday, Sep. 10, 2018 5:26 PM UTC

From a handicapping perspective there some interesting matchups on this week's college football slate, with a handful of perceived trap, lookahead, letdown and just plain ol' great games to watch.

<p dir="ltr" style="text-align:right"><strong><em>NCAAF Capper Week 2 Picks Record: 5-2-0<br />NCAAF YTD Picks Record: 7-4-0</em></strong></p><h2 dir="ltr" id="docs-internal-guid-08c10df4-7fff-2029-9203-72a64ff87ad0" style="text-align:center">3 Potential Week 3 Trap Games</h2><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center"><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/college-football/ucf-knights-vs-north-carolina-tar-heels-3449317/odds/" title="Game Odds">No. 18 UCF (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS) at North Carolina (0-2 SU/ATS)</a></h2><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center">Saturday, noon ET (ESPNU)</h2><p dir="ltr">[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3449317, "sportsbooksIds":[19,169,93,238,1096], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]</p><p dir="ltr">Why It’s a Trap: With FAU (11-3 in 2017) up next in Week 4 under the Friday night lights and North Carolina so bad last year (3-9 SU), it may be easy for Central Florida to overlook the Tar Heels here in this non-conference tilt, with the Kenan Memorial Stadium (grass) site in Chapel Hill, NC and the reality it’s the home opener being a big edge for the ACC side.</p><ul> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">UCF #2 in Red Zone Defense in 2017</p> </li> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">UCF has W15 straight games, (11-3 ATS, No Line AUS PEAY, 2017)</p> </li> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">UCF’s last Loss to ARK ST in Cure Bowl on Dec. 17, 2016 (ARK ST 31 UCF 13)</p> </li></ul><p dir="ltr"> </p><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center"><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/college-football/alabama-crimson-tide-vs-ole-miss-rebels-3447697/odds/" title="Game Odds">No. 1 Alabama (2-0 SU/ATS) at Ole Miss (2-0 SU/2-0 ATS)</a></h2><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center">Saturday, 7 p.m. ET (ESPN)</h2><p dir="ltr">[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3447697, "sportsbooksIds":[19,169,93,238,1096], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]</p><p dir="ltr">Why It’s a Trap: After facing a patsy opponent in Week 2 (ARK ST), Tua Tagovailoa and top-ranked Alabama head to Vaught-Hemingway Stadium (FieldTurf) in Oxford, Mississippi to face Ole Miss, which had this game circled the day the schedule was released with a home date against the Crimson Tide (vs. A&amp;M in Week 4) sure to bring the best out of the crowd and those pulling for the big upset in their SEC opener. It won’t happen despite the hostile environment that makes this trappy.</p><ul> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">OLE MISS 4-1 ATS L5 vs ALA</p> </li> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">ALA’s SABAN 70-10 SU in SEC games, 127-14 at ALA since 2008</p> </li> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">ALA 43-3 SU L46, OLE MISS 6-6 L12</p> </li></ul><p dir="ltr">Even with JC transfer QB Jordan Ta'amu (7 TDs, 0 INT), RB Scottie Phillips (311 yards, 4 TDs), WRs A.J. Brown (15/251/3), Braylon Sanders (8/193/TD) and D.K. Metcalf (11/174/2), the home site and a nothing-to-lose mentality with the team serving the last year of a 3-year NCAA-imposed postseason ban — this is their Super Bowl in 2018 — giving the Rebels their best chance in awhile, the Alabama defense will be mad it allowed 14 (LOU) and 7 (ARK ST) in its first 2 games and will be looking for the shutout, although unlikely with Ole Miss having this plethora of skill guys and maybe the best receiving corps in FBS.