Top Dogs Waiting for You to Bite, Best College Football Upset Picks

Ross Benjamin

Friday, September 4, 2015 2:29 PM UTC

Friday, Sep. 4, 2015 2:29 PM UTC

Our college football handicapper provides us with his two best point spread options on Friday’s card. Don’t make a move on today’s games without reading this informative betting preview article first.

Michigan State vs. Western Michigan 7:00 PM ET
I’m not going to bore you with how good Michigan State is going to be this season. You can pick up one of several preseason college football publications that will all echo that sentiment. My job on a daily basis involves beating a number, and that is my main focus pertaining to this matchup. One thing that certainly bears noting, Michigan State has a huge revenge game up next versus perennial power Oregon, and the possibility of getting caught looking ahead looms large.

This is an experienced Western Michigan team which returns 16 starters from one that went 8-5 last season. They’re far from as talented as their nationally ranked opponent tonight, but are dangerous nonetheless. Especially when you consider the fact, it’s a rare occurrence when a MAC team gets to host a high profile opponent such as Michigan State. There’s an extremely high probability that Michigan State will prevail today. However, Western Michigan is more than capable of making this more interesting than Spartans fans would like.

My lean will definitively be with the home underdog in this contest. According to college football betting odds at 5Dimes, they provide us with the best combination of number and price.

College Football Pick: Play on Western Michigan +17.5 (-105) at 5Dimes


Kent State vs. Illinois 9:00 PM ET
Kent State is coming off a terrible 2014 campaign which saw them go 2-9. However, six of those nine losses came by ten points or less, and they return 17 starters in 2015.

The Illinois program is in a bit of disarray after the recent firing of head coach Tim Beckman. They have plenty of experience returning from a team that went 6-7 a year ago. The major flaw with last season’s team was on defense. Illinois allowed an average of 456 yards per game, and opponents scored 33 points or more in nine of their thirteen contests. The offense sustained a huge blow when starting wide receiver Mike Dudek went down with a knee injury that will keep him out for an indefinite period. Dudek was the leading receiver in 2014 with 76 receptions for 1038 yards and 6 touchdowns.

All six of the wins by Illinois last year came by 14 points or less. As a matter of fact, four of five wins attained over FBS opponents were by 8 points or less. I like the road underdog value in this spot with all being considered. Pinnacle provides us with the best betting value in that regard.

College Football Pick: Play on Kent State +14.5 (-102).

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