Top College Football Picks for Week 5 Betting

Willie Bee

Friday, September 26, 2014 5:23 PM UTC

Friday, Sep. 26, 2014 5:23 PM UTC

Our top weekend plays number three, and the college football picks are free, included is a Pac-12 match, now let's get busy and win some scratch.

It's only natural that fans and college football bettors alike focus on the marquee games each week, but occasionally, there are games that get little to no attention from the media, yet present a fair amount of intrigue nonetheless.

Such is the matchup Saturday at Kansas State between the Wildcats and Texas-El Paso Miners.  The noon (ET) kickoff in Manhattan is so far off the radar, not a single TV network is showing up.  Bill Snyder and the Wildcats are going to need to do more than just show up if they are going to cover the 27 point spread on SBR's live college football odds.

Kansas State is coming off a very disappointing loss to Auburn a week ago, the 20-14 setback dropping the 'Cats from No. 20 in both polls to the end of the top 25 list for both the AP and coaches.  K-State did manage to just cover the 7.5 point spread, leaving its backers happy, and stifled the potent Tigers running game as well as anyone has the past couple of seasons.

Now comes the issue of how long the Wildcats will let that defeat affect them.  Six times in the last 16 years, they've followed up their first loss of the season with a second defeat, and even though several of those second losses came against much better teams than UTEP, we still have to wonder if they'll respond with a blowout win vs. the Miners with the Big 12 schedule beginning in earnest next week.

Both the spread and the total (53) have dropped a field goal since they first went out, and I'm inclined to think the 'over' is the safest free sports pick to make for this one.

College Football Pick: UTEP-Kansas State Over 52 at 5Dimes

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Petersen, Huskies Aim For Upset Of Stanford
All things point to Chris Petersen knowing exactly what he was doing when he moved on from so much success at Boise State to take over the Washington Huskies, something I didn't think was such a smart decision when he made it.

We'll both have more data to add to the sampling this week when Petersen's Huskies host the Stanford Cardinal in a crucial Pac-12 North matchup.  Washington brings a perfect 4-0 season record into its conference opener while Stanford has already suffered a Pac-12 loss, FOX scheduled to broadcast the kickoff at 4: 15 PM (ET).  The NCAA football odds went out with Stanford favored by five, that spread now jumping to 7.5 or even 8 at many sports books.  A 47.5 scoreboard tally is also on the card.

This clash will also provide a better gauge on Washington's offense and Stanford's defense.  The Huskies are in the top 25 in scoring (41.3 PPG), but a lot of that has been the result of the defense coming away with nine turnovers the last three games, two of those Pick 6's.  The Cardinal, meanwhile, rank at the top of the charts in fewest points allowed (4.3 ppg) and fewest yards allowed per game (204.3).  Again, a lot of those stats came in a pair of shutouts vs. weaker opponents, Army and UC-Davis.

Let's follow the trend for when the teams get together in Seattle, and play 'under' the mark.

College Football Pick: Stanford-Washington Under 47.5

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Baylor Bears vs. Iowa State Cyclones
Once the Cardinal and Huskies are done, FOX will shift its cameras to Jack Trice Stadium in Ames for the Big 12 battle between the Iowa State Cyclones and Baylor Bears.  Kickoff comes a little past 8 PM (ET), and the Bears are laying 22 with 71.5 for the total.

One reason for the spread dropping a tad from 22.5 at the start might be the Bears have been idle for a couple of weeks and going where they've failed to win as small favorites the last two trips to Ames.  Another reason could be Baylor has a huge game on deck next week in Austin against Texas, and it would be only natural for anyone from head coach Art Briles down to the water boy to be looking ahead.

Yet another reason might be Iowa State pulled off a big upset at Iowa two weeks ago, and almost did the same a week earlier in a 32-28 loss at home to Kansas State as 12.5 point underdogs.  My confidence for my college football picks is high on Baylor despite all of those might be's and could be's, but it's even higher on the low side of the scoreboard tally.

College Football Pick: Baylor-Iowa State Under 71.5

Season: 19-13-1 (+4.70)

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