</p><p dir="ltr"><img height="349" src="https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/Sb63VWw8MufhyQKxG4K32Nl2K4nIZEidkRXJf5x2vpRjKCIu5cN0qZrecKlS3Uuu8fIaFvVZ4BEcUlnmnKQcc_OwVtHRUObi9iIRR-x_wlNdqgXq1iWzNRoFiBW7VD2Fdj_sRQP4" width="624" /></p><p dir="ltr"> </p><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center"><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/college-football/missouri-tigers-vs-purdue-boilermakers-3447882/odds/" title="Game Odds">Missouri (2-0 SU/ATS) at Purdue (0-2 SU/ATS)</a></h2><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center">Saturday, 7:30 p.m. ET (BTN, BTN+)</h2><p dir="ltr">[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3447882, "sportsbooksIds":[19,169,93,238,1096], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]</p><p dir="ltr">Why It’s a Trap: Part-trap, part-lookahead (GEORGIA) for Mizzou with the perennial heavyweight Bulldogs up next in a SEC Week 4 showdown in Columbia, MO and host Purdue coming off two tough losses to start the season.</p><ul> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">PURDUE 4-0 ATS Non-Conference in 2017</p> </li> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">MIZZOU scored 51, 40, 48, 45, 50, 45, 52 , 69 points in L8 RS games (50 ppg)</p> </li> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">PURDUE snapped 5-year streak of Season Win Totals Under in 2017</p> </li></ul><p dir="ltr">So, this little SEC-Big Ten showdown seems like it could be a good spot for the Boilermakers who will be playing at home for a 3rd consecutive week — Purdue also hosts Boston College in Week 4 — and who have to be mad after losing to <a href="https://classic.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/college-football/eastern-michigan-eagles-vs-purdue-boilermakers-3448303/">Eastern Michigan</a> in West Lafayette, IN in Week 2 as 15-point chalks on a last-second FG, 20-19, after falling to Northwestern 31-27 in Week 1 despite holding the Wildcats scoreless in the 2H in the season and Big Ten openers for both. Last year, Purdue handled the Tigers in Missouri 35-3 (MIZZOU -6½) and this may be a good spot for an upset by a team that doesn’t want to be 0-3.</p><hr /><p dir="ltr"> </p><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center">6 Potential Week 3 Lookahead Games</h2><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center"><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/college-football/troy-trojans-vs-nebraska-cornhuskers-3448310/odds/" title="Game Odds">Troy at Nebraska</a></h2><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center">Saturday, noon ET (BTN, BTN+)</h2><p dir="ltr">[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3448310, "sportsbooksIds":[19,169,93,238,1096], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]</p><p dir="ltr">Why It’s a Lookahead: Like Wisconsin, a 3rd consecutive home game to start the season with Troy (1-1 SU/ATS) coming to Lincoln at Memorial Stadium (FieldTurf) in a non-conference meeting that could be a lookahead for the Cornhuskers (0-1 SU/ATS) with a game against No. 22 Michigan (1-1 SU/ATS) up next in Week 4 at the Big House (Sept. 22). Last season, the Trojans went an impressive 11-2 SU (6-5-1 ATS) and have W12 of their L14 games, only losing to South Alabama (20-17) and No. 17 Boise State this season. If Colorado can beat Nebraska at home, little Troy will have a shot.</p><p dir="ltr"> </p><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center"><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/college-football/kent-state-golden-flashes-vs-penn-state-nittany-lions-3448313/odds/" title="Game Odds">Kent State at No. 11 Penn State</a></h2><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center">Saturday, noon ET (FS1)</h2><p dir="ltr">[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3448313, "sportsbooksIds":[19,169,93,238,1096], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]</p><p dir="ltr">Why It’s a Lookahead for Penn State: Trace McSorley and the No. 11 Nittany Lions (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS) welcome MAC East side Kent State (1-1 SU, 2-0 ATS) to Beaver Stadium (grass) and State College for this possible lookahead game for Penn State, with the hosts coming in off their Week 2 Keystone Classic blowout against intrastate rival Pitt at Heinz Field and with their Big Ten opener (at ILL Sept. 21) on the immediate horizon. The Golden Flashes (2-10 SU, 4-7 aTS in 2017) have beaten only 2 of their L12 opponents: Miami Ohio (2017) and FCS side <a href="https://classic.