Top 3 Plays Worth Adding to Your Week 8 College Football Picks

Matthew Jordan

Tuesday, October 20, 2015 10:00 PM UTC

Tuesday, Oct. 20, 2015 10:00 PM UTC

Read this article to get our top three Week 8 college football picks on the betting board.

Texas A&M vs. Ole Miss
This  might be an SEC West elimination game as both clubs have one loss and LSU is still unbeaten the West. The Aggies were riding high into last week's home game with Alabama but were clobbered 41-23 as Kyle Allen, who had been arguably the SEC's best quarterback thus far, had three interceptions returned  for touchdowns. And A&M couldn't stop Alabama bruising running back Derrick Henry, who rushed for a career-best 236 yards. More bad news for that Aggies defense: It has been without its best linebacker, sophomore Otaro Alaka, for the last two games and Kevin Sumlin announced this week that Alaka will miss the rest of the season after having surgery. Alaka recorded 12 total tackles, two solo, and one tackle for a loss in the three games he played this season. A&M (5-1, 2-1) would really have no shot to win the SEC West with  a loss because it would then lose tiebreakers to both Alabama and Ole Miss.

The Rebels (5-2, 2-1) were caught in what I believe was 100 percent a look-ahead/trap game last week as they were stunned 37-24 at unranked Memphis. The Tigers are a good program now under Coach Justin Fuente, but I simply think Ole Miss wasn't all that focused going back out of conference. The Rebels will be here as they still control their fate in the West. Also, Ole Miss gets arguably the best offensive lineman in the nation back this week in tackle Laremy Tunsil. He had yet to play this season as the NCAA investigated some violations. It's a must-see matchup between he and another future Top-5 NFL draft pick in Aggies defensive end Myles Garrett. He has 8.5 sacks, three forced fumbles and 30 tackles. Ole Miss is No. 126 out of 128 teams in college football on rushing downs (where you can reasonably expect to call a successful running play), and 101st on sacks given up on passing downs. So Tunsil can only help.

Texas A&M is 1-6 ATS in its past seven after a loss. The Rebels are 10-4 ATS in their past 14 October games.

College Football Pick: Ole Miss -5.5 at Bet365

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Wisconsin vs. Illinois
The Badgers (5-2, 2-1) were the preseason favorites to repeat as Big Ten West champions but a loss here ends all hopes of that because UW already has lost to West-leading Iowa, which is unbeaten. But Wisconsin has won two straight since that 10-6 defeat to the Hawkeyes and it might get back top running back Corey Clement for this one. He was a preseason Heisman candidate but hasn't played since the season-opening loss to Alabama. Clement underwent sports hernia surgery about three weeks ago, warmed up with pads on before the Badgers’ win over Purdue last Saturday and continued to loosen up on the sideline but didn't play. UW is usually one of the top rushing teams in the  nation but is only  73rd this year at 154.6 yards per game. Clement would help in a big way. Starting center Dan Voltz should play after missing last week with an elbow injury. (Illinois 4-2, 1-1) is better than I think most people thought and does come off a bye week. Last year, the Illini lost 38-28 at Wisconsin.  I just don't see Illinois scoring more than maybe 10 points against the nation's No. 3 defense (10.9 ppg).

Wisconsin as I think Clement plays. The Badgers have won five straight meetings with the Fighting Illini -- including their last two trips to Champaign -- and nine of the last 10 matchups. The Illini are 9-20 ATS in their past 29 home games vs. teams with a winning road record.

College Football Pick: Wisconsin -6.5 at TheGreek

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Florida State vs. Georgia Tech 
I don't understand this spread at all. The Seminoles are unbeaten, while the Yellow Jackets are one of the biggest disappointments in the nation in losing their past five and having allowed at least 30 points in each. Perhaps oddsmakers are still thinking of last season's ACC title game when the Jackets nearly upset unbeaten Florida State 37-35. This year's Tech team is nowhere near that good. Of course the Jackets run the ball all night with their triple option, calling running plays on average of about 51 times a game. FSU's run defense is No. 19 nationally, allowing 113.5 yards per game compared to 170.14 last year. Five of the top 20 worst run defense games by the program since 2000 happened last season, including 331 yards allowed in the ACC title game. The 2015 Seminoles allow opponents to convert just 50 percent of the time when facing third-and-2 or fourth-and-2 or less. That ranks No. 15 nationally. Offensively, the Noles have yet to commit a turnover and really the only way Tech has a chance is if the Noles give it away at least a few times.

Realistically this line should be in double digits with the college football odds. Take FSU as your college football pick, which has covered six of its past eight road games vs. teams with a losing home record.  

College Football Pick: Florida State -6 at Heritage

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