The Oregon Ducks’ College Football Betting Schedule Analysis

Steve - CollegeFootballWinning.com

Monday, August 25, 2014 7:53 AM GMT

Monday, Aug. 25, 2014 7:53 AM GMT

Although this is just Oregon’s second season with Mark Helfrich as their head coach, we chose to use college football betting data from 2008-2013 for this schedule analysis. 

From 2008-2013, the Ducks saw Mike Bellotti go, Chip Kelly come and go, and Helfrich take the reins. We consider 2008 the beginning of this modern era for Oregon, since that is when the Ducks began their current streak of consecutive double-digit winning seasons (straight-up).

 

DATE

OPPONENT

LOCATION (STADIUM)

NOTES (Oregon Since 2008)

08/30/14

South Dakota

Eugene, OR

(Autzen Stadium)

UO is 3-3 against-the-spread (ATS) in season-openers. In all six openers, the betting line (from opening to closing) moved in the Ducks’ direction (meaning, when they were favorites, they became bigger favorites; when underdogs, they became smaller underdogs), so if you like the Oregon side, place your college football pick on them on the opener. UO is 4-2 ATS in Home-openers. They are 2-2 ATS vs. FCS opponents. The Ducks are 4-4 ATS in games where they are favorites (on the opening) of at least 35 points.

09/6/14

Michigan State

Eugene, OR

(Autzen Stadium)

UO is 1-2 ATS vs. Big 10 teams. The Ducks are just 1-4-1 ATS in Home games when favorites of between one and two TD’s (7-14 points).

09/13/14

Wyoming

Eugene, OR

(Autzen Stadium)

Under Mark Helfrich, the Ducks are 4-0 ATS vs. non-conference opponents. The Total has gone Over in three of those four non-conference games. UO is 3-2 ATS in games played immediately before Pac-12 play.

09/20/14

Washington State

Pullman, WA

(Martin Stadium)

UO is 2-4 ATS vs. WSU, including going 1-1 ATS in Pullman. The Ducks are 0-4 ATS vs. WSU the last four times they played. The Total has gone Over in five of their six meetings. UO is 4-1-1 ATS in Pac-12 openers.

10/2/14

Arizona

Eugene, OR

(Autzen Stadium)

UO is 3-3 ATS vs. UA, including a 2-1 ATS record at Home. Even though the Total went Over in four of the last six meetings, those two Unders occurred the last two times these teams met. The Ducks are 6-3-1 ATS after a bye week, but under Helfrich, they are 0-1-1 ATS.

10/11/14

UCLA

Pasadena, CA

(Rose Bowl)

UO is 3-2 ATS vs. UCLA, including going 1-0 ATS in Pasadena. The Total went Under in three of their five meetings, including last year’s game when these two went 18 points under the closing Total.

10/18/14

Washington

Eugene, OR

(Autzen Stadium)

UO is 5-0-1 ATS vs. rival UW. The Ducks’ beat the SPREAD by an average of 8.33 points per game in those six contests. The Total was split, three Overs and three Unders.

10/24/14

California

Berkeley, CA

(Memorial Stadium)

UO is 3-2-1 ATS vs. Cal, but just 1-2 ATS at Cal. The Total has gone Under in five of those six games. Under Helfrich, the Ducks are just 3-5-1 ATS in all Pac-12 games.

11/1/14

Stanford

Eugene, OR

(Autzen Stadium)

UO is 2-4 ATS vs. Stanford. In those four ATS losses, Stanford beat the spread by an average of 14.75 points. The Total has gone Over in four of those six games.

11/8/14

Utah

Salt Lake City, UT

(Rice-Eccles Stadium)

UO is 1-1 ATS vs. Utah, but They have not played in Salt Lake City since 2003. In the two most recent games, the line direction (from the opening to the closing betting line) suggested the wrong side. The Total went Over by 1.5 points in each of those two games.

11/22/14

Colorado

Eugene, OR

(Autzen Stadium)

UO is 3-0 ATS vs. CU. The Ducks beat the spread by an average of 8.33 points. The Total went Over in two of the three meetings. The Ducks are 6-3-1 ATS after a bye week, but under Helfrich, they are 0-1-1 ATS.

11/29/14

Oregon State

Corvallis, OR

(Reser Stadium)

The Away team is 5-0-1 ATS in the Civil War. Last season, UO failed to cover the SPREAD by 23 points. The Total has gone Over in five of the six games. The last three years, the combined points scored in these rivalry games were 70, 72, and 71 (quite consistent).

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