Boilermakers are Live Dogs vs. Arizona in Foster Farms Bowl

foster farms bowl

Swinging Johnson

Wednesday, December 13, 2017 12:56 PM GMT

Wednesday, Dec. 13, 2017 12:56 PM GMT

Levi's Stadium, home of the NFL's 49ers, will welcome the Arizona Wildcats and Purdue Boilermakers as they do battle in the Foster Farms Bowl on Dec. 27. Let's review the college football odds and analyze this matchup as we look to pad our bankroll with an ATS cover.

Free College Football Pick: Purdue +3 ½
Best Line Offered: Bovada

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3375339, "sportsbooksIds":[999996,1096,123,169,43], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

Purdue (6-6 SU, 8-4 ATS) vs. Arizona (7-5 SU, 6-6 ATS)
  • Arizona is 1-5 ATS in their last six bowl games.
  • Arizona is 1-7 ATS in their last eight games in December.
  • Arizona is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Purdue is 4-0 ATS in their last four non-conference games.
  • Purdue is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall.
  • Purdue is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Both teams have struggled at times this season but as their postseason date approaches the Wildcats are floundering while the Boilermakers are improving. Yet the college football odds makers have installed Arizona as the neutral site favorite but that number has tumbled a bit, opening at Wildcats -4 ½ to -3 ½ where it sits as of this writing two weeks removed from kickoff.

Arizona has dropped their last two games and lost three of their last four both straight up and against the spread. As their running game goes, so too go the Wildcats as they are ranked 3rd in the nation in that category averaging a whopping 324.4 yards per game. Their quarterback Khalil Tate is their biggest ground threat with a team-leading 1353 yards on the ground and 12 rushing touchdowns. However, their aerial attack is not nearly as impressive with a dismal 170.1 passing yards per game which ranks them 110th and near the cellar in that category. Defensively, the Cats have been as impotent as their air attack which ranks them 109th in the country, allowing a staggering 34.1 points per game.

The Boilermakers, on the other hand, have looked sharp over their last four contests going 3-1 straight up and against the number during that span and look to add another notch on their belt in their form of the Arizona Wildcats. As bad as the Wildcats defense is, the Boilermakers' D is that good. Purdue checks in with the 18th ranked defense in the nation, surrendering just 19.3 points per game and holding opponents to 133 rushing yards per game which places them 30th in all of college football.

The bottom line in this matchup is that if Arizona's Khalil Tate can't run as often, or as long, as he would like then he will turn to the passing attack. That would bode well for the Boilermakers as Tate has nearly as many interceptions as he does touchdown passes (8:9). Purdue owns a much more potent passing attack under the command of quarterback Elijah Sindelar, who has tossed seven touchdown passes over his last three games with only one pick. On the season, Purdue is averaging nearly 240 yards per game through the air and although their rushing game isn't nearly as prolific as Arizona's, it is at the very least much more balanced than the run-heavy Wildcats' offense, which has become predictable for opposing defenses.

Oh, and one last thing. Arizona's QB Khalil Tate will not be 100 percent for this contest as he was knocked out of the last game of the season, a 42-30 loss to Arizona State, with a shoulder injury. Grab the points and add the Boilermakers to your college football picks in the Foster Farm Bowl.

comment here