Toledo Over Bowling Green for NCAAF Wednesday Picks

Jeff Grant

Monday, November 17, 2014 5:05 PM GMT

Monday, Nov. 17, 2014 5:05 PM GMT

Toledo has one of the best rushing attacks in the MAC, which makes it the clear ATS pick against Bowling Green Wednesday night.

Playing Great Football
Bowling Green has won five of its last six games, including a 30-20 victory over the Kent State Golden Flashes as 14-point home favorites last week, while going UNDER the betting total for a fifth consecutive contest.

The Falcons have already clinched the MAC East division, which is important to consider when looking over the NCAA football odds, but they’ll be motivated to snap a four-game losing streak in rivalry matchup. Over the last two-plus seasons, the program is 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS in November, with the UNDER going 6-2 in that situation.

 

Problems Under Center
Toledo has had its top three quarterbacks injured at some point of the 2014 campaign, which can’t be ignored when making your NCAA football picks, as it returns home after dropping a 27-24 decision to the Northern Illinois Huskies as 3.5-point underdogs.

The Rockets had to rely on senior wide receiver Dwight Macon in the critical moments under center last time out, with Phillip Ely, Michael Julian and Logan Woodside being unable to go.

Woodside is expected to battle through an ankle injury this week, but sports bettors will want to keep a close eye on his status leading up to kickoff at the Glass Bowl.

 

Gone Till November
The Falcons have simply dominated opponents in the month of November since the end of 2012, as they’ve won seven consecutive games by a combined scoring margin of 254-54.

Bowling Green has a great opportunity to continue that success if its stop unit can create turnovers, as the group has registered 24 takeaways through the first nine games, which includes forcing a season-high five in each of the past two contests.

 

Ground Attack
The Rockets are going to be worthwhile home favorites in trying to improve to 7-1 ATS in their last eight games versus the Falcons at this venue, as they possess the second-ranked rushing attack in the conference.

Toledo sophomore Kareem Hunt is third in the nation in averaging 8.14 yards per carry, while he’s hit the century mark in rushing in each of his last eight affairs.

 

Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Rockets as one of their top midweek NCAAF picks, as the home team has covered the number in four of the last five installments of this in-state rivalry.

Free College Football Pick: Toledo 

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