Top NCAA Football Pick for Arkansas St./Louisiana-Lafayette

Jeff Grant

Monday, October 20, 2014 12:58 PM GMT

Monday, Oct. 20, 2014 12:58 PM GMT

Review the betting odds & check out our free NCAAF pick for Tuesday night’s game between Arkansas State and Louisiana, keeping in mind that the winner will likely capture the Sun Belt Conference.

Business as Usual
Arkansas State is playing under its fifth head coach in as many years, which is important to consider when making your Week 9 NCAA football picks, as Blake Anderson took over for Bryan Harsin.

The Red Wolves entered the year as three-time defending Sun Belt champions, with 29 combined freshmen and sophomores on the depth chart, which was tied for the fourth most in the country.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the team is 18-3 SU and 14-7 ATS as favorites, with the 'under' going 10-9 in that situation.

 

Home-field Advantage
Louisiana has scored 34 points in each of its last two wins against Georgia State and Texas State, which can’t be ignored when looking over the College Football odds, especially since the program had lost its three previous contests.

The Ragin’ Cajuns have compiled a 16-3 SU record at Cajun Field since 2011 under head coach Mark Hudspeth, while it has averaged a league-high 30,888 fans at this venue in 2014.

College football handicappers will find that the squad is 5-7 SU and 6-6 ATS as underdogs the last two-plus seasons, with the 'under' going 8-4 in those 12 opportunities.

 

Going On the Road
The Red Wolves will likely remain as road favorites leading up to kickoff, considering they’ve captured 11 of their last 12 Sun Belt games when playing away from home.

Arkansas State dropped its first two road games this season by a combined 75-39 margin against the Tennessee Volunteers and Miami Hurricanes, but earned a 52-10 victory over Georgia State as 10.5-point road favorites on Oct. 11.

 

Broadway Play
The Ragin’ Cajuns are led by Preseason Offensive Player of the Year Terrance Broadway, who is protected by a line that has combined for 121 starts since arriving on campus.

Broadway is second on the school’s all-time list with 43 passing touchdowns and 6,378 yards through the air, while he also has the ability to hand the ball off to a pair of running backs that have combined for 32 touchdowns since the start of last season.

 

Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers play the total as one of their top College Football picks, as the 'under' is a combined 13-2 when these two teams play with a betting line between +3 and -3 the last two-plus seasons.

Free College Football Pick: Bet 'under' at The Greek

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