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/college-football/howard-bison-vs-kent-state-golden-flashes-3449285/">Howard in Week 2</a> (54-14, KENT ST -8½).</p><p dir="ltr"> </p><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center">UC Davis at No. 9 Stanford</h2><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center">Saturday, 2 p.m. ET (Pac-12)</h2><p dir="ltr">Why It’s a Lookahead for Stanford: With Bryce Love and No. 9 Stanford (2-0 SU/ATS) having No. 23 Oregon (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS) next up on the schedule in Week 4 in Eugene in the Pac-12 opener for the Ducks — who will be playing their 4th straight home date — the Cardinal may be looking ahead to that game more than focusing on FCS side UC Davis, especially come off a physical win over USC in Week 2 in their Pac-12 lid-lifter. When these two met in 2014, Stanford shut out the Aggies 45-0.</p><p dir="ltr"> </p><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center"><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/college-football/brigham-young-cougars-vs-wisconsin-badgers-3448352/odds/" title="Game Odds">BYU at No. 6 Wisconsin</a></h2><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center">Saturday, 3:30 p.m. ET (ABC)</h2><p dir="ltr">[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3448352, "sportsbooksIds":[19,169,93,238,1096], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]</p><p dir="ltr">Why It’s a Lookahead for Wisconsin: Heisman hopeful Jonathan Taylor and No. 6 Wisconsin (2-0 SU, 0-2 ATS) see independent BYU (1-1 SU/ATS) coming to Madtown in what could be a lookahead spot with the Badgers getting their first taste of Big Ten play the following weekend (at IOWA, Sept. 22). In Week 2, Taylor set individual rushing (254 yards) and TD (3) records, but <a href="https://classic.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/college-football/new-mexico-lobos-vs-wisconsin-badgers-3448351/">Wisconsin</a> was still laying too many (-46) against New Mexico in Madison. This will be the Badgers' 3rd straight home game.</p><p dir="ltr"> </p><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center"><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/college-football/san-jose-state-spartans-vs-oregon-ducks-3448838/odds/" title="Game Odds">San Jose State at No. 20 Oregon</a></h2><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center">Saturday, 5 p.m. ET (Pac-12)</h2><p dir="ltr">[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3448838, "sportsbooksIds":[19,169,93,238,1096], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]</p><p dir="ltr">Why It’s a Lookahead For Oregon: With Stanford on deck in Week 4, this could be a lookahead for Justin Hebert (30/47, 541, 9 TDs, 2 INTs) and host Oregon (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS) with nothing-to-lose MWC West school San José State (0-2 SU/ATS) heading north up the Pacific coast to Autzen Stadium (grass) and Eugene to probably get a mud hole stomped in them. In their first two games, the Spartans have been outscored 75-38 in losses (and non ATS covers) to UC Davis (44-38) and Washington State (31-0) with SJS ranked No. 124 in total defense, allowing an average of 566.5 ypg.</p><p dir="ltr"> </p><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center">Eastern Washington at Washington State</h2><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center">Saturday, 8 p.m. ET (Pac-12)</h2><p dir="ltr">Why It’s a Lookahead For Washington State: With Gardner Minshew and Wazzu (2-0 SU/ATS) having to play at USC in Week 4 (Sept. 22) in their Pac-12 opener, this home game against FCS side Eastern Washington (2-0 SU) from Martin Stadium (FieldTurf) in Pullman, WA may get less love and energy from HC Mike Leach (41-31 ATS). In Week 2, EW QB Gage Gubrud threw for 322 yards and 4 TDs vs. NAU in a 31-26 win for the Eagles in their Big Sky opener. The last time these two met (Week 1, 2016), upstart EW knocked off Washington State 45-42 in Pullman, so you know a victory won’t come easy for the Cougars here, although their 72 -19 start (WSU 41 WYO 19, WSU 31 SJS 0) and No. 2-ranked total defense (157.5 ypg, UTAH No. 1, 143.5) means the visitors will definitely have a harder time scoring in this matchup than they did 2 years ago.