Top Week 12 College Football Picks for Saturday Evening

David Lawrence

Friday, November 20, 2015 11:24 PM GMT

The college football season takes the next step into week 12, and this means fewer chances for teams to make the kinds of statements which will create momentum going into next season. Teams will try to reshape how their seasons will be remembered, and that’s very important right now.

Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Arkansas Razorbacks
Odds: Arkansas -4
This is a game in which the Razorbacks have to be favored. Mississippi State is a team without a lot of depth. Quarterback Dak Prescott is asked to do too much for this team. He obviously throws all the passes, but he takes on a lot of the workload as a runner as well. One guy cannot be using up half or more of the total touches for a team. He has to hand the ball off to running backs, but since he insists on doing so much himself, he gets pounded and sets himself up for exhaustion. Mississippi State in general is in trouble not just because of this lack of depth, but because the Bulldogs just got finished with Alabama, a team which is one of the most physical in the nation. That game against the Crimson Tide was very draining, and it’s hard to expect Mississippi State to have enough energy for 60 full minutes in this game. Arkansas will be playing at home and will exhibit a lot of confidence before an enthusiastic crowd. The Hogs just polished off LSU on the road in Baton Rouge, moving forward with their season and showing that they were capable of a great deal of improvement. Arkansas is much more likely to continue to improve instead of witnessing Mississippi State turn things around from last week. Take Arkansas with your college football picks here.

College Football Pick: Arkansas -4 at BetOnline

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Navy Midshipmen vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane
Odds: Navy -13
The key point to make here is that Navy might be looking ahead to its big game with Houston next week. The Midshipmen are on the road in a classic trap game situation. Navy and quarterback Keenan Reynolds are very likely to win this game, but will they win by a large margin, enough to cover the spread? That’s a much more difficult question to answer. Tulsa is a team with an explosive passing offense, one which scored more than 35 points at Oklahoma and which traded touchdowns with Memphis for a little more than a half, but not for four full quarters. Tulsa can probably score enough points to stay within 10 points of Navy. Take Tulsa plus the points on the college football odds.

College Football Pick: Tulsa +13 at Bovada

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Tennessee Volunteers vs. Missouri Tigers  
Odds: Tennessee -7
It’s true that Missouri just won an emotional game a week ago, beating BYU just a day after it was publicly announced that coach Gary Pinkel would retire at the end of the season. Missouri should again play with a lot of heart and energy, but Tennessee is the better team. Quarterback Joshua Dobbs is an athlete Missouri will have a hard time containing. Missouri’s offense is also going to find it hard to score on Tennessee in this game. Take the Vols

College Football Pick: Tennessee -7 at The Greek

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