Top ATS & O/U Plays for Your Week 10 College Football Picks

Matthew Jordan

Tuesday, November 3, 2015 10:08 PM GMT

It was my first winless week on top picks all season in Week 9 as NC State failed to cover vs. Clemson, Texas A&M didn't vs. South Carolina and neither did Stanford at Washington State. Here are my three Week 10 top college football picks on GTBets' odds.

No. 17 Florida State vs. No. 3 Clemson (-12.5 On College Football Odds)
This  matchup has essentially determined the ACC champion the past few years and should again here. The winner is going to take the Atlantic Division and then in the conference championship game should beat up on whichever mediocre squad takes the Coastal. I did think Clemson might get caught in a trap game last week at NC State, but the Tigers were able to cover in a 56-41 win. Still, that excellent defense clearly wasn't totally focused in allowing by far a season high in points. Tigers QB Deshaun Watson could wrap up ACC Player of the Year honors with a big game and victory over the Seminoles. FSU also had a potential trap game last week but avoided it with a 45-21 win over Syracuse. Florida State played without superstar tailback Dalvin Cook, another ACC Player of the Year candidate, and starting QB Everett Golson. Cook is back practicing and will play in this game. As of now, it's not clear if Golson will. He was a late scratch last week with a concussion but is practicing. Coach Jimbo Fisher just isn't committing to Golson as his starter because backup Sean Maguire threw for 348 yards and three scores in the win over the Orange. I say Fisher is simply playing games. Maguire's only other career start was last year's 23-17 overtime win over Clemson in Tallahassee when Jameis Winston was suspended. Maguire threw for 304 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions.

College Football Picks:  It's the first time in six years that FSU has been a double-digit dog. It still has more overall talent and covers. Clemson is 3-7 ATS in its past 10 ACC games. The road team is 4-1 ATS in the past five meetings.

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No. 5 TCU vs. No. 12 Oklahoma State (+5.5 For College Football Bets)
To no surprise between high-powered offenses, this game has a huge total of 78 at sportsbooks. This starts the defining stretch of TCU's season as the Frogs also visit No. 14 Oklahoma on Nov. 21 and host No. 2 Baylor on Nov. 27. TCU gets a minor break here in a few extra days to prepare and heal up as the Frogs were last in action Thursday, Oct. 29, a 40-10 rout of visiting West Virginia. That was only the second game this season that Trevone Boykin and Co. scored less than 45. TCU has won a school-record 16 straight games, the No. 2 active streak in the nation. Oklahoma State is one of the surprise unbeatens, but the Cowboys are frauds in my mind. They haven't played anyone yet and could have/should have lost at Texas on Sept. 26 (30-27), home to Kansas State on Oct. 3 (36-34) and at West Virginia on Oct. 10 (33-20 in OT). OSU didn't lead in any of those games with a minute left. The Pokes use a two-quarterback system with Mason Rudolph, who is the prototypical pocket passer, and J.W. Walsh, who is a zone-read specialist and can beat teams with his feet.  

College Football Picks:  These teams aren't all that different from last season when TCU won 42-9. Frogs cover easily. I'd go 'over' that total at GTBets as TCU is No. 2 nationally in scoring offense (48.9 ppg) and OSU No. 7 (44.0 ppg).

California vs. Oregon (-4.5 For College Football Picks)
I am stunned this line is under a touchdown. Sure, Oregon isn't what it  has been the past several years, but the Ducks seem to be getting things together. Quarterback Vernon Adams is finally healthy and has led Oregon to back-to-back road wins at Washington and Arizona State, two teams that are better than Cal. The Ducks remain alive to return to the Pac-12 Championship Game. Cal was a bit of a fluke early in the season in starting 5-0 but could have/should have lost at Texas (45-44), at Washington (30-24) and vs. Washington State (34-28). The Bears enter this one on a three-game skid, with QB Jared Goff and the offense cooling down big time. Oregon does rank 116th nationally in total defense (496.9 ypg), 117th in scoring defense (38.4 ppg) and 125th in passing defense (318.0 ypg). And Oregon comes off allowing 742 yards in a triple-overtime win over Arizona State. But sometimes you need to simply look at which team is more talented. And that's Oregon here by a mile. Plus it's in Eugene.

College Football Picks: The Ducks have won six straight in this series and it won't be close in making it seven.  Cal is 3-8 ATS in its past 11 November games. Oregon is 11-2 ATS in its past 13 Pac-12 games. Cal is 0-4 ATS in the past four meetings. 

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