Parlay Power: Totally Wild For Defenses In Friday’s Bowl Games

Wednesday, December 19, 2018 3:16 PM UTC

Wednesday, Dec. 19, 2018 3:16 PM UTC

On Friday we have two bowls and a money-making parlay using the totals in these college football tilts. Let’s kick off the weekend right, and bet confidently with tips from

Bahamas Bowl: Florida International (7-5 O/U) vs. Toledo (7-4-1 O/U)Friday, 12:30 p.m. ET (ESPN)Free NCAAF Pick: UnderBest Line Offered: Intertops

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The college football odds board is luring the squares with this total as FIU has gone "over" in their last five contests while Toledo has gone high "over" their last two games of the regular season. However, there are a few things to consider and they have lots to do with why this game won’t be the offensive free-for-all that many are led to believe.

Let’s begin with FIU running back Shawndarrius Phillips. Unfortunately for the junior tailback, he will not be romping in the Bahamas with his teammates due to a domestic violence charge leveled against him. Now, let’s be clear. Phillips is not the lead dog on this FIU sleigh as it has been a running-back-by-committee approach with senior Napoleon Maxwell and sophomore D'Vonte Price but it will affect the mix after going an entire season with three primary rushers in the backfield in a ground attack that averages 170 yards per game.

Mitchell Guadagni remains sidelined for Toledo but he has been out for several games and his absence is not a determining factor here. Sophomore Eli Peters will be under center but his statistics are not overly impressive nor is he able to take advantage of his impressive weapons on the wings. This will be a Bahamian vacation holiday for these college kids, which means plenty of sun, fun, and partying. Don’t expect a heavy dose of scoring here. Go "under" in the Makers Wanted Bahamas Bowl in your NCAAF picks.

Final score prediction: Toledo 27, FIU 24

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Famous Idaho Potato Bowl: BYU (7-5 O/U) vs. Western Michigan (7-4-1 O/U)Friday, 4 p.m. ET (ESPN)Free NCAAF Pick: UnderBest Line Offered: Intertops

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Western Michigan’s Kaleb Eleby replaced the injured Jon Wassink at quarterback in late October and he has proven to be a game manager as opposed to a game breaker. The freshman has averaged 229 passing yards per game with four touchdowns and two picks. He is raw but talented, yet at this point, not a player that will light up the scoreboard. The Broncos are 1-3 straight up with him at the helm and all but one game has gone "over" the posted total on the NCAAF odds board. That has more to do with Western Michigan’s porous defense than anything else as they have averaged 25 points per game since Eleby took over and one of those was a 42-41 loss to Ball State.

BYU is 3-3 straight up and 5-1 ATS since freshman QB Zach Wilson moved into the starting role ahead of Tanner Mangum, but the total has stayed "under" in four of BYU’s last five games. The Cougars’ defense should be able to contain Western Michigan with relative ease so we don’t see this being a shootout between a pair of freshman quarterbacks. This could turn into a ground-and-pound affair with the clock ticking and points being scarce. We suspect BYU will win this game based more on their defense than their offense. Let’s go low here in your college football picks.

Final score prediction: BYU 27, Western Michigan 17

Power Parlay: "Under" in FIU-Toledo and "Under" in BYU-Western Michigan

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