Our sports handicapping expert takes a look at some of the best early team trends and betting angles for week 3. Go inside to read this article that will assist you with this week’s college football picks.
Spiraling Up or Letting Down?
Central Michigan is coming off an upset win as a 17.0-point road underdog against then nationally ranked Oklahoma St. It was one of the most shocking endings to a college football game that you’ll ever see. Starting with an official’s botched 4th down intentional grounding call on Oklahoma State with no time left. It allowed Central Michigan to have one untimed play, resulting in a Hail Mary hook and a lateral touchdown, and they somehow walked away with a 30-27 improbable win.
Now the Chippewas return home on Saturday to take on UNLV, and current (9/12) college football betting odds at BetOnline, where you can find a 75% Free Play Bonus, displays them as a sizable 13.0-point favorite. Conventional wisdom would lead one to believe, this will be a typical let down spot for Central Michigan. Especially when considering, since 2004, the UNLV football program is 8-65 (.110) in away games. Included in that futile stretch is 17 straight road losses versus non-conference opponents. Taking a team too lightly is certain to affect the sizable home favorite off a huge upset win right? Not so fast, college football point spread betting history indicates the antithesis of that aforementioned thought process.
Since 1994, any home favorite of 11.0 or more, coming off an away underdog of 10.0 or more upset win, resulted in those home favorites going an extremely profitable 54-24 ATS (69.2%). If the home favorites were playing in games 2 through 7 of the season, this college football betting angle improves to 34-8 ATS (80.9%) over that identical time frame. Betting teams in this precise situation has sure made for highly successful college football picks.
Underdog with Strong Home Field
One of the more anticipated games in college football week 3 takes place in Norman, Oklahoma, and that’s where #14 Oklahoma hosts 3rd ranked Ohio State. At the time of this writing, college football point spreads at Bookmaker show Oklahoma as a 3.0-point home underdog. I consider being Bookmaker one the best sportsbooks to do business with on many fronts.
The Sooners have been historically dominant at home. How much so? Since 10/31/1998, they’ve gone 98-8 (.925) at Oklahoma Memorial Stadium, and that comprises 26-1 over its last 27 home games versus non-conference opponents. Moreover, they haven’t been a home underdog since 10/28/2000 against Nebraska. Without looking any further, there’s a genuine betting value solely based on the home field strength of Oklahoma.