Top College Football Picks for Week 7 Betting

Willie Bee

Friday, October 10, 2014 12:36 PM UTC

Friday, Oct. 10, 2014 12:36 PM UTC

We are once again traveling through three conferences with our top weekend plays against the college football odds, including a clash of unbeatens in the Big 12 Conference.

Georgia Bulldogs vs. Missouri Tigers
There's good reason why the West Division of the SEC has dominated the news so far, especially after an upset-filled weekend like we just saw. The West is still going to get the lion's share of the spotlight Saturday as well with the Auburn-Mississippi State battle part of Week 7's college football betting card, but let's not overlook an equally important matchup in the East Division where the Georgia Bulldogs visit the Missouri Tigers.

CBS has the broadcast starting at noon (ET), and it's the Bulldogs riding the chalk line for this tilt as 3 point favorites. The total began at 62 but has since dived to 59.5 points.

One of the first things that sticks out about the meetings the past two seasons is the visitor winning each time, and putting 41 points on the scoreboard in doing so. 'Over' bettors have also gone home happy with closing totals of 52.5 on this field in 2012 and 66 in Georgia a year ago.

Georgia has a few injuries heading into this one, the most notable being tight end Jay Rome who has missed the last two contests and will be a game-time decision for head coach Mark Richt and his staff. Safety JJ Green (leg) is questionable and backup tailback Keith Marshall (ankle) is expected to remain on the bench. Missouri's receiver corps is banged up with both Darius White (groin) and Jimmie Hunt (knee) nursing injuries, but the team's top two wideouts behind Bud Sasser are each listed as probable.

Cool (upper-50s) and cloudy with a 20% chance of rain is the forecast for Columbia on Saturday. The loser can all but forget about appearing in the SEC Championship, and I'm liking the Tigers with my free College Football pick on Missouri plus the points.

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TCU Horned Frogs vs. Baylor Bears
The standard joke around these parts for when the TCU Horned Frogs and Baylor Bears get together is both groups of fans will show up with the Ten Commandments in one hand and a $20 bill in the other...and not break either. But this year's gridiron grudge match in Waco is no joke as the last two undefeated teams from the Big 12 collide in a 3:30 PM (ET) kickoff that can be seen on ABC/ESPN2.

Baylor opened as a 10.5 point favorite, but SBR's live NCAA football odds now shows that spread in the -7.5 to -8 range at most sports books where a 67-68 point total awaits bettors.

Both the Frogs and Bears are coming off big wins, TCU's 37-33 thumping of Oklahoma part of the upset-filled landscape a week ago while Baylor popped rival Texas in Austin, 28-7. The last three meetings between them have put money into the pockets of 'over' bettors, with Baylor's 41-38 victory in Ft. Worth last season having plenty to get past a 65 point scoreboard mark.

There's a very good chance of a thunderstorm or two falling on McLane Stadium, so college football bettors are encouraged to get an updated forecast before making their wagers. I'm going contrary to recent trends with an 'under' play.

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USC Trojans vs. Arizona Wildcats
From nowhere to be found in any preseason poll to No. 10 in the latest AP rankings, that's how meteoric the 2014 campaign has been for the Arizona Wildcats. They'll put their perfect 5-0 mark on the line at home Saturday against the USC Trojans in what promises to be an electric atmosphere in Tucson.

ESPN2 will carry the game to cap off Week 7 on the college football betting slate, kickoff coming a little past 10:30 PM (ET). Southern Cal backers will be required to give up 2.5 points while 68 has stuck since the total was first sent out.

Arizona catapulted from just outside the top 25 all the way to No. 10 -- No. 13 in the coaches poll -- after last week's stunning upset of Oregon in Eugene. The Trojans, meanwhile, have failed to live up to hype after beating Stanford in Week 2, dropping two of their last three to Boston College and Arizona State as 17 and 12 point favorites, respectively.

Southern Cal could be running a little thin on the receiving front for this matchup with several backups on this week's injury list. Wide receiver Ajene Harris (hamstring) and tight end Randall Telfer (hip) are both listed as questionable, while Victor Blackwell is MIA and unlikely to appear in the game after departing the team a couple of weeks ago because of a lack of playing time.

I'm not all that sold on the Wildcats being a top 10 team, but it's also hard to be impressed with the recent play of the Trojans. Let's take the points on the home squad with our final free College Football pick for Week 7.

My Free College Football Picks: Missouri +3; TCU-Baylor Under 67.5; Arizona +2.5 at Pinnacle Sports
Willie Bee's College Football Handicapping Season: 29-21-1 (+5.90)

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