</p><p dir="ltr"> </p><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center">4 Possible Week 3 Letdown Games</h2><p dir="ltr"><strong><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/college-football/florida-state-seminoles-vs-syracuse-orange-3448830/odds/" title="Game Odds">Florida State (-2½) at Syracuse</a>, noon ET:</strong> FSU off Week 2 Samford scare.<br /><strong><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/college-football/temple-owls-vs-maryland-terrapins-3448260/odds/" title="Game Odds">Temple at Maryland (-11½)</a>, noon ET:</strong> MD off 2 big W’s; Temple 0-2 start.<br /><strong><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/college-football/miami-(fl)-hurricanes-vs-toledo-rockets-3449465/odds/" title="Game Odds">No. 21 Miami-Florida (-9½) at Toledo</a>, noon ET:</strong> Canes off 77-0 romp of Savannah State.<br /><strong><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/college-football/eastern-michigan-eagles-vs-buffalo-bulls-3449342/odds/" title="Game Odds">Eastern Michigan at Buffalo (-4)</a>, 6 p.m. ET: </strong>EM off Week 2 Purdue upset.</p><p dir="ltr"> </p><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center">7 Great Week 3 Must-See TV Matchups</h2><p dir="ltr"><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/college-football/boise-state-broncos-vs-oklahoma-state-cowboys-3449044/odds/" title="Game Odds">No. 17 Boise State (2-0) at No. 24 Oklahoma State (2-0)</a>, 3:30 pm ET<br /><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/college-football/lsu-tigers-vs-auburn-tigers-3447698/odds/" title="Game Odds">No. 12 LSU (2-0) at No. 7 Auburn (2-0)</a>, 3:30 p.m. ET (CBS)<br /><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/college-football/houston-cougars-vs-texas-tech-red-raiders-3449335/odds/" title="Game Odds">Houston (2-0) at Texas Tech (1-1)</a>, 4 p.m. ET (FOX)<br /><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/college-football/alabama-crimson-tide-vs-ole-miss-rebels-3447697/odds/" title="Game Odds">No. 1 Alabama (2-0) at Ole Miss (2-0)</a>, 7 p.m. ET (ESPN)<br /><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/college-football/ohio-state-buckeyes-vs-tcu-horned-frogs-3448311/odds/" title="Game Odds">No. 4 Ohio State (2-0) at No. 15 TCU (2-0)</a>, 8 p.m. ET (ABC)<br /><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/college-football/washington-huskies-vs-utah-utes-3449042/odds/" title="Game Odds">No. 10 Washington (1-1) at Utah (2-0)</a>, 10 p.m. ET (ESPN)<br /><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/college-football/arizona-state-sun-devils-vs-san-diego-state-aztecs-3453728/odds/" title="Game Odds">No. 25 Arizona State (2-0) at San Diego State (1-1)</a>, 10:30 p.m. ET (CNBC)</p><p dir="ltr"><img height="620" src="https://lh4.googleusercontent.com/CWsVbUNGaTxgufXYsQHXy-9Yht-FMaHR_ugK2OxVvoesC9gMeQcaadXaq_DRiZHaObtZVpwl2_j0liRRg31iVklcmR_b5hCUW3o9f2TU9kh-jUoDNs5e6bhnTbpXHvmqLtMraCq9" width="604" /></p><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center">3 Moneyline Underdogs In Week 3 For Your Consideration</h2><p dir="ltr"><a href="https://classic.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/college-football/miami-(fl)-hurricanes-vs-toledo-rockets-3449465/" title="Game Odds">TOLEDO over No. 21 Miami Florida</a> (Open: Miami FLA -9½, <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4400&amp;book=BetOnline" rel="nofollow" title="Top Rated Sportsbook">BetOnline</a>)<br /><a href="https://classic.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/college-football/washington-huskies-vs-utah-utes-3449042/" title="Game Odds">UTAH over No. 10 Washington</a> (Open: Washington -5½ -105, BetOnline)<br /><a href="https://classic.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/college-football/missouri-tigers-vs-purdue-boilermakers-3447882/" title="Game Odds">PURDUE over Missouri</a> (Open: MIZZOU -6, BetOnline)</p>
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