Turnover Differential Makes Virgina Tech -4.5 Our College Football Pick Against Pittsburgh

Ross Benjamin

Tuesday, September 29, 2015 10:25 PM GMT

Tuesday, Sep. 29, 2015 10:25 PM GMT

Our college football analyst examines Saturday’s game between Pittsburgh and Virginia Tech. Which one will begin their ACC slate with a win? Check our college football pick inside.

ACC Opener for Panthers and Hokies
Virginia Tech (2-2) will host Pittsburgh (2-1) on Saturday in what will be the ACC opener for both teams. The opening kickoff at Lane Stadium in Blacksburg, Virginia is slated for Noon ET.  According to early college football odds, Virginia Tech was a 4.5 to 5.5 point favorite depending on the sportsbook. The Hokies will be out to revenge a 21-16 loss at Pittsburgh a season ago.

 

Pittsburgh Offense less than Dynamic
Pittsburgh suffered a huge blow one week prior to their 2015 opener when last year’s leading rusher James Conner went down with a season ending knee injury. During their only two games versus FBS opponents this year, the Panthers have rushed for just a combined 182 yards, and averaged a dismal 2.5 yards per attempt. On a positive note, , the Panthers defense allowed just 236.5 yards per game during those two contests against Akron and Iowa. That was a vast improvement to the 407 yards and 37 points allowed to Youngstown State (FCS) in their season opener.

 

Virginia Tech will be in a Foul Mood
You can actually make an excuse for the Hokies in their season opening 42-24 home loss against top ranked Ohio State. Besides facing the defending national champion in that contest, they lost starting quarterback Michael Brewer early in the game to a shoulder injury. They did bounce back nicely in their next two games with decisive wins over Furman (FCS) and at Purdue. Last Saturday they were a 10.0 point favorite at East Carolina, and were facing a Pirates team that had just been shellacked 45-21 by Navy the week before. Unfortunately they suffered a 35-28 upset loss at the hands of the Pirates. Needless to say, they will be out to atone for last week’s humbling loss.

 

Final Analysis
Personally I’m not enthralled whatsoever about this contest, and this will be strictly one of my opinion based college football picks. In what looks to me as a very tough call, turnover differential was my tiebreaking factor. Virginia Tech was +7 in their first four contests and Pittsburgh a -4 during its only three games. I’ll have small lean toward the home standing Hokies.

College Football Pick: Virginia Tech -4.5 at Heritage

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