Tigers to Stay Unbeaten: Home Favs the College Football Pick Over Navy

Joe Catalano

Wednesday, November 4, 2015 4:10 PM UTC

Wednesday, Nov. 4, 2015 4:10 PM UTC

Memphis gets an opportunity to prove a point as they face a very good Navy Midshipmen, this is Memphis' chance to impress the pollsters. See who we like as the college football pick.

Kickoff is scheduled for Saturday, November 7th at 7:00 p.m. EST at Liberty Bowl Memorial in Memphis, Tennessee. According to 5Dimes, Memphis is a 7.5 point betting favorite and the total for the game is a hefty 65 points on the college football odds board. 

You know what you're going to get with Navy as the option play is the only way. Where Memphis is concerned, this is a team that averages 47.9 points per game, but they do allow 434.5 yards per game. This game could be high scoring; especially with Memphis looking to win big and make an impression on the pollsters.


"Only One Option"
When a team has 3 passing touchdowns on the season through 7 games, this is fairly self-explanatory that they're either ineffective through the air or simply like to run the ball. In this case, Navy, who is a high scoring team, likes to run the ball and it all starts with quarterback, Keenan Reynolds.

Reyonlds can throw if he has to, but he's either going to run the ball as his 753 yards and 13 TD's indicate or he'll hand the football off to 4 other running backs that Navy has on their roster.

Running backs Chris Swain (582 yards ,5 TD) and Quentin Ezell (234 yards, 5 TD) are his main options aside from himself. my only concern with over the 65 points is that Navy will keep running and the clock will also continue to run and this can quicken the game up where length of game is concerned. 

The Midshipmen's lone loss is to Notre Dame, 41-24 and we could possibly see a similar game here although Memphis is very underrated and motivated.


No Love For the Tigers?
That's at least what their number 13 rank is showing us. It could be difficulty of schedule as Memphis has a 37-24 victory over Ole Miss to their credit, but obviously it's not enough to rank them up there with the elite teams such as Ohio State. Even Alabama has 1 loss on their resume and gets more respect due to their enriched history and recent success as BCS Champions under head coach Nick Saban.


Paxton Lynch
With a 170.2 quarterback rating, I don't know how Lynch can do any better as he possesses a deep team and Tom Brady-like statistics. For the season, Lynch has thrown for 2709 yards at a 70 % completion percentage and has thrown just 1 pick to go along with 18 TD's. Lynch has felt pressure from opposing defenses, but has been able to avoid the rush with his 6 foot 7, 245 pound frame. I look for Lynch to have a monster game against a team that's taylor-made for him on the defensive side of the ball in the Navy defense.

While Memphis has scored 26 touchdowns running the ball, there's no definitive superstar carrying the football. It's a team effort led by running back, Doroland Dorceus.

In the passing game, Lynch has 9 receivers with 100 yards or more receiving and the receiving core is led by big play receiver, Anthony Miller 574 yards, 3 TD's) and Mose Frazier (565 yards, 3 TD). Miller is coming off of a rather quiet effort in a 41-13 victory over Tulane and look for him to put up big numbers here.

Memphis is the college football pick here as we can't count on the over as Navy could bleed the clock.

College Football Pick: Memphis -7.5 at 5Dimes

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2830195, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,19,93,92,238,349], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

